ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 yeah for a fast moving storm that's a good deal if precip if it comes together The only good to be taken out of it is the fact that this much QPF in December is possibly a good sign for future storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Yeah!! * periods of moderate to heavy rainfall are expected Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. Rain is expected to end before sunrise Thursday. Amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected... with locally higher amounts possible. In the cities... accumulations of around 2 inches in 6 hours may cause streams and creeks to go out of their banks. I always lol when anyone calls rain amounts "accumulation". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Ian, I do not have a phone that can scan your barcode, What does it show?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The only good to be taken out of it is the fact that this much QPF in December is possibly a good sign for future storms. maybe.. often it seems january in particular is prone to cold and dry. we'll probably get a -nao for a while with no storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Ian, I do not have a phone that can scan your barcode, What does it show?. something about $500 donations to become ban free for life-- reminds me i need to change it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 If he is referring to the shortwave trof in relation to the PV then that is definitely a plus for us. If the shortwave takes a bit more time that could have a big impact on everything. slower and stronger may also be bad though, because the trough ended up more amplified there is more southerly flow ahead of it. That is keeping the temps from crashing until the trough axis passes. Slower means the cold will be slower also. More amp'ed could also mean a more wound up and inland low track. These factors could offset the advantages of a slower H5 movement. I think there is more wrong here then just the system moving too fast. The whole evolution of it is wrong. Our best bet is a heavy thump snow with the upper low passage. Its a fluke type thing but it happens sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 maybe.. often it seems january in particular is prone to cold and dry. we'll probably get a -nao for a while with no storms. True, most of our monster storms come in December and mainly February. If we have to suffer until February to get a monster i am willing to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 widespread 2-3" qpfs in winter are lol.. should never be believed -- tho of course it's really two storms in that total Yep, look at the SREF members. Can you find the weenie (insert name) solution? Heck, now one member is giving us snow, that's up from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 something about $500 donations to become ban free for life-- reminds me i need to change it. I would be willing to give $1,000 for that right. I would love to be able to go crazy for even one day . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Yep, look at the SREF members. Can you find the weenie (insert name) solution? Heck, now one member is giving us snow, that's up from this morning. I will take the blue line for 7 inches please Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Yep, look at the SREF members. Can you find the weenie (insert name) solution? Heck, now one member is giving us snow, that's up from this morning. 0z runs are going to save us. Mark my words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 0z runs are going to save us. Mark my words. I wish i could believe you, but i have my doubts. Even though when you make these kinds of calls over the years for some reason you have been more right than wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I wish i could believe you, but i have my doubts. Even though when you make these kinds of calls over the years for some reason you have been more right than wrong. They won't save us IMO but I wouldn't be surprised if they trend just slightly colder, enough that we can get maybe an inch instead of a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 I wish i could believe you, but i have my doubts. Even though when you make these kinds of calls over the years for some reason you have been more right than wrong. He has? then I must be wrong almost all of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 They won't save us IMO but I wouldn't be surprised if they trend just slightly colder, enough that we can get maybe an inch instead of a dusting. we've always got hope here in the MA .. even when we don't deserve it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 He has? then I must be wrong almost all of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 He has? then I must be wrong almost all of the time. Lol, i do not have the best memory but the few times i remember him saying the next runs will save us, he has been right i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 we've always got hope here in the MA .. even when we don't deserve it To quote a movie, "there is always hope" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The Nam is hotter than Megan Fox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The Nam is hotter than Megan Fox. funny, I was just going to say it was wetter than Megan Fox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 funny, I was just going to say it was wetter than Megan Fox Lol . Randy i have lost faith in your calls. All hail Wes . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 850 low at 25 hours is a little west of DC. Looks like it might pass just to out north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 qpf down from earlier nam runs it seems.. shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 The 850 low at 25 hours is a little west of DC. Looks like it might pass just to out north. Until now this was our best looking model, i am going to strangle that damn 850 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 qpf down from earlier nam runs it seems.. shocker can't be by much looking at the maps through 27 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 This looks like a great storm for the high ground: Hampshire, Garrett, Tucker and Preston counties will get a heavier wet snow than they typically see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 slower and stronger may also be bad though, because the trough ended up more amplified there is more southerly flow ahead of it. That is keeping the temps from crashing until the trough axis passes. Slower means the cold will be slower also. More amp'ed could also mean a more wound up and inland low track. These factors could offset the advantages of a slower H5 movement. I think there is more wrong here then just the system moving too fast. The whole evolution of it is wrong. Our best bet is a heavy thump snow with the upper low passage. Its a fluke type thing but it happens sometimes. Can already see 00z NAM sucks, but I guess I meant in relation to the cold trough coming out of central canada. Either way it doesn't seem to matter now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Until now this was our best looking model, i am going to strangle that damn 850 low. meh, models are over rated....ask Billy Joel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 True, most of our monster storms come in December and mainly February. If we have to suffer until February to get a monster i am willing to do it. You're correct about February, but the only December snowstorm to crack the the top ten in DC and Dulles Airport history is the one that occurred two years ago on December 18th and 19th. The top ten at each location occurred in the following months: DC -- December, one; January, two; February, seven. Dulles -- November, one; December, one; January, one; February, 6; March, one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Noah and his ark may not survive this deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.