Logan11 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 The 18Z RGEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 What is your major problem Will? We all have different desires for the ultimate track of this and every storm that comes through. You've been coming at me for two days now. Got a problem with me? How about sending me a PM instead of sniping in the open forum. This holier than thou act of yours gets old too. You play the same elevation/latitude card with Blizz and Ray all the time. Are you so comically challenged you don't realize I'm kidding around? Did you read the post I made this morning to your overnight attack on my character? Do you really think that I think I'm better because I get more snow? Here's a big flare!!!! It's all a fookin' goof!!!! The annual snow totals from anywhere in SNE are laughable, mine included. I couldn't care less that Litchfieldlibations gets way less snow than me and he couldn't really care less that I get more than him yet we rib each other while behind the scenes we wish each other happy holidays and best of luck with our football teams. When I say everything east of the CT.River is the CP do you think I really believe that? Please. You must be kidding. Again, I'll spell it out for you to be absolutely clear, I don't equate a person's annual snowfall average with their worth as a person. I don't think that I am in some way special because I live in a snowy spot (relative to the rest of SNE). You insult my intelligence if that is what you truly think I'm about. I think it makes you better, Pete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 lol Typical Easterner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 TV mets don't need to go out on a limb at this stage of the game...... This is what I mean about the public downplaying it and it making no sense...sure it could be too amped...but what possible scenerio would give no one over 2"...doesn't seem possible unless it really amped up and tracked over BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think it makes you better, Pete. Thanks Mike. Glad to have the support of my fellow GCer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm disappointed. Yeah...I was hoping for a little more too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Sam, how about a map? Tomorrow afternoon. I have a ridiculous day tomorrow. I sent to the DOT an initial synopsis ... 1"-4" across southern NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think the RGEM is crazy uncle's drinking buddy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 TV mets don't need to go out on a limb at this stage of the game...... Just a high bust potential either way. I'd think that given current data I'd wait until tomorrow night's forecast to beat the gong on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 A most uplifting read from Albany's AFD: WED NT...VERY LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WED NT...AS DETERMINISTIC MODELS BRING FINAL WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY NE TOWARD MID ATLANTIC COAST...WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON TRACK AND NORTHERN EXTENT OF PRECIP SHIELD. THE 12Z/ECMWF AND NAM ARE AMONG THE N/W ENVELOPE OF THE DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS...WHILE THE GFS AND GEM ARE FURTHER S/E. HOWEVER...THE 12Z/GEFS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER N/W IN THE MEAN...WITH SEVERAL MORE MEMBERS INDICATING A MORE VIGOROUS...AND NORTHERN TRACK OF THE LOW. SHOULD SOME OF THESE MEMBERS PROVE CORRECT...A PLOWABLE SNOWFALL COULD EASILY OCCUR ACROSS S/E PORTIONS OF THE REGION...FROM THE CATSKILLS INTO THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...NW CT AND INTO THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO OCCUR EVEN FURTHER N/W. THE 18Z/NAM HAS TRENDED EVEN FURTHER N/W THAN ITS 12Z RUN. BASED ON THESE TRENDS...HAVE INDICATED CHC FOR SNOW LATE WED NT INTO EARLY THU FOR AT LEAST S/E PORTIONS OF REGION...SINCE SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE TRENDS...WOULD NOT BE THE LEAST BIT SURPRISED IF THIS STORM TRACKS MUCH FURTHER N/W THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED...AND MAJOR CHANGES TO FUTURE FORECASTS ARE POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think the RGEM is crazy uncle's drinking buddy.. Can you translate it? It's hard for me to see the maps Rick posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Tomorrow afternoon. I have a ridiculous day tomorrow. I sent to the DOT an initial synopsis ... 1"-4" across southern NH. Cool. Always like your maps. Hoping for the best here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 A most uplifting read from Albany's AFD: WED NT...VERY LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WED NT...AS DETERMINISTIC MODELS BRING FINAL WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY NE TOWARD MID ATLANTIC COAST...WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON TRACK AND NORTHERN EXTENT OF PRECIP SHIELD. THE 12Z/ECMWF AND NAM ARE AMONG THE N/W ENVELOPE OF THE DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS...WHILE THE GFS AND GEM ARE FURTHER S/E. HOWEVER...THE 12Z/GEFS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER N/W IN THE MEAN...WITH SEVERAL MORE MEMBERS INDICATING A MORE VIGOROUS...AND NORTHERN TRACK OF THE LOW. SHOULD SOME OF THESE MEMBERS PROVE CORRECT...A PLOWABLE SNOWFALL COULD EASILY OCCUR ACROSS S/E PORTIONS OF THE REGION...FROM THE CATSKILLS INTO THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...NW CT AND INTO THE SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO OCCUR EVEN FURTHER N/W. THE 18Z/NAM HAS TRENDED EVEN FURTHER N/W THAN ITS 12Z RUN. BASED ON THESE TRENDS...HAVE INDICATED CHC FOR SNOW LATE WED NT INTO EARLY THU FOR AT LEAST S/E PORTIONS OF REGION...SINCE SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE TRENDS...WOULD NOT BE THE LEAST BIT SURPRISED IF THIS STORM TRACKS MUCH FURTHER N/W THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED...AND MAJOR CHANGES TO FUTURE FORECASTS ARE POSSIBLE. I read that when I got home. Just don't want it too far NW.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Can you translate it? It's hard for me to see the maps Rick posted. Very warm...Rick gets more snow than the rest of us on that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Very warm...Rick gets more snow than the rest of us on that map. Yeah from what I could tell it looked amped. Well, I guess we should toss it then lol. 21z SREFS out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Wagons west? Would not suprise me in the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Cool. Always like your maps. Hoping for the best here. Thanks man! Definitely an option for something good. This is a potent wave that could have some surprises with it. We'll see what tonight's runs bring us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Yeah from what I could tell it looked amped. Well, I guess we should toss it then lol. 21z SREFS out? SREFs should be out in about 7-10 min. Hard to say where this storm might end up, the trend has been NW but we are also running out of time for too much more jump...but I think 00z will tell us a lot as we are getting into the 48-54h time frame from the onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Well we have a meaningful dead zone tonight for the first time this met winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I read that when I got home. Just don't want it too far NW.lol I like the amount of cushion we have...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I like the amount of cushion we have...... You might have QPF issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I like the amount of cushion we have...... I think you, Pete and Rick are in great spots, for that matter Powderfreak too, and Will should do ok as well, this vort is more impressive with each run, if you guys can get the 700 low to traverse the south coast, you will do just fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 You might have QPF issues. Lol. I think that's been firmly established alreay.. I could use another NW push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I like the amount of cushion we have...... It looks bizarre to have the Christmas decorations lit up on houses and no snow on the ground. Hoping for some goodness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Some hints at some banding with some marginal -epv overlaid with some good mid level frontogenesis in n nj up into w ct and c/w ma on that 18z run....short lived but there Not too surprising given the potent little guy. This should have some good moisture entrained into as well since its origin is down near the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Eastern NY > Norfolk CT > Pete and GC > N ORH/Mt Socks area jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I think you, Pete and Rick are in great spots, for that matter Powderfreak too, and Will should do ok as well, this vort is more impressive with each run, if you guys can get the 700 low to traverse the south coast, you will do just fine. I'm kinda hopin' Will gets a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 srefs will be interesting, they were a no show on the storm most of the day, I would imagine they will come west a good bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm kinda hopin' Will gets a cold rain. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 srefs will be interesting, they were a no show on the storm most of the day, I would imagine they will come west a good bit. They bumped a bit NW, but some members were way SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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