ouamber Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 18Z GFS came in much lighter on snow for our storm and faster. Looks like it's heading towards the faster Euro approach. Could be just flurries See depressing map below http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2012120318&time=3&var=ASNOWI&hour=168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 18Z GFS came in much lighter on snow for our storm and faster. Looks like it's heading towards the faster Euro approach. Could be just flurries See depressing map below http://www.instantwe...ASNOWI&hour=168 lol somebody is living life run-to-run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Darn, only 2-3 feet on the DGEX for St. Louis.... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Darn, only 2-3 feet on the DGEX for St. Louis.... lol Makes that 8-12 for Joplin seem trivial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Makes that 8-12 for Joplin seem trivial. yeah it's the DGEX though. I mean the extended NAM, how weird is that? I'd settle for an inch of snow. Not greedy this early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Well the 00z GFS had our storm farther NW this run, it was also slower. On to the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Well the 00z GFS had our storm farther NW this run, it was also slower. On to the next run. euro caving to the gfs for next week on the 0z run...looks a little colder than the gfs but the euro gives you some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 The Euro will come around, I'm not worried! Good call. euro caving to the gfs for next week on the 0z run...looks a little colder than the gfs but the euro gives you some snow. Yeah, I'm waiting on the wunderground maps, probably needs to be a bit farther to the SE for most of down here though. Big change on the Euro from the earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Euro hammers OK with snow, possibly through MO as well. -10º or less at H85 with that thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Euro hammers OK with snow, possibly through MO as well. -10º or less at H85 with that thing. H5 track looks favorable mainly for KS, possibly through parts of the Panhandles. Will see what the QPF and finer time resolution on Wundermap show shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 H5 track looks favorable mainly for KS, possibly through parts of the Panhandles. Will see what the QPF and finer time resolution on Wundermap show shortly. Wundermap Euro is slow and appears to be missing some maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Wundermap Euro is slow and appears to be missing some maps. Am having the same problem. If someone wants to post them who has them available, would be much appreciated. I could use a study break with some late-night entertainment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 (Yes it was posted earlier but this is a static version) 3 inches here... meanwhile my friend with the weather website gets 30+... I personally would prefer the 12Z GEFS member p003, which still gives STL over 2 feet but Tulsa gets 9 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 The 12Z GFS was very weird. The system breaks up several times and releases bits and pieces of the storm little by little and is still too far NW of this area to really matter. Eh...moving along to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 The 12Z GFS was very weird. The system breaks up several times and releases bits and pieces of the storm little by little and is still too far NW of this area to really matter. Eh...moving along to the Euro. Yeah this round didn't have much of a storm due to various interactions with pieces of energy. On to the next run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 WOW...kinda sad in here. I guess we would be happy to get any rain from this "winter storm"? sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 WOW...kinda sad in here. I guess we would be happy to get any rain from this "winter storm"? sigh. It's still 5-6 days away. There just isn't too much to talk about yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I think ECMWF might have made Wunderground take down the QPF product. This is the second run in a row where the surface chart only shows H5-10 thickness. ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 I think ECMWF might have made Wunderground take down the QPF product. This is the second run in a row where the surface chart only shows H5-10 thickness. ****. Yeah noticed that too. Lost SLP too which was weird. It was a good run while it lasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Yeah noticed that too. Lost SLP too which was weird. It was a good run while it lasted Was hoping it was just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Was hoping it was just me. Least we will have storm vista Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 00z GFS is more amplified (and neutrally tilted) with the s/w trough ... compare 18z Sunday - 00z Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 here is the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Yeah that's funny. The GGEM had a more northern solution in pretty much all it's recent runs, and the GFS was south. Now the GFS goes north and the GGEM comes south. UKMET is strong south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 12z GFS has a storm that passes along I-44 it looks like so the best snow is NW of most of us. That's pretty much normal for this time of year. 12z GGEM has a similar track it looks like, maybe a bit farther east. Last nights Euro didn't have much of a storm at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Awesome...so pretty much the low is going to track right over OK and give KS and northern MO, IL, and Iowa all good snows...yeah..you all can thank Oklahoma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westhope84 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 What are everyone's thoughts for our region from Dec. 15-25? I know the GFS has hinted at some very cold air spilling down. I'm all about the cold on and just before Christmas. Some snow around that timeframe would just be icing on the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Awesome...so pretty much the low is going to track right over OK and give KS and northern MO, IL, and Iowa all good snows...yeah..you all can thank Oklahoma It's not that uncommon. I remember many a day of 34-38 and drizzle here in Joplin with a low pressure tracking right on top of us. The 12z GFS Ensembles still have a few members with a farther SE solution. The long range looks pretty wild as well, it's going to depend on where the trough sets up but with the positioning on many of the ensemble members, our area will be right on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 What are everyone's thoughts for our region from Dec. 15-25? I know the GFS has hinted at some very cold air spilling down. I'm all about the cold on and just before Christmas. Some snow around that timeframe would just be icing on the cake. As long as the ridge holds in the Pacific and we get storm systems diving down into the southwest, I think we'll be good. The AO looks negative through the entire run. Looking at the 12z GFS ensembles... a lot of them favor a trough of some sort very near our area. I do like this kind of look as it usually pays off at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 6, 2012 Share Posted December 6, 2012 I agree I think we should "cash in" at some point the last part of December. The pattern looks to be rather favorable for continued storminess starting next week. With the AO going neg we should be in line for a good period here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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