stormtracker Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 justin berk's map is.. well, a map https://www.facebook...&type=1 Actually, I don't think it's that unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Actually, I don't think it's that unreasonable. i just said it was a map im not shocked he likes the current best case for 95 i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Actually, I don't think it's that unreasonable. Right now I like DT's better though I wouldn't yet put out amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Right now I like DT's better though I wouldn't yet put out amounts. ;social media is ruining the world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'll take what I can get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I'll take what I can get Social media, snow or Mapgirl's bacon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Social media, snow or Mapgirl's bacon? lls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 SREF's are SE of NAM and less qpf than NAM for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Ian, NAM is out to 12 hrs; did you need me to post any of the maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Social media, snow or Mapgirl's bacon? rain and good fishing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 NAM keeps getting stronger....and warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 NAM keeps getting stronger....and warmer Its further east with the h5.. was in N LA at 48 on the 18z, its in C MS at 42 on the 00z. Pretty strong h5 as you said as well... looks closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 00Z more progressive but warmer ahead of the storm than 18z. Edit: And juiced. IF we can get in the CCB after 1.5" of rain there's still some precip left for accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 00Z more progressive but warmer ahead of the storm than 18z. Edit: And juiced. IF we can get in the CCB after 1.5" of rain there's still some precip left for accumulating snow. we need it to slow down after 51 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 we need it to slow down after 51 hrs What might help (and if this is weenie, please let me know), it looks like the h5 was nudged E a bit from its 18z run position, which may help us just a lil bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 we need it to slow down after 51 hrs 54h looks really good to me with 0 line SE of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 h5 at 57 is just west of or over ACY, passed southeast of us as at 54 it was SW of RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 54h looks really good to me with 0 line SE of DC gunna' have to check soundings as earlier runs had a warm layer above 850, but we're still too far out to nail it down of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 54h looks really good to me with 0 line SE of DC Barely...but surface temps are warm, and thickness heights arent the best...I still dont think its snow at 54 hr in the metros..probably a little after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 6, 2011 Author Share Posted December 6, 2011 This is a wet system. Close call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 gunna' have to check soundings as earlier runs had a warm layer above 850, but we're still too far out to nail it down of course 850s look better on this run than both 12 and 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Barely...but surface temps are warm, and thickness heights arent the best...I still dont think its snow at 54 hr in the metros..probably a little after. in metro Baltimore, we haven't had a decent qpf storm w/decent temps since 2/10/10 enough to drive one to drink, if one ever had liquor touch his lips, of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 850s by 57 hrs are alot better... I-95 corridor and west are -3 and below, -6c in the mts. No 850 low around here at 54 fwiw... but there is one off to our NE (LI area) by 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 What did I just see? Charlottesville down to Roanoke...KABOOM!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Some similarities of this system to 1/26/2011 with the upper low track. I don't want 6" of mashed potatoes on the trees though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 i need to move northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 i need to move northwest blow up the SE ridge a bit more and even I get snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Some similarities of this system to 1/26/2011 with the upper low track. I don't want 6" of mashed potatoes on the trees though! That storm actually came to mind after i saw the 54-57 hr 850s... but way too early to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 just had to post 1 image. Hello there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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