Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Back to the discussion. The GGEM is largely a wiff with this 1st system. Looks as though it tries to make the weekend deal a bigger threat but it never fully turns the corner and only clips SNE. Bob post the Allan page link, can not get to it through IPAD, so I can bookmark it, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Bob post the Allan page link, can not get to it through IPAD, so I can bookmark it, thanks http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 The Marine Layer. The Marine Layer : Life on the edge in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html Thanks bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I's be pretty surprised if the GFS doesn't shift more northwest. It doesn't do well when we have two streams interacting like this and is probably too weak with the southwest energy coming out relative to the strength of the polar jet. That said ..there is a finite limit to how far nw it can come, but would not surprise me if "you know who" is the snow winner again here for the 500th time. GEFS take it over the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 That is probably alot of rain, though, Jer.... This pattern is akin to a huge sausage fest of a party and this "event" like the one chick who shows up....guys get drunk enough to ogle her, anyway....despite a few strands of hair conquering the confines of her tank top. Sad state of affairs. Almost as good as the man in the shed... sig worthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 So much pessimism in here. We haven't had a winter type threat even remotely interesting to follow since freak week. I'm on board with Tip's light-moderate event. I'll take 2-4", while hillier towns get a few more inches than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 1.0 is all I need for BOS if you get my drift.... Enjoy your dinner...it's the only dinner you got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I think if I were Kevin to Will...I would start to feel like there is some potential here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 I think if I were Kevin to Will...I would start to feel like there is some potential here. Kevin's still digging the car out from that monster lake effect event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Kevin's still digging the car out from that monster lake effect event. But first, he will have to clean the vomit off the car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 But first, he will have to clean the vomit off the car. I-84 + beer is a challenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Regarding GEFS, very solid hit, very little of that total precip is melted inland but that means little. Verbatim it's a solid border warning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Pete will win ...its karma. Kevin's still digging the car out from that monster lake effect event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 NAM is surprisingly chilly in the boundary layer back here... even for HFD. Hmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 But first, he will have to clean the vomit off the car. Where is he? I'm feeling a bit neglected and deprived of my daily abuse from him - this better not be one of those deals like when Ray disappeared for a week then we heard later. Euro is abou to come out ... Sensing a better than even odds it will be more amped, just as the 00z was as expected more amped compared to the 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 NAM is surprisingly chilly in the boundary layer back here... even for HFD. Hmmm. Euro is the one to rule them all. NAM and Euro weren't that far off Nam 12z Euro 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I's be pretty surprised if the GFS doesn't shift more northwest. It doesn't do well when we have two streams interacting like this and is probably too weak with the southwest energy coming out relative to the strength of the polar jet. That said ..there is a finite limit to how far nw it can come, but would not surprise me if "you know who" is the snow winner again here for the 500th time. Hi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Hi. JB says you are in 3-6 " 8" lolipops LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 NAM is surprisingly chilly in the boundary layer back here... even for HFD. Hmmm. Not to be a dyck but I don't think that is surprising. In fact, I was/am expecting this as things close nearer. I mentioned this several times over the course of the last week, that the cryospheric factorization is not likely cool enough in those priors. There is an anomalously pervasive snow cover across the entire Canadian shield, such that when that baroclinic axis settles through the winds back N the lower levels are likely to get a bit of "freezer door" action off that landscape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro look like just outside BM. Nice hit for Kevin and Will and even BOS I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Bob post the Allan page link, can not get to it through IPAD, so I can bookmark it, thanks Ginxxx, I'm at work, what's the latest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro big hit interior... HFD to ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 12Z Euro looks like its just east of the BM, Similar to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 That is probably alot of rain, though, Jer.... This pattern is akin to a huge sausage fest of a party and this "event" like the one chick who shows up....guys get drunk enough to ogle her, anyway....despite a few strands of hair conquering the confines of her tank top. Sad state of affairs. LOL brilliant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro is similar to the 00z run in terms of track... just stronger and more generous with QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I's be pretty surprised if the GFS doesn't shift more northwest. It doesn't do well when we have two streams interacting like this and is probably too weak with the southwest energy coming out relative to the strength of the polar jet. That said ..there is a finite limit to how far nw it can come, but would not surprise me if "you know who" is the snow winner again here for the 500th time. Pete wants everyone to get pummelled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Where is he? I'm feeling a bit neglected and deprived of my daily abuse from him - this better not be one of those deals like when Ray disappeared for a week then we heard later. Euro is abou to come out ... Sensing a better than even odds it will be more amped, just as the 00z was as expected more amped compared to the 12z yesterday. :lol: Your sense of humor has been trending more amped of late.....perhaps it has finally passed over the data sparse Rocky Cordillera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro big hit interior... HFD to ORH Maybe 6" or so in some areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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