dryslot Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:08 PM, CT Rain said: Euro is similar to the 00z run in terms of track... just stronger and more generous with QPF. Yes, Little stronger and throws back the qpf further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:09 PM, CT Rain said: Maybe 6" or so in some areas? Verbatim...yeah give or take. HFD-ORH-LWM down to Cape in a good sweet spot for banding. Seems like BOS gets it good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 AWT Nice to have NAM/Euro on similar pages showing some good snows for SNE, hope they hold. At this lead time it's encouraging to have those two together with the Ukie being a bit more amped and the GFS/GGEM a bit more suppressed. On 12/5/2011 at 5:33 PM, mattb65 said: I know the caution flags are being thrown left and right but all the 12z guidance so far points towards optimism of a pretty decent moderate SNE hit. Euro pending of course but I'd bet that it's closer to the NAM and GEFS given how the models and ensembles have trended the last few runs not to mention the GFS op tendency to "lose" storms in this time frame. On 12/5/2011 at 6:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro look like just outside BM. Nice hit for Kevin and Will and even BOS I think. On 12/5/2011 at 6:07 PM, CT Rain said: Euro big hit interior... HFD to ORH On 12/5/2011 at 6:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Verbatim...yeah give or take. HFD-ORH-LWM down to Cape in a good sweet spot for banding. Seems like BOS gets it good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Verbatim...yeah give or take. HFD-ORH-LWM down to Cape in a good sweet spot for banding. Seems like BOS gets it good too. What are we at now? Inside 72 hours? Looks like we are coming to a consensus. Last year 3-6" would have been a nuisance. This year...heavy, heavy. Now let the realists/debbie downers come in to say how this 'ain't gonna happen' BTW...all this storm tracking and its 61 degrees out. Is it March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:14 PM, NorEastermass128 said: What are we at now? Inside 72 hours? Looks like we are coming to a consensus. Last year 3-6" would have been a nuisance. This year...heavy, heavy. Now let the realists/debbie downers come in to say how this 'ain't gonna happen' It still 72 hrs out in a fluid situation. Lots can happen, but we finally have something on the radar screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:09 PM, CT Rain said: Maybe 6" or so in some areas? Farewell Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I forsee some buns getting tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:16 PM, CoastalWx said: It still 72 hrs out in a fluid situation. Lots can happen, but we finally have something on the radar screen. Okay...I'd rather have it show something important now rather than hoping for it to trend in our favor inside 60-72 hours. This is definitely Tip's storm (if it occurs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Coast huggers would be happy for an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:07 PM, CT Rain said: Euro big hit interior... HFD to ORH Congrats! GC hates outside the BM. How far SE does the rain stay? 44.6/44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:16 PM, CoastalWx said: It still 72 hrs out in a fluid situation. Lots can happen, but we finally have something on the radar screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:21 PM, Typhoon Tip said: I mean we finally have something to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Verbatim...yeah give or take. HFD-ORH-LWM down to Cape in a good sweet spot for banding. Seems like BOS gets it good too. any qpf for southern nh? Manchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 We need the Rev...he's got the keys to the bus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Very quick hitting. Hits the 95 corridor pretty well. Areas just NW of the big cities seem to be in line for 3-6" on the EURO verbatim. The speed will limit accums most likely. Quick hitting thump per the EURO though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 You have to wonder what the record is for largest + seasonal snowfall anomalies coinciding with largest + temp anomalies....some locales maybe off to one helluva start to challenging that unique distinction. Maybe some karma we were due from 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:26 PM, ericnh said: any qpf for southern nh? Manchester Yeah it would probably be a few inches for you. Euro weenie maps are pretty chilly to BOS and even flip PYM over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro has it clearing by Noon Thursday, quick hitting and potent event. Crazy Uncle is the warmest and most prolific qpf model while GFS (not surprising) is furthest SE. Euro and NAM are quite similar. Now about messenger and my bet. If I win, we're even...no one eats. If he wins, I owe him 2 dinners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:26 PM, ericnh said: any qpf for southern nh? Manchester .3 or .4" Increases quickly to the S&E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah it would probably be a few inches for you. Euro weenie maps are pretty chilly to BOS and even flip PYM over to snow. Yeah...weenie maps are probably like a 3-5", spot 6" event for a lot of SNE just off the coast including interior locals as well (ie-ORH, TOL, MRG, BDL) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah it would probably be a few inches for you. Euro weenie maps are pretty chilly to BOS and even flip PYM over to snow. Keep singing my song, Scott. Keep singing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:30 PM, NorEastermass128 said: .3 or .4" Increases quickly to the S&E. Thanks maybe 1 to 3 ". still have many more runs to increase. begining the trend? hopefully for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I'm from Tolland, but I'm no Kev... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:30 PM, weathafella said: Euro has it clearing by Noon Thursday, quick hitting and potent event. Crazy Uncle is the warmest and most prolific qpf model while GFS (not surprising) is furthest SE. Euro and NAM are quite similar. Now about messenger and my bet. If I win, we're even...no one eats. If he wins, I owe him 2 dinners. Need a magnifying glass.............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:33 PM, Dryslot said: Need a magnifying glass.............lol WTF...I had to edit the post to 14 pt font after trying to read what I wrote.. The upgrade is burping.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 BTW, I hear lawn mowers outside. Good to finally be tracking something. Not good with papers and finals though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:31 PM, Zeus said: Keep singing my song, Scott. Keep singing it. Still time for a north trend though. It's limited, but the potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 On 12/5/2011 at 6:34 PM, weathafella said: WTF...I had to edit the post to 14 pt font after trying to read what I wrote.. The upgrade is burping.... I have been finding it to do some funky stuff as well when posting, I have to dbbl check befor i hit the post button Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 One feature I am liking on both the GFS and the Euro is the roll over ridge in the EPAC. That allows it to stay colder after a brief warmup around D6-7. That is quite a change I think. Must be the result of the pattern change beginning 12/10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro has the s/w go out just underneath us. Decent track for snow in SNE. Good band potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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