Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 should we do play by play here?....in one post? however you want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 07-08 was a Nina and that snow from Dec 07 came from a strong clipper. I think he was referring to 06/07, 07/08 shouldn't have turned out above average at DCA from what I remember about it at least out this way. Edit: Oh you mean in December Alone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 24 hr Euro http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h24&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I think he was referring to 06-07, 07-08 shouldn't have turned out above average at DCA. December 2006 was a complete torch, with no measurable snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I think he was referring to 06/07, 07/08 shouldn't have turned out above average at DCA from what I remember about it. nope, I said 12/07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 In DC, 2 inches on Dec 8th is alot of snow. Since 1950, the cumulative total of Dec. 8th snowfall at DCA is 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro is out to 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 nope, I said 12/07 My bad, thought you were referring to winter '07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 24 hr Euro http://vortex.plymou...t=h24&cu=latest i know we get excited over models here but this is a pretty useless post. we should strive not to make many like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 i know we get excited over models here but this is a pretty useless post. we should strive not to make many like it. I could make a reasonable argument otherwise, but I'll hold my tongue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Since 1950, the cumulative total of Dec. 8th snowfall at DCA is 4". Wow i never thought it would be that low, so 2 inches would be almost like a MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Euro is out to 42 Is it showing rain yet? most other models get the moisture in by that hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 48 hrs....still light/mod rain for everyone...I suppose it may be snowing in western MD in elevation at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I could make a reasonable argument otherwise, but I'll hold my tongue i know it's not just you but we used to have some sort of rule about just posting a map or posting "it's out to such and such". any analysis, even a crappy one, would be preferrable to that imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 hr 48 the trough is a little further south west than 0z but a little faster than the gfs at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 48 hr Euro 850 temps and surface http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=2&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 60 hours....1008mb sfc low in north central NC....850 line just east of IAD...sfc probably warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 looks like it's a little slower than 0z.. warmer too at 60. snow up in elevation well nw at that pt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 wow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 wow.... I love it when Matt does that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 euro hasnt been that consistent yet.. tho we're due to be in the max stripe i guess. ding ding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 In DC, 2 inches on Dec 8th is alot of snow. 2 inches is a lot of snow for the heart of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 ding ding 4 inches for us?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 like .5"+ in that 6 hr panel ending 66.. not all snow but maybe half? then some ull love after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 wow.... explodes at 66. im just looking for a tail end flake, edit: judging at 72 i might get a brief changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Looks like a quick hit of S+ for a few hours...esp nw burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I love it when Matt does that It is moisture laden...we get pasted between 60 and 66 hours....thermal profiles will be huge...the 850 line is well southeast of everyone by hour 66, but the sfc is still marginal and I am guessing the column will be an issue for most/some....but certainly the implication is we all go to snow at some point in that window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 2 inches is a lot of snow for the heart of winter. No it isn't, not for this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 4 inches for us?. i dunno.. 850s crash but they are northwest to start. would probably take under but maybe just under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 like .5"+ in that 6 hr panel ending 66.. not all snow but maybe half? then some ull love after. track still same as 0z but just deeper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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