Ozarkwx Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Thanks guys. Still waiting for the final nail in the drought coffin. The last 2 systems have been busts and this one keeps getting pared back rainwise as well. Now is the time of year to do it, I am in no mood for another summer like the last 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 Anyone have a boat I can borrow lol!!! Everything is so flooded out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 10, 2013 Share Posted April 10, 2013 1.31" here and still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 Had some flakes this morning... enough to cover the back deck in most spots. That is the most snow I remember in April. I am ready for the nice warm temps again. Looks like that will be the case by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 12, 2013 Share Posted April 12, 2013 12z GFS has some snow again around the 18th or so.... weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 12z GFS has some snow again around the 18th or so.... weird. I am newbie to this regional forum (as my name suggests, I am from NJ), but I am in Oklahoma City for a few days, and I was shocked to catch the tail end of the weather on the local news. They were talking about snow by Thursday getting almost (not quite but almost) as far south and east as Oklahoma City. I only had time for a quick glance at the models but it does appear to be a (slim) possibility. I am very curious to see if it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 Looks like we get the region into a slight risk of severe weather by Monday, with chances continuing Tuesday and Wednesday. Spring has sprung!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted April 13, 2013 Share Posted April 13, 2013 I am newbie to this regional forum (as my name suggests, I am from NJ), but I am in Oklahoma City for a few days, and I was shocked to catch the tail end of the weather on the local news. They were talking about snow by Thursday getting almost (not quite but almost) as far south and east as Oklahoma City. I only had time for a quick glance at the models but it does appear to be a (slim) possibility. I am very curious to see if it pans out. Welcome to the crazy Midwest weather! Im from jersey also, millville to be exact(not to far from cherry hill). Moved here about 6yrs ago, weather is definately nutty out this way for sure!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted April 14, 2013 Share Posted April 14, 2013 Slight risk for severe weather today. Looks like hail should be the biggest threat again today. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 14, 2013 Share Posted April 14, 2013 Slight risk for severe weather today. Looks like hail should be the biggest threat again today. Thoughts? Also the risk of an isolated tornado it looks like, but I think that would be confined to NE OK and SE KS early on in the event. The big question mark is Wednesday with the GFS/NAM returning the warm front north, and the Euro pushing the front across as a squall line. If the GFS/NAM are right, we may be in trouble. But my money is on the Euro right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted April 15, 2013 Share Posted April 15, 2013 Looks like the setup is coming together for a big severe weather event on Wednesday, especially across OK. It is not every day you see probabilities like this coming out from the SPC during a day three outlook: There are some differences in the models that will hopefully be ironed out in the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSMweather Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Looks like Benton County Arkansas got a lot of rain. http://5newsonline.com/2013/04/18/state-of-emergency-in-benton-county/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted April 21, 2013 Share Posted April 21, 2013 Was in Columbia Thursday through Saturday. We had some flurries Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 23, 2013 Share Posted April 23, 2013 And back to winter we go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted April 23, 2013 Share Posted April 23, 2013 And back to winter we go... Yep its like mother nature doesnt want to let go, 30's for lows and springfield even mentioned a snow flurry possible tonight!!!!!!! All this rain lately also is just got everything so underwater here. Anyone go morel mushroom hunting on this board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westhope84 Posted April 24, 2013 Share Posted April 24, 2013 From Tulsa's afternoon discussion: JUST BEYOND THE SCOPE OF THIS FORECAST PACKAGE..BOTH GFS / ECMWF BRING ANOTHER DEEP H5 LOW INTOTHE PLAINS. GFS CENTERED MORE IN CENTRAL PLAINS00Z MAY 3RD. ECMWF DIRECTLY OVER OKLAHOMA. HOPEGFS IS CLOSER..OR WE`LL BE LOOKING AT POTENTIALFOR SNOW. ...Are you kidding me? If this happens, it will be the greatest day in my weather-geek life. What a strange pattern. Can you imagine the temperatures we would be experiencing with these departures occuring in late January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Anyone want to bet on this actually happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Bet it doesn't happen, but considering how weird this year has been, never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted April 25, 2013 Share Posted April 25, 2013 Anyone have any thoughts on the rain Friday/Saturday? I'm playing golf in Hot Springs first thing Saturday morning. Sounds like it may be a little wet early on but pushing out. What are the chances of teeing off at 8 am? And snow would be crazy in May! Even if it doesn't stick. That would be nuts. I read Tulsa's comments this afternoon at work and laughed. Stranger things have happened and nothing surprises me anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Is snow really possible? Is the NAM out to lunch again? Is the GFS trending toward the NAM a head fake? Find out next time on "As The Model Runs Turn." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 Is snow really possible? Is the NAM out to lunch again? Is the GFS trending toward the NAM a head fake? Find out next time on "As The Model Runs Turn." LOL springfield is saying a possible change from rain to snow on thursday evening into friday morning am before changing back over to rain. CRAZYYYY weather for sure, and its gonna get downright cold for may! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Wow, it is really quiet in here. I figured it would be hopping with this potentially historic event on the verge of unfolding. Or maybe it is just these pain meds from my surgery talking. Either way, it will be interesting to see what plays out. NW... I will driving through your area tomorrow up 13 toward Clinton for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 Wow, it is really quiet in here. I figured it would be hopping with this potentially historic event on the verge of unfolding. Or maybe it is just these pain meds from my surgery talking. Either way, it will be interesting to see what plays out. NW... I will driving through your area tomorrow up 13 toward Clinton for the weekend. Be careful cause heading north and west there will be more of a snow impact. Im right on the county line here almost and thats where the winter weather advisory starts from st,clair northwards. Springfield says 1-3 inches possible lol. They also said the snow may be really heavy so yep really be careful ok! I know polk county here does a horrid job on roads and the overpass right by our rental here gets bad quickly. Im right at the humansville/caplinger mills overpass. Beep your horn tomorrow Ill probly be able to hear you lol beings I can see that overpass from our rental. Oh and also be careful on 13 these people drive like maniacs in the snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 yeah, I gotta say it's pretty crazy that I'm probably going to get some snow on May 3rd. Doesn't seem real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 2, 2013 Share Posted May 2, 2013 yeah, I gotta say it's pretty crazy that I'm probably going to get some snow on May 3rd. Doesn't seem real. You guys are under the H5 low. Good chance you'll be able to get something on grassy surfaces before the sun angle melts it during the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 The fact that we're even talking snow much less under a WWA is nuts. Even if it doesn't amount to anything it's quite amazing. I have barely seen 1 inch of snow all season long as you all know from my constant whining. How hilarious would it be for my largest snowfall to be on May 3rd!!! Even if it's on the grass that's still cool. I barely need an inch to double what I've seen so far! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 NWS Tulsa: DISCUSSION...IT IS OFFICIAL...SNOWFLAKES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AT WFO TULSA THISAFTERNOON...THE LATEST TRACE OF SNOW ON RECORD! SOME OTHER REPORTSOF SLEET OR SNOW AROUND THE AREA AS WELL MAINLY WITHIN HEAVIERBANDS OF PRECIP. SNOW ALSO REPORTED IN LAST HOUR IN SE KANSASWITH SECOND BAND OF PRECIP MOVING THROUGH.DEEPENING UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFTTHROUGH THE EVENING AS MORE FOCUSED AREA OF PRECIP SHIFTS TO THEEAST FOR TONIGHT. STILL NO GUARANTEE THAT THE COLUMN WILL COOLENOUGH AT THE VERY LOWEST LEVELS FOR A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW BUTDO THINK MORE SIGNIFICANT BANDS OF PRECIP STAND A CHANCE TOPRODUCE SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW. MOST RECENT MODEL TRENDS HAVETARGETED EXTREME NE OKLAHOMA AND NW ARKANSAS CONSISTENTLY WITHACCUMULATING SNOW AND WHILE THE AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY MUCH TOOHIGH...WE ARE CONCERNED ENOUGH ABOUT AT LEAST LOCAL ACCUMULATIONSOF AN INCH OR SO ON GRASSY SURFACES ESPECIALLY IN SOME OF THEELEVATED TERRAIN OF FAR NW ARKANSAS. EVEN THOUGH TRAVEL IMPACTSARE NOT LIKELY AS SFC TEMPS STAY JUST ABOVE FREEZING...EVEN MODESTACCUMULATIONS ON TREES AT THIS TIME OF YEAR CAN BE DAMAGING. THUSWILL GO WITH WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME NE OKLAHOMA ANDMUCH OF NW ARKANSAS...KNOWING FULL WELL THAT YES...IT IS MAY.ALREADY SOME CLEARING SKIES ACROSS WESTERN OK AND WHILE THE LOWEVENTUALLY CUTS OFF AND PUTS THE BRAKES ON THAT...FELL ENOUGHCLEARING FROM TULSA WEST TONIGHT TO ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP TO 32 OR ALITTLE BELOW. THUS WILL UPGRADE TO FREEZE WARNING...INCLUDINGTULSA METRO. THAT WOULD BREAK A RECORD FOR LATEST FREEZE AT TUL BYONE DAY...PREVIOUS MAY 2 1909. TEMPS WILL BE CLOSE TO FREEZING INAREAS FARTHER EAST BUT CONFIDENCE IS STILL NOT HIGH ENOUGH TOUPGRADE AT THIS TIME...HOPEFULLY EVENING SHIFT WILL BE ABLE TO GETA BETTER HANDLE ON IT.UPPER LOW WILL BE SLOW TO LEAVE US BEHIND KEEPING A VERY COOL ANDWET REGIME IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST PART OF SATURDAY. AS THE LOWWRAPS UP IT WILL TAP BETTER MOISTURE TO THE EAST ASSOCIATED WITHLOW ON THE GULF COAST...THUS WRAP AROUND PRECIP SHOULD DEVELOPLATE FRIDAY. WITH UPPER LOW MORE OR LESS OVERHEAD...SNOW POSSIBLEONCE AGAIN IN SOME AREAS AFTER DARK. FREEZE WATCH WILL BE LEFT FORNW ARKANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT AS WELL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Coming down good in Kansas city right now. Stadium looks covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Been sleeting for awhile here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted May 3, 2013 Share Posted May 3, 2013 Been sleeting for awhile here now. Sleeting here also. Whats your temp down there jomo? Last I looked it was 36 here lol, crazy? just a bit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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