prinsburg_wx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Thanks alot. Looks warm at the surface, but pretty good aloft. You should do well with this storm...rst has hit the jackpot on the euro for several runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 man, i wish there were people posting obs for the snow developing along the front range of the Rockies...hmmm, I guess there would have to posters from that area on this board...i'd love to see pics and hear what people have to say about the current conditions... Been inside at work in Aurora since 8:15 AM, but general impressions and talking to people are that the N Metro area/Boulder got more (like 6-8)", with the foothills the big winner, while the Denver and South Metro area got 4-5. Breezy. Pretty, but the roads s%$k because they don't treat or plow them much here (why?????). Driving in was a sheet of ice this AM, no sand trucks to be found. Many cars traveling inadvertently in nonpreferred directions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Well I love being wrong. For western NE this storm will take an early N track before interacting with the main northern stream. MN is still a tougher call. EC/UK still have much less northern stream interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 24.8 degrees 4" of fluffy snow. (or maybe a bit more) It stopped snowing. The pics wouldn't look as the pics I took of snowstorms on Oct. 26 or Nov. 2. 6-7" on elevated surfaces in Highlands Ranch, but winds have been gusty at times so huge variations point to point Been inside at work in Aurora since 8:15 AM, but general impressions and talking to people are that the N Metro area/Boulder got more (like 6-8)", with the foothills the big winner, while the Denver and South Metro area got 4-5. Breezy. Pretty, but the roads s%$k because they don't treat or plow them much here (why?????). Driving in was a sheet of ice this AM, no sand trucks to be found. Many cars traveling inadvertently in nonpreferred directions. hey guys! thanks for those obs!!! i love having a mental picture of what's going on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Well I love being wrong. For western NE this storm will take an early N track before interacting with the main northern stream. MN is still a tougher call. EC/UK still have much less northern stream interaction. It's been dry the last 3 months up here so i expect that to continue...la nina winter??? i have better luck with an el nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Damn the Euro makes me nervous, right on the edge of the rain/snow line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormJr Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Well, I'll give the NAM some credit for being consistent, Has continued the track just SW of here...new 12z gives MSP 0.31" liquid....0.87" liquid at RST. Looked like the 6z GFS gave a nudge to the NW as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 It's been dry the last 3 months up here so i expect that to continue...la nina winter??? i have better luck with an el nino. The more I look at things I think we are heading towards a below normal winter up here for snowfall. I do think we are cold though, just most of the big phased storms hit to the east and we get northern stream moisture starved junk for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 This looks like a pretty classic setup for a coastal low/trough to develop along the Lower/Mid TX Coastal region. I wouldn't be surprised to see an impressive moisture shield up into N TX and perhaps a little accumulation of back end snow Monday night into Tuesday morning, depending on the timing of the 5H trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 If someone gets a chance could they post the 12z Euro data for KLSE and KRST for the upcoming storm. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 If someone gets a chance could they post the 12z Euro data for KLSE and KRST for the upcoming storm. Thanks LSE SAT 12Z 03-DEC 0.5 -1.1 1023 95 97 0.03 561 543 SAT 18Z 03-DEC 1.3 -1.3 1022 98 99 0.08 560 543 SUN 00Z 04-DEC 0.1 -1.0 1019 99 90 0.21 556 541 SUN 06Z 04-DEC -0.3 -2.4 1016 97 99 0.27 551 539 SUN 12Z 04-DEC -1.5 -5.0 1015 92 100 0.07 545 533 SUN 18Z 04-DEC 0.1 -6.9 1020 79 89 0.02 544 528 RST SAT 18Z 03-DEC 0.7 -2.2 1022 92 100 0.04 559 541 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -1.0 -2.9 1019 97 100 0.24 554 539 SUN 06Z 04-DEC -2.4 -4.9 1017 94 100 0.24 548 535 SUN 12Z 04-DEC -3.2 -6.5 1017 93 99 0.05 543 530 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Thanks alot. Looks like it should at least be decent event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Possibly big snows for areas NW of Des Moines... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Crazy gradient is expected to develop with this storm across much of Nebraska. The influence of the northern stream wave and the expected banding will result in some big differences in snowfall. Going to be a nail biter for my CWA. We eventually issued a WWA for our far SE counties. Upstream into MN it won't be any easier. More sharp gradients, and some portions of far NW Twin Cities may see little to nothing with 3-5"+ across the far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 The coupled jet is beginning to take shape. As the ejecting PV anomaly begins to progress northward, this feature should expand northward and intensify across central NE as it begins to interact with the northern stream. Shows up nicely across NM and CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Raw data from a few select cities off of the 0z ECMWF... DEN: SAT 12Z 03-DEC -5.5 -4.2 1024 83 100 0.02 551 532 SAT 18Z 03-DEC -5.3 -5.3 1028 78 99 0.13 551 528 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -7.2 -4.8 1027 62 76 0.02 550 529 LBF: SAT 12Z 03-DEC -2.1 -4.5 1022 74 82 0.01 555 537 SAT 18Z 03-DEC -2.1 -7.5 1025 63 97 0.07 552 532 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -2.8 -7.6 1024 61 74 0.05 549 529 OMA: SAT 06Z 03-DEC 1.0 2.4 1022 85 99 0.02 563 546 SAT 12Z 03-DEC 0.9 -1.1 1022 93 85 0.09 562 545 SAT 18Z 03-DEC 0.6 -1.4 1020 92 100 0.08 560 544 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -1.2 -4.0 1019 92 100 0.31 554 538 SUN 06Z 04-DEC -2.3 -6.4 1021 83 96 0.05 550 533 GLD: SAT 12Z 03-DEC -3.0 -5.1 1020 81 90 0.05 556 540 SAT 18Z 03-DEC -3.2 -7.0 1024 81 99 0.25 552 533 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -4.5 -6.5 1025 73 88 0.07 551 531 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Raw data from a few select cities off of the 0z ECMWF... DEN: SAT 12Z 03-DEC -5.5 -4.2 1024 83 100 0.02 551 532 SAT 18Z 03-DEC -5.3 -5.3 1028 78 99 0.13 551 528 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -7.2 -4.8 1027 62 76 0.02 550 529 LBF: SAT 12Z 03-DEC -2.1 -4.5 1022 74 82 0.01 555 537 SAT 18Z 03-DEC -2.1 -7.5 1025 63 97 0.07 552 532 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -2.8 -7.6 1024 61 74 0.05 549 529 OMA: SAT 06Z 03-DEC 1.0 2.4 1022 85 99 0.02 563 546 SAT 12Z 03-DEC 0.9 -1.1 1022 93 85 0.09 562 545 SAT 18Z 03-DEC 0.6 -1.4 1020 92 100 0.08 560 544 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -1.2 -4.0 1019 92 100 0.31 554 538 SUN 06Z 04-DEC -2.3 -6.4 1021 83 96 0.05 550 533 GLD: SAT 12Z 03-DEC -3.0 -5.1 1020 81 90 0.05 556 540 SAT 18Z 03-DEC -3.2 -7.0 1024 81 99 0.25 552 533 SUN 00Z 04-DEC -4.5 -6.5 1025 73 88 0.07 551 531 Thanks. That is actually more than I was thinking it would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 3, 2011 Author Share Posted December 3, 2011 Snow is falling this morning across New Mexico and freezing rain across the Texas Panhandle has prompted Winter Weather Advisories. Areas N and W of Amarillo should change over to light snow as the morning progresses. It appears a bit of an ice storm is in progress across Western Kansas, W of Dodge City. I see Winter Storm Warnings are up for 4-8 inches of snow from Lamar to McCook this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomad Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 About 3 inches so far just SW of Denver, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 About 3 inches so far just SW of Denver, FWIW. yay, snow is wonderful!!! enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 824 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0823 AM SNOW CAMBRIDGE 40.28N 100.17W 12/03/2011 M7.0 INCH FURNAS NE CO-OP OBSERVER 0803 AM SNOW ORD 41.60N 98.93W 12/03/2011 M2.0 INCH VALLEY NE CO-OP OBSERVER 0735 AM SNOW 6 SSE LEXINGTON 40.70N 99.70W 12/03/2011 M4.5 INCH GOSPER NE CO-OP OBSERVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 It is a wintry wonderland right now. We are at about 0.5" but as expected, sharp gradient in snow totals. Up to 3-4" in Frontier Cty along the edge of our CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 About 3 inches so far just SW of Denver, FWIW. Hard to tell with all the blowing snow, but I would say the Monument area has gotten about the same from this event. That wind is really whipping out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 At the weather office. Pushing over an inch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 At the weather office. Pushing over an inch now. Nice, enjoy. I might get some flurries or a brief period of light snow but this thing is going just se of me...the drought continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Started out at 38 here in southeast minnesota this morning but once the precip started we have dropped to 34.5. Looks like only a couple inches here due to marginal temps. Snow mixed with rain now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 477 ACUS11 KWNS 031637 SWOMCD SPC MCD 031637 IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-032130- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2368 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1037 AM CST SAT DEC 03 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB...NWRN IA AND S-CNTRL MN CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 031637Z - 032130Z BANDS OF SNOW WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED RATES FROM 0.5 TO 1 INCH PER HOUR INITIALLY ACROSS ERN NEB WILL EXPAND NEWD INTO NWRN IA AND S-CNTRL MN DURING THE AFTERNOON. LATE THIS MORNING A DEEP QUASI-STATIONARY BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDS FROM CNTRL KS THROUGH NWRN IA INTO SRN MN AND CNTRL WI. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS INDICATED ON WV IMAGERY OVER CNTRL KS. AS THIS FEATURE EJECTS NEWD...A SURFACE WAVE AND ZONE OF STRONGER LOW-MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING WILL DEVELOP NEWD THROUGH NWRN IA AND EVENTUALLY SRN MN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS MIGRATORY ZONE OF STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL PROMOTE BANDS OF SNOW DEVELOPING NEWD. A POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST AND SUSTAINED HEAVY SNOW EVENT IS TENDENCY FOR EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO DEAMPLIFY WITH TIME WHICH MAY TEMPER DEGREE OF FORCING NECESSARY TO MAINTAIN ORGANIZED HEAVY SNOW BANDS AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS NEWD. NEVERTHELESS...AREAS FROM ERN NEB INTO NWRN IA AND EVENTUALLY SRN MN MAY EXPERIENCE PERIODS OF SNOWFALL WITH RATES LOCALLY FROM 0.5 TO 1 INCH PER HOUR INTO THE AFTERNOON. ..DIAL.. 12/03/2011 ..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID... LAT...LON 43299334 40989660 40419806 41349815 44169391 43299334 CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 such a raw day out...i am not leaving the house under any circumstances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Just got back from a run, stiff N breeze around 20 mph makes it easier to go in 1 direction. Between 3.5 and 4 inches total, keep thinking this will be it then another micro-band forms. Very high s/w ratio, probably 15:1 at least. Hard to assess totals like this. We're around 23 for the season though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Highest total thus far... 1051 AM HEAVY SNOW HERNDON 39.91N 100.79W 12/03/2011 E12.0 INCH RAWLINS KS TRAINED SPOTTER Heavy snow in the Omaha area currently... KOMA 031833Z 34009KT 1/4SM R14R/4000VP6000FT +SN FZFG SCT004 OVC008 M00/M02 A2998 KFET 031835Z AUTO 35005KT 1/4SM +SN OVC003 00/M01 A2999 RMK AO2 P0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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