TalcottWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 HRRR reflectivity from 22z sure does look funky with its forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Alright this band has to do it or it ain't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Really really bullish with accuming snows into the metros (22z HRRR) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 i see reports of mixing near leesburg! Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 A few crappy flakes here. I don't know if we'll get the full changeover or not. Started mixing a minutes ago....not much precip falling in any form, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Link? intellicast/weenie radar confirms that in the latest frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 There are over 12,000 days in the winter record at DCA. Here are the top 10 daily precipitation amounts: 12-18-1977: 2.81" 01-12-1915: 2.77" 12-29-1901: 2.57" 12-17-1888: 2.43" 12-13-1909: 2.43" 12-24-1986: 2.36" 02-06-1896: 2.29" 01-04-1886: 2.28" 02-22-2003: 2.27" 12-10-1878: 2.23" No temperatures below freezing, and no recorded snowfall in the bunch. There was snow on the ground in 2003 from PDII. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 42.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 A few crappy flakes here. I don't know if we'll get the full changeover or not. Started mixing a minutes ago....not much precip falling in any form, though. Still light steady rain down here. Temp now 35.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Really really bullish with accuming snows into the metros (22z HRRR) Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Final yellow band - If this drops us a few degrees - I suppose we might just squeeze out a few slushy flakes - but it IS kind of mild for snow - upper 30s is tough to get snow, even a wet crappy mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Link? ive seen reports on twitter/fb and cwg http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/pm-update-periods-of-heavy-flooding-rain-to-change-to-wet-snow-before-ending-overnight/2011/03/18/gIQAUR17cO_blog.html#comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Link? Yoda you know where to find the HRRR! Think severe season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 There are over 12,000 days in the winter record at DCA. Here are the top 10 daily precipitation amounts: 12-18-1977: 2.81" 01-12-1915: 2.77" 12-29-1901: 2.57" 12-17-1888: 2.43" 12-13-1909: 2.43" 12-24-1986: 2.36" 02-06-1896: 2.29" 01-04-1886: 2.28" 02-22-2003: 2.27" 12-10-1878: 2.23" No temperatures below freezing, and no recorded snowfall in the bunch. There was snow on the ground in 2003 from PDII. It's pretty shocking.. winter has such low water content compared to the rest of the months. I would never have thought we'd actually near 3" in one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 ive seen reports on twitter/fb and cwg http://www.washingto...g.html#comments i was just being an ass, I will keep an eye to the windows for the first almighty flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Hardly anything falling here, despite what the radar shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Hardly anything falling here, despite what the radar shows. Standard procedure... We were under 30-35dbz for hours during the Oct 29 storm, and had just flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 moderate sideways rain, temp down to 41.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 i was just being an ass, I will keep an eye to the windows for the first almighty flake im guessing it was partly tied to the heavy precip tho that means it's starting at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm usually the one leading the charge not to radar hallucinate and freak out about the back edge, but there is no real silver lining here....the back edge is racing...I don't really see the ULL saving us this time....so I think 11-midnight west to east finish is pretty much it...maybe even over before?....so really the narrative has been that the cold air is arriving too late and that is still the narrative for most of us.....I don't think there will be some huge delay in changover though...once IAD/Tysons goes to snow, DC shouldnt be far behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 38.9 with this lastest deluge. Sub 40. Hooray...burp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Still rain and snow here with a temp of 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm usually the one leading the charge not to radar hallucinate and freak out about the back edge, but there is no real silver lining here....the back edge is racing...I don't really see the ULL saving us this time....so I think 11-midnight west to east finish is pretty much it...maybe even over before?....so really the narrative has been that the cold air is arriving too late and that is still the narrative for most of us.....I don't think there will be some huge delay in changover though...once IAD/Tysons goes to snow, DC shouldnt be far behind there's nothing really to hold it back and the vort is ever weakening.. not the best for back-end lovin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 There are over 12,000 days in the winter record at DCA. Here are the top 10 daily precipitation amounts: 12-07-2011: 2.83" and counting 12-18-1977: 2.81" 01-12-1915: 2.77" 12-29-1901: 2.57" 12-17-1888: 2.43" 12-13-1909: 2.43" 12-24-1986: 2.36" 02-06-1896: 2.29" 01-04-1886: 2.28" 02-22-2003: 2.27" 12-10-1878: 2.23" No temperatures below freezing, and no recorded snowfall in the bunch. There was snow on the ground in 2003 from PDII. And with the SPECI METAR, the record is broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Standard procedure... We were under 30-35dbz for hours during the Oct 29 storm, and had just flurries. Just in the nick of time the precip shuts off, Amazing. So much for any deform band here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 And with the SPECI METAR, the record is broken. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 I'm usually the one leading the charge not to radar hallucinate and freak out about the back edge, but there is no real silver lining here....the back edge is racing...I don't really see the ULL saving us this time....so I think 11-midnight west to east finish is pretty much it...maybe even over before?....so really the narrative has been that the cold air is arriving too late and that is still the narrative for most of us.....I don't think there will be some huge delay in changover though...once IAD/Tysons goes to snow, DC shouldnt be far behind Yes, the short range modeling has been suggesting a midnight or slightly before that shutoff of the precip. We have been destined to get only a short period of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 Back edge is racin east like a futuristic jetliner with massless/inertialess engines Yellow burst brought heavy heavy rain Temp fell to 36 We're done Should be partly cloudy by about 10pm Hey can we start looking at models now? What about the next storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 .13" so far at DCA this hour.. break out the bubbly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 8, 2011 Share Posted December 8, 2011 It's pretty shocking.. winter has such low water content compared to the rest of the months. I would never have thought we'd actually near 3" in one day. I know we all wanted snow, but I think it is good to take a larger look at this storm and recognize how impressive it was. The big precip record, a beautiful radar, winds picking up from almost nothing to a 40mph gust at DCA. Some cool stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.