ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The Nam is hotter than Megan Fox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The Nam is hotter than Megan Fox. funny, I was just going to say it was wetter than Megan Fox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 funny, I was just going to say it was wetter than Megan Fox Lol . Randy i have lost faith in your calls. All hail Wes . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 850 low at 25 hours is a little west of DC. Looks like it might pass just to out north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 qpf down from earlier nam runs it seems.. shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 850 low at 25 hours is a little west of DC. Looks like it might pass just to out north. Until now this was our best looking model, i am going to strangle that damn 850 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 qpf down from earlier nam runs it seems.. shocker can't be by much looking at the maps through 27 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 There is a pretty good band going at 3z...Maybe the suburbs can eek out an inch.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 This looks like a great storm for the high ground: Hampshire, Garrett, Tucker and Preston counties will get a heavier wet snow than they typically see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 slower and stronger may also be bad though, because the trough ended up more amplified there is more southerly flow ahead of it. That is keeping the temps from crashing until the trough axis passes. Slower means the cold will be slower also. More amp'ed could also mean a more wound up and inland low track. These factors could offset the advantages of a slower H5 movement. I think there is more wrong here then just the system moving too fast. The whole evolution of it is wrong. Our best bet is a heavy thump snow with the upper low passage. Its a fluke type thing but it happens sometimes. Can already see 00z NAM sucks, but I guess I meant in relation to the cold trough coming out of central canada. Either way it doesn't seem to matter now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Until now this was our best looking model, i am going to strangle that damn 850 low. meh, models are over rated....ask Billy Joel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 True, most of our monster storms come in December and mainly February. If we have to suffer until February to get a monster i am willing to do it. You're correct about February, but the only December snowstorm to crack the the top ten in DC and Dulles Airport history is the one that occurred two years ago on December 18th and 19th. The top ten at each location occurred in the following months: DC -- December, one; January, two; February, seven. Dulles -- November, one; December, one; January, one; February, 6; March, one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Noah and his ark may not survive this deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 You're correct about February, but the only December snowstorm to crack the the top ten in DC and Dulles Airport history is the one that occurred two years ago on December 18th and 19th. The top ten at each location occurred in the following months: DC -- December, one; January, two; February, seven. Dulles -- November, one; December, one; January, one; February, 6; March, one. Thank you stat man, you put UncleW to shame . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 my temp keeps going up! I'm now at 63 unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Just saw SIM radar on the 27 hr. 0Z NAM panel. If it plays out like that, I may still see a thump snow for a short while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 can't be by much looking at the maps through 27 hrs decent bit for the storm itself (this might not be quite all of it but adding in all the frontal rain is not what im going for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 You're correct about February, but the only December snowstorm to crack the the top ten in DC and Dulles Airport history is the one that occurred two years ago on December 18th and 19th. The top ten at each location occurred in the following months: DC -- December, one; January, two; February, seven. Dulles -- November, one; December, one; January, one; February, 6; March, one. Out of curiousity which November storm is in the top 10 at IAD?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I wish i could believe you, but i have my doubts. Even though when you make these kinds of calls over the years for some reason you have been more right than wrong. Dude, I'm always never serious when I say that. I have no clue or hunch what they'll show. He has? then I must be wrong almost all of the time. When I start the bus up, that's when it's time to be ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 There is a pretty good band going at 3z...Maybe the suburbs can eek out an inch.... They might, there will be precip coming across with the 500 vort center since it's pretty strong. The boundary layer temps remain a problem especially for the inside the beltway guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 When I start the bus up, that's when it's time to be ready. I have not seen the bus in almost 2 years, i miss that POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 funny, I was just going to say it was wetter than Megan Fox moves faster than Megan Fox too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 it's cool.. you are our cheerleader Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 my temp keeps going up! I'm now at 63 unbelievable Same here, I've had enough. Almost nice enough to sleep out on the porch hammock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The result for me is pretty clear....I probably see flakes fly and if I can get in a band like 10/29, I may get enough on the cars/decks to record something more than a T....maybe a 0.25"...but it may not stick at all....I cant really see any upside unless I get in some ridiculous +SN and the temp drops to 32-33.....then maybe 0.75"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 it's cool.. you are our cheerleader Our cheerleader has the worst legs i have ever seen for a cheerleader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 it's cool.. you are our cheerleader so far, that's working out well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The result for me is pretty clear....I probably see flakes fly and if I can get in a band like 10/29, I may get enough on the cars/decks to record something more than a T....maybe a 0.25"...but it may not stick at all....I cant really see any upside unless I get in some ridiculous +SN and the temp drops to 32-33.....then maybe 0.75"? the vorts hauling. not sure how we get more than a 30-60 minute window of real solid snow. .75" might be pushing it. but overall sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 so far, that's working out well im sorry. i just thought it was funny wes punked you. he's ornery like an old guy. --now im really asking for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Dude, I'm always never serious when I say that. I have no clue or hunch what they'll show. When I start the bus up, that's when it's time to be ready. I keep remembering Kornheiser's bandwagen and how once he used it, it got parked and now the skins fans can't even ride in broken down VW beetle. Anyway, at least this storm gave us something to watch. Tomorrow night this is what I'll be watching Let's hope the Tracker bus doesn't meet the same fate as Tony's and that 2009-2010 didn't use up all our Karma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.