The Waterboy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Seems like this is all we say anymore lol, maybe next year. Next year Ill most likely be living in fayetteville and the storms will be hitting north haha, oh well it is what it is right I'm hoping you moving to Fayetteville brings us some good luck down this way. If next year sucks again it will be 3 in a row for this area. It's crazy how many storms have missed us north and south. I feel like I'm in a black hole. It's starting to piss me off. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Now if the Euro heads the direction of the GGEM my interest is back. yeah that might be a pretty good hit, can't really tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 UKMET and GGEM both in the south camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 I'm hoping you moving to Fayetteville brings us some good luck down this way. If next year sucks again it will be 3 in a row for this area. It's crazy how many storms have missed us north and south. I feel like I'm in a black hole. It's starting to piss me off. LOL! Hey you never know lol. Maybe I can bring some good luck, but then again I have pretty bad luck haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Nice on the UKMET. GGEM/UK alliance FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Still wrapping up too early for me, at least on the GEM. I want it deepening as it passes to the east of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 As the full suite of guidance continues to pour in, it appears the operational NAM/GFS are actually toward the northern end of the envelope. I'd say the consensus track right now is just barely far enough NW to make most of us nervous, but easily doable with another nudge south. Caveat, of course: King Euro has been its cool, calm and consistent self for the past several runs, so I'd sure like to see it join the party tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 The GGEM crushes OK on the backside for 18+ hours straight, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 The cold air seems to lag a bit. That's why I want it to wrap up farther east. GGEM precip type: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Euro is south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Euro also buries OK from the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Well, it snows here. Now if we could just work on two things. 1. Not being so wrapped up so quickly, or just not sucking in a lot of warm air. 2. More precip in the cold sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Well, it's snows here. Now if we could just work on two things. 1. Not being so wrapped up so quickly, or just not sucking in a lot of warm air. 2. More precip in the cold sector. Yeah, the explicit snowfall output on the Euro is disappointing, to say the least. I'm not sure what to think. It seemed to lowball QPF on the past couple systems IIRC, and it's awfully hard to see that H5 map and not expect a major blizzard somewhere, especially in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Yeah, the explicit snowfall output on the Euro is disappointing, to say the least. I'm not sure what to think. It seemed to lowball QPF on the past couple systems IIRC, and it's awfully hard to see that H5 map and not expect a major blizzard somewhere, especially in February. Euro has low balled here lately, but still gives me about an inch (.99) lol wonder if we see any watches issued for this storm around 4-5am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39477-february-25th-26th-potential-significant-winter-storm/ Lets try and get a good disco in one main thread with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 I'm hearing some of the models have trended north again, Dangit! Kansas got their storm last week... Let this be ours!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Well, when it's not your year, it's not your year. Maybe next year. Edit: Euro does have some snow farther east though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Well we have todays and tomorrows runs still. Most of these things trended to far south over time if anything so Im not completely writing it off as of yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 I just can't get excited anymore until it's actually snowing and piling up. I've missed every storm by 60 miles north and south this year. I keep thinking something's gotta give... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Bet it tracks up I-44 with all the snow back in KS and N and W OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Bet it tracks up I-44 with all the snow back in KS and N and W OK. Yea but even still this would bring some snow on the backside wouldnt it? Springfields early am disco said 3-5" for northern areas, wherever that is in their eyes? What would you think for me jomo as of right now by what you see? Like waterboy said somethings gotta give lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Euro looks like a decent track for backside snows, especially I-44 corridor and points north across OK and MO, where the trowel tracks. Lesser amounts of precip south of there in the cold sector. Gonna be a close call for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Bartlesville are in the right path, i think we will be in the 4 0 5 inches , but can still change .What do you think about it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Bartlesville are in the right path, i think we will be in the 4 0 5 inches , but can still change .What do you think about it? It looks pretty close at this time. Any bump NW and you're in trouble. There's going to be an insane gradient probably. Look at the GFS overlay. http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=INX Coffeyville gets what.. 2-3" but just to the northwest in the same county, they get a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
minninni31 Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 All depends when rain changeover to snow. I believe that cold air will come little bit later but I am optimist with the low come slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 18z NAM came back south a good bit. The model remains useless. I'm hoping for some atmospheric magic under that upper low with dynamic cooling and heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 It looks like the shift south still isn't near enough for many of us especially those of us in NWA. Sounds like this will be a close call for 1-44 but I think I need a huge shift south down around the Red River. Are any of the models tracking this far south or is the current definition of "south" still taking the low through central OK/Ark? EDIT: Looks like the NOGAPS has the low around Texarkana/Shreveport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 pretty sure there is a topic already made for the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted February 23, 2013 Share Posted February 23, 2013 Yeah, I think it'd be cool if we consolidated the talk for this upcoming snowstorm into one thread. We already have so few posters - I'd hate to see the discussion fractured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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