jcwxguy Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Nice write up by a snow loving TV met on 40/29 TV in Fayetteville. Anybody know Darby Bybee? We should try and get him to participate with all you snow addicts hounds here. he used to work for klkn-tv channel 8 in lincoln, ne, still was working there last i looked, but thats been a year or two ago. http://www.klkntv.com/Global/story.asp?s=9170929 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Interesting 00z Euro run tonight. Looks like it brings some very chilly air down and cuts off a huge low over the southern Plains. That's a strange solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Interesting 00z Euro run tonight. Looks like it brings some very chilly air down and cuts off a huge low over the southern Plains. That's a strange solution. 12z GFS looks similar with a southern plains L then moves it almost due north and bombs 980 L around MKX at 240hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 12z GFS looks similar with a southern plains L then moves it almost due north and bombs 980 L around MKX at 240hr. Yep, the signal is there for a big storm. The models will be 'confused' until they can sort everything out though as large storms and pattern type changes lead to extreme solutions. Very cold look after that, single digits and negative numbers up in your neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 JoMo should like the Euro at 192-216... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Yep, the signal is there for a big storm. The models will be 'confused' until they can sort everything out though as large storms and pattern type changes lead to extreme solutions. Very cold look after that, single digits and negative numbers up in your neck of the woods. 12z euro crawls the L over se MO at 216hr and snows in your area from hr 204-234 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 JoMo should like the Euro at 192-216... JoMo love the Euro at 192-216. Deepening storm system tracking from DFW to SE MO. Cold air surging south from Canada. 850 MB winds on the back side of that sucker at 216 are 60 kts in some places. GFS and Euro both have a big storm around this time so it probably will happen but who knows where it's going to get setup at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I'll take it as well if we get some half decent moisture advection in the warm sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 12z euro crawls the L over se MO at 216hr and snows in your area from hr 204-234 30 hours of snow? Psht, never happen. But let's say it did, how much would we be looking at? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I'm gonna guess at least 15-20". With blizzard conditions, the CAA is insane. I.E. it would be a historic storm for southern MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 euro for 20th storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I'm gonna guess at least 15-20". With blizzard conditions, the CAA is insane. I.E. it would be a historic storm for southern MO. I would agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 OK..OK...I just looked at those maps...what a storm that would be!!! That is a very favorable track for Tulsa, OK as well!! Any guess that kinda snow totals we would be looking at?? (If it happened?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Probably more than that (25"+)...you just have to realize how long 30 straight hours of snow is, especially with a storm of the magnitude that the Euro would be...yes JoMo we realize how much we're tickling your fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 I'm gonna guess at least 15-20". With blizzard conditions, the CAA is insane. I.E. it would be a historic storm for southern MO. How would the storm impact OKC? I can't believe I'm asking this 8-9 days out. We're dying for some interesting weather over here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 OKC/TSA would get hammered as well in this situation, probably a longer duration of strong winds in addition to significant accumulations. Actually FWD would probably take a strong hit as well. This all assuming adequate moisture advection of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 nothing here in mcpherson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Probably more than that (25"+)...you just have to realize how long 30 straight hours of snow is, especially with a storm of the magnitude that the Euro would be...yes JoMo we realize how much we're tickling your fanny. You know this is probably going to end up tracking right over Joplin and we'll be in the dry slot, right? lol We had 19" or so back on Feb 1st of last year. Never thought I'd see that much snow. That was intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanB Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Event looks fairly good for Kansas City as well considering the difficult time we have had getting precip into the area since the Fall of 2011. As for the storm system Wednesday night into Thursday morning…it appears we have a decent shot at snow in Kansas City according to the latest model trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Event looks fairly good for Kansas City as well considering the difficult time we have had getting precip into the area since the Fall of 2011. As for the storm system Wednesday night into Thursday morning…it appears we have a decent shot at snow in Kansas City according to the latest model trends. Yeah the storm Wed-Thurs does look like it will bring you some snow. It doesn't look like a big huge event at this time but even a little bit matters to get one in the Christmas mood this close to Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 looks like StL would get hit good too with the post Christmas storm on the Euro...that would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 KC put this up for you all up north for the upcoming storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 18z GFS still going big for the Christmas/day after storm. This was the Feb 1st 2011 blizzard.. You might notice where the High pressure is over Montana and the track of the storm: 18z 228 HR GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 That snow map above from the 18Z GFS will probably NOT verify...but the track as Jomo pointed out is VERY similar to our February 2011 Blizzard here in Tulsa...eerily similar!! Trying to not get too excited, but trends are looking up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted December 17, 2012 Author Share Posted December 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 yeah I was looking at that earlier. 50-60 MPH wind gusts and snow (actually makes the snow have tiny flakes though). We still have a long way to go though, but it does look like there will be a storm of some kind in the neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArkieOkie Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 Garrett Lewis has a good blog post up, too. http://5newsonline.com/2012/12/17/garretts-blog-christmas-storm-system-travel-impacts-possible/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 Lots of good write ups on the storm. Will be monitoring this forum and other sources for detailed updates. I enjoy the activity today. It has been a while since it has been hoppin' like this. Will be curious to see what the 00z models do with this week's storm tonight and then will turn the attention to next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 18, 2012 Share Posted December 18, 2012 00z GFS 12+" for SE KS and NE OK this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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