BethesdaWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 ugh the gap between modeling updates is unbearable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 ugh the gap between modeling updates is unbearable Have some nice dinner, read a cool article online. I highly suggest Reddit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 OK folks - I just came up for air after another long intersector battle on Battle Pirates - I checked the weather forecast What's this about a changeover Wed night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 K - I see DT's 1st guess Time to calm down This is an elevation dependent event I will see a BRIEF interval of flurries on the back end TOPS Back to Battle Pirates Good luck MOUNTAINS and farther north with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 DT's first guess. I like it. But he may be a little light on snowfall? http://1664596.sites...gy/1stguess.jpg lol...makes no sense. There is a sudden jump from trace to 1", and then what comes between 3" and 3-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I'm afraid I allowed myself to think there's a glimmer of hope for something of interest in this storm, and I'm going to end up disappointed. If it doesn't pan out, I will at least have learned a little more about the setup, which is cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 lol...makes no sense. There is a sudden jump from trace to 1", and then what comes between 3" and 3-6"? if you assume it's implied that it's 1"+ etc it makes sense tho i guess that is a tight gradient between a trace and 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 lol...makes no sense. There is a sudden jump from trace to 1", and then what comes between 3" and 3-6"? you ask too many questions you must still be in college Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 RGEM (18Z) at 48 hrs....juiced and warm http://www.weatherof...st/3295_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I like the look of the 500 vort and also the sim radar. Obviously areas n-w are favored but I do believe dca-bwi do better than oct 29th. The ull will be the key since we aren't going to get any snow on the front end. Only as it spins through. Hopefully the ull gets a shot of steroids as it enters NC. As much as I've tried to talk myself out of it, I'm starting to think accum snow is likely from the big cities westward. Edit: I wanted to add that although I said accum snow likely, my expectations are set at 1-2" tops. Areas in upper Moco westward will do better (when isn't that the case). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 RGEM (18Z) at 48 hrs....juiced and warm http://www.weatherof...st/3295_100.gif man thats ugly. Would be nice to see the PV in canada come down SE a bit and the speed of the shortwave not change too much. Unfortunately it seems models usually trend the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 lol...makes no sense. There is a sudden jump from trace to 1", and then what comes between 3" and 3-6"? Come on, Fozz you can understand what that says. We are between 1 and 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 RGEM (18Z) at 48 hrs....juiced and warm http://www.weatherof...st/3295_100.gif Unreadable black and white maps in a foreign language are always wrong. I'm not worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Come on, Fozz you can understand what that says. We are between 1 and 3 inches. I know.....I'm just giving DT a hard time for his inconsistent maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 18z UKIE doesn't look like much help either -- http://vortex.plymouth.edu/gifs/111205235655459441000.gif Thats the 60 hr 850 map. The 850 line is still back in the Apps at 6z Thursday Morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I know.....I'm just giving DT a hard time for his inconsistent maps But it wasn't really inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 18z UKIE doesn't look like much help either -- http://vortex.plymou...55459441000.gif Thats the 60 hr 850 map. The 850 line is still back in the Apps at 6z Thursday Morning we might have hit the sweet spot too soon.. not that we should be expecting a ton of excitement around here at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 RGEM (18Z) at 48 hrs....juiced and warm http://www.weatherof...st/3295_100.gif That's nasty. Temps better crash real quick from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 we might have hit the sweet spot too soon.. not that we should be expecting a ton of excitement around here at least perhaps. Though the UKIE is spitting out a ridiculous amount of QPF hrs 48-60 -- http://vortex.plymou...02950591000.gif (2"+) QPF hrs 60-72 -- http://vortex.plymou...21916099000.gif After hr 60, probably about .6 to .7 QPF falls in the LWX CWA. I would guess the 0c 850 line crosses probably hr 66 (but I can't see it, hr 72 -3c 850 I-95 and west basically) so who knows how much frozen we see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 perhaps. Though the UKIE is spitting out a ridiculous amount of QPF hrs 48-60 -- http://vortex.plymou...02950591000.gif (2"+) QPF hrs 60-72 -- http://vortex.plymou...21916099000.gif After hr 60, probably about .6 to .7 QPF falls in the LWX CWA. I would guess the 0c 850 line crosses probably hr 66 (but I can't see it, hr 72 -3c 850 I-95 and west basically) so who knows how much frozen we see. i actually don't really care what the ukie says... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 When is the 0z nam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 When is the 0z nam? This should answer all of those questions. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 When is the 0z nam? starts around 8:50 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I pulled this from the NY thread. Juicy from the NAM for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 i actually don't really care what the ukie says... Yes you do http://vortex.plymou...21153210000.gif -- 35 degrees at 18z THU? Temp is at 1000mb, so close to surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I really couldn't care less what the UKMET or RGEM/GGEM are showing. They are good time wasters between runs of the GFS, NAM, and Euro, I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 I really couldn't care less what the UKMET or RGEM/GGEM are showing. They are good time wasters between runs of the GFS, NAM, and Euro, I suppose. I don't care about the RGEM/GGEM either, but I like the UKIE. Sometimes will give a flag as to where the EURO may go. Just IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 DT's map looks reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 justin berk's map is.. well, a map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.