MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 The HRRR has had a look just like what the NAM is showing with a second band moving into SW MO... so that's good. It also has a punch of drier air, or an area of no precip, but that passes just to your SE and it isn't very big. Why does it always have to be difficult in this area? Yah I know tough right up to the last model run it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Models are on crack as usual lol! Craziness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm so lost at this point. At this rate it may be sunny tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Sticking with my early guess of 2-4. We'll see tomorrow! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Yeah, I've been guessing 2-4" up here as well. I want at least 3, so here's hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 12z Euro amounts: Around 6" out by Wichita OKC area around 1.5-2" Tulsa: 2.3" Chanute, KS: 5.1" Joplin: 3.1" Monett: 3.3" Springfield: 3.8" Fayetteville: 2.5" 00z Euro amounts: Wichita: 6.5" or so OKC area around 1.5-2" Tulsa: 2.1-2.4" Chanute, KS: 4.0" Joplin: 2.9" Monett: 3.4" Springfield: 2.6" Fayetteville: 2.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lincoln ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lincoln ? Looks like 3.3" from here assuming I have the right dot. Looks like 2.6 around the Omaha area and it looks like 5.3" down near Beatrice. All 10:1 ratios so if it's colder than 30-32, you'd probably get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Around 20-21 for the high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Around 20-21 for the high Ratios are dependent on several different things but if it's going to be that cold, you'll end up with more snow than that. Here's a ratio/temp chart: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html So it looks like 3.3" (0.33 QPF) would be approx 5" of snow. I just looked at your NWS forecast and it shows 3-6" so pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This dry air makes me mad. Doesn't this happen about every time?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This dry air makes me mad. Doesn't this happen about every time?? I was going to say the same thing. Hope everyone else has a safe and fun day today. May get some of the inside "wall" of the low in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This might be instructive for those on the southern fringes of this storm. In OKC, we got rain for an hour. This changed to snow for about 9 minutes. Then, from 6 am to present, we've gotten very very light sleet. Total accumulation 0.1".... and I had to round up to get to that. Ironically enough, it was sufficient to scare OKC schools into shutting down for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Moderate snow now accumulating in Monett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Moderate snow now accumulating in Monett. Yes, and MoDOT is reporting near white out conditions between Purdy and Cassville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Sleet and freezing rain here but its enough at 24 degrees to mess everything up pretty badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Light snow that occasionally mixes with or changes to sleet here. Somewhat over 1/2" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmt Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 KSPR in Springfield upping their prediction from1"-2"to 4"-6" from Branson NE to Eminence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Much of Little Rock's forecast area is now under an Ice Storm Warning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Eastern OK probably needs upgraded to ice storm criteria unless the freezing rain stops in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Advisory here, off and on heavy bouts of heavy freezing rain/sleet mixture. NWS says will switch over to all snow before shutting off early afternoon from the dreaded dry slot. Roads are a thick solid sheet of ice allready. Temp shoots up like a rocket when it stops but man when it gets heavy we are wet bulbing down to 24-25 degrees, 27 right now cause everything let up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Wow.. This took a more northern track I suppose at the last minute? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I really doubt we'll see much more in the immediate Tulsa metro. Bartlesville looks like they've got another couple waves heading in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This might be instructive for those on the southern fringes of this storm. In OKC, we got rain for an hour. This changed to snow for about 9 minutes. Then, from 6 am to present, we've gotten very very light sleet. Total accumulation 0.1".... and I had to round up to get to that. Ironically enough, it was sufficient to scare OKC schools into shutting down for the day. I had a good laugh when I woke up, looked out my window, then head about OKCPS closing. It appears all we got here in SE Norman was a light glazing -- enough to make getting into my car difficult, but it doesn't appear to have accumulated on roads to any real extent, luckily. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Advisory here, off and on heavy bouts of heavy freezing rain/sleet mixture. NWS says will switch over to all snow before shutting off early afternoon from the dreaded dry slot. Roads are a thick solid sheet of ice allready. Temp shoots up like a rocket when it stops but man when it gets heavy we are wet bulbing down to 24-25 degrees, 27 right now cause everything let up again. Yup. Bad part of it is that this is our high for the day. Roads are going to ice up hard later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Looks like an area from roughly Cushing > Skiatook > Collinsville > Vinita will be the dividing line. Areas south will be dry slotted, areas north appear to have another round or two coming. Tulsa metro will not see a lot more precip but it is getting cold and roads/bridges will be icy by mid afternoon I'd suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Dry slot just on our doorstep. Onto the next storm!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Dry slot just on our doorstep. Onto the next storm!!!! Yea thats what tulsa was saying, local news on tv said this would continue and moisture is surging in(dont know what they were seeing haha) You can clearly see that dry slot about to slam in and shut things down quickly, whats next. I see little chances of snow o thursday or all week at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Some really bright banding about to roll thru Monett per radar returns. This is the kinda thing you look for and love to see as a snow lover! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 A little graupel to finish things off now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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