Ozarkwx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Not quite to 1.5" yet, but still raining. Nice to see (and hear) the waterfalls running again this eveing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Hey 24/7 what are you showing for a rain total from this system? I think my gauge is messed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 All that rain so sudden has my backyard under water lol. The stream down the road is also roaring like niagra falls! Its so neat but odd cause that thing has been bone dry lately. Picked up just shy of 2" of rain here, springfield is saying light rain(currently doing again) over to maybe some light snow through afternoon with a dusting possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanB Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Nice rainfall event yesterday here in Kansas City…picked up close to 1” of rainfall making it our most substantial 1 day rainfall since Labor Day. Now picked up about .5 snowfall. All of this after reaching 75 on Monday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 So it turns out we had a presumed tornado about a mile from my house at around 4pm yesterday. Here is a snippet from our neighbor's description on FB: Tornado a little to close for comfort. Lucky no damage here but a few trees on the hill. Neighbors on the hill not so lucky but could have been so much worse. The tornado came within 10 or 15 feet of their homes. They lost barns, cattle, fence and sheds. As far as I know they are all safe. Rex took off to help find cattle and fix fence at Jeff's farm. He is still looking for cattle and has to get the fence back up to keep them in. Not sure if he lost hay. You can't even tell there was a barn there. No trusses, no sign of the metal roof as far as the eye can see. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 There was an EF-1 tornado yesterday up by NwWhiteOut. Another tornado in NW Arkansas in Crawford county. They saw what they thought was debris on dual-pol with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 There was an EF-1 tornado yesterday up by NwWhiteOut. Another tornado in NW Arkansas in Crawford county. They saw what they thought was debris on dual-pol with that one. Was it near lowry city do you know? One of my friends said the nado sirens were going off in the town up there...I havent heard back from my friend yet so I dont know for sure what happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Was it near lowry city do you know? One of my friends said the nado sirens were going off in the town up there...I havent heard back from my friend yet so I dont know for sure what happened 4 miles NNE of Gerster, which would have put it near Quincy or about halfway between Lowry City and Wheatland. Looks like there was another one, or the one before the Gerster one 2 miles SSE of Cedar Springs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 4 miles NNE of Gerster, which would have put it near Quincy or about halfway between Lowry City and Wheatland. Looks like there was another one, or the one before the Gerster one 2 miles SSE of Cedar Springs. Crazy and it was 75 the other day! Now its like 27 out lol. I never ceased to be amazed out here with the weather. Did you guys have any snow down that way? Snowed off and on for a bit here throughout the morning but did not accumulate to anything as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I feel like we will start to see a better pattern here by mid-February, based on projected MJO phase and what some of the experts are thinking and is now showing up on some long-range modeling. The mean trough position will hopefully shift back to the western and central parts of the country and put us in a wetter pattern. We have to get out of the persistent and dry NW flow. With the PV still on our side of the globe there will be sufficient arctic air to be tapped into. The next big storm of interest on the GFS appears to be in the Feb 10 timeframe, which would fit well in Doug's 48-50 day pattern this winter. If you project forward in time 48-50 days from the big Christmas Eve storm you end up close to the 10th-12th of Feb. Not saying it will happen but I could see a big storm crossing the country in that period, whether it makes us all happy or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Yeah, I just don't want to see it cut west and we end up dealing with severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Are any of you guys getting snow today? I get up from a nap(sick bad)and look outside to a nice surprise, ITS SNOWING lol. The ground is covered here and its coming down pretty darn good. Where the heck did this come from cause last time I read the forecast(lastnight) it did not even mention this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Nothing here yet but seeing the returns on radar. NWS says scattered snow showers this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 yeah it's snowing here now. A little system pushing the cold front through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Snowing pretty good here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Its off and on now here but we picked up a nice little dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Over here as well but at least 1/2" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Agree. I feel like we will start to see a better pattern here by mid-February, based on projected MJO phase and what some of the experts are thinking and is now showing up on some long-range modeling. The mean trough position will hopefully shift back to the western and central parts of the country and put us in a wetter pattern. We have to get out of the persistent and dry NW flow. With the PV still on our side of the globe there will be sufficient arctic air to be tapped into. The next big storm of interest on the GFS appears to be in the Feb 10 timeframe, which would fit well in Doug's 48-50 day pattern this winter. If you project forward in time 48-50 days from the big Christmas Eve storm you end up close to the 10th-12th of Feb. Not saying it will happen but I could see a big storm crossing the country in that period, whether it makes us all happy or not. The 11-15 day charts remind me of December. Winter weather in the Heartland. Split flow could deliver the cold from the north and southern stream systems. Yes, the cycle is due to shift back in favor of the Heartland. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 2 years ago today..... Blizzard of 2011 http://www.crh.noaa.gov/sgf/?n=event_2011feb01_summary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 For a bit of optimism now... here's a snippet from Larry Cosgrove's latest newletter. He basically thinks cold in the heartland from mid-Feb into March. Another storm should organize over Texas and the western Gulf Coast around February 12. This feature will form as a result of a "left behind" cold pool and energy which separates from the major disturbance predicted to occur in the medium range. The trajectory of the extended period low pressure system looks to be along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains or through the Piedmont and Atlantic Coastal Plain. This type of path would allow for significant snowfall from the Ozark Plateau through much of the Midwest and Great Lakes, before the low moves into Quebec by February 15. I would not rule out a third, weaker impulse along the trailing frontal structure in Dixie and the East Coast around February 17 - 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 For a bit of optimism now... here's a snippet from Larry Cosgrove's latest newletter. He basically thinks cold in the heartland from mid-Feb into March. Another storm should organize over Texas and the western Gulf Coast around February 12. This feature will form as a result of a "left behind" cold pool and energy which separates from the major disturbance predicted to occur in the medium range. The trajectory of the extended period low pressure system looks to be along the spine of the Appalachian Mountains or through the Piedmont and Atlantic Coastal Plain. This type of path would allow for significant snowfall from the Ozark Plateau through much of the Midwest and Great Lakes, before the low moves into Quebec by February 15. I would not rule out a third, weaker impulse along the trailing frontal structure in Dixie and the East Coast around February 17 - 19. Man I really do hope something happens cause we are almost out of time now with the sun angle getting higher. This is probly the worst winter season I have ever seen, I thought last year was bad but wow this one takes them all! Its definately colder but just so dry during the colder days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Dont look now but tonites GFS has 2 snow chances for the region over the next 2 weeks. The 1st is what was referenced in my post above from Larry Cosgrove, actually right on cue with his dates. Still a ways out but something to keep an eye on at least. Trough sets up over the center of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GFS even more bullish now on snow for early-mid week next week, keeping inline with the thoughts above. Waiting on the Euro to jump on board now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NWS Springfield this morning: INTERESTINGLY...THE LARGESCALE PATTERN WILL SUPPORT STRONG DIGGING OF ENERGY INTO THESOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LONG WAVE RIDGEBUILDS ALONG THE WEST COAST. THE FATE OF THIS ENERGY IS YET TO BEDETERMINED...BUT IT WILL HAVE A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS TO WORK WITHVERSUS THE SYSTEM THIS WEEKEND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 12z Euro further SE and not as strong. Scoots surface LP along the gulf coast and then becomes another storm for the eastern seaboard. Has a much larger storm looming for the southern plains though beyond D10, possibly wintery. GGEM not very impressive, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Crappy winter is crappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nice run of the 0z GFS tonite for next week's system. Shows a good area-wide snow for much of this region. Need the Euro to come on now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nice run of the 0z GFS tonite for next week's system. Shows a good area-wide snow for much of this region. Need the Euro to come on now. I haven't looked a model run in the last 2 plus weeks and decided tonight to pull the 0z GFS. I was surprised and happy to see something to potentially get excited about. Let's hope this trend continues. We need some action on here. It's been way too boring recently. Is everyone that is normally on here out playing golf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I won't believe it until it shows up within 48 hours, heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 No support from the Euro and the snow vanishes on the 06z GFS. What a winter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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