Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 18z gfs looks pretty similar to 12z.. a bit lower qpf which should probably be expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 9 runs in a row showing WSW criteria snowfall for here, between the GFS (Sunday) and NAM (Monday and today's 12Z). 18Z NAM: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 My best guess at what's gonna go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 18z gfs looks pretty similar to 12z.. a bit lower qpf which should probably be expected verbatim we get ~2hrs of snow falling at some temperature above freezing onto puddles of rain.....Are we looking at one decent band you think?.....or totally nonaccumulating? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 9 runs in a row showing WSW criteria snowfall for here, between the GFS (Sunday) and NAM (Monday and today's 12Z). 18Z NAM: 0.0" now that really sux I would think it would change however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 My best guess at what's gonna go down. Nice map -- especially since you consider the ridges out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 verbatim we get ~2hrs of snow falling at some temperature above freezing onto puddles of rain.....Are we looking at one decent band you think?.....or totally nonaccumulating? I would think there's some superband potential with the s/w as it passes by. I was looking to see how close the oct one was to us but could not find a good image. I think it went almost overhead. As far as accum.. we need a good band or probably not. Even then, very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I would think there's some superband potential with the s/w as it passes by. I was looking to see how close the oct one was to us but could not find a good image. I think it went almost overhead. As far as accum.. we need a good band or probably not. Even then, very little. I have a feeling the superband will be more like the movie superbad . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I have a feeling the superband will be more like the movie superbad . http://instantrimshot.com/ In all honesty though...you're probably right. I'm expecting a few flakes at the tail end. Lots of rain though! Grab the boats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 9 runs in a row showing WSW criteria snowfall for here, between the GFS (Sunday) and NAM (Monday and today's 12Z). 18Z NAM: 0.0" RLX staying conservative on amounts even in the mountains...saying no accumulation down here in the western lowlands. Local TV mets going 1 - 3" here and up through central WV though they think it will shift more west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I don't think Yeoman has actually added to the conversation in a few years here so don't worry about him too much. Life always gets in the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Nice map -- especially since you consider the ridges out this way. Thanks, I have been paying a lot more attention to elevation recently after moving out here and getting a Snowshoe season pass haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 My best guess at what's gonna go down. I'd shift the 1" line about 15 miles north, otherwise good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Looks like a nice waste of a perfectly good deform band according to Ptype maps on most model. Oh well better luck next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Looks like a nice waste of a perfectly good deform band according to Ptype maps on most model. Oh well better luck next year. Well, if that's the way it is, then that's the way it is. See you next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 its going to rain on everyone's parade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm going to leave my christmas lights on all night Wednesday just in case... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'm going to leave my christmas lights on all night Wednesday just in case... Good idea. I'm in. I still think it's possible that we'll see a brief period of moderate snow...unless we sleep through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I am not feeling real good about this one even out here now. Looks like the cold air gets here just in time for the precip to exit. Looks like a Central PA bullseye to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I will be hanging around in the eastern purple zone tomorrow. Skeptical on this one... yet an Oct 29 redo would be awesome with the chill to follow it would be a nice white stretch. My best guess at what's gonna go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Bob gives DC 5% for 1" of snow. http://twitpic.com/7ph5s7/full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Bob and Doug I feel have become too famous for their own good. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 HRS 30+36 on GEFS 18z, members colder than op, hope? eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Bob gives DC 5% for 1" of snow. http://twitpic.com/7ph5s7/full That much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Looks like a nice waste of a perfectly good deform band according to Ptype maps on most model. Oh well better luck next year. Next year is only 25 days away and I think we will have better luck than 10/29 and tomorrow's event combined. Eh, that doesn't mean much. A 2 inch clipper destroys that combination. I agree with Ian. Ull isn't wimpy as it passes through. It could end up being a bit more dynamic than we expect. A brief band of mod to possibly heavy snow is quite possible if not likely for someone around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2011 Author Share Posted December 7, 2011 I'm going to leave my christmas lights on all night Wednesday just in case... i think we will surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 That much? I think he goes a little extreme on the probabilities. Hard to have 0% snowstorm chance with cold air around. At least 1%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 7, 2011 Author Share Posted December 7, 2011 euro has a D10 snowstorm brewing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 euro has a D10 snowstorm brewing Thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 euro has a D10 snowstorm brewing I have 10 inches to show you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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