ouamber Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hey guys..I've been lurking lately trying not to get my hopes up. I live in south Tulsa county so I'll keep y'all updated tomorrow on anything here. Thanks for everything you guys do:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hey guys..I've been lurking lately trying not to get my hopes up. I live in south Tulsa county so I'll keep y'all updated tomorrow on anything here. Thanks for everything you guys do:) Hi Amber! Long time no see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Late week system is still in limbo. I still don't trust the GFS to know what to do with all that energy, although it is closing it off into a low this run, but it might be too far east. Still a lot of time to watch that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Hi Amber! Long time no see! Lol, ya January was kind of boring! Really hoping we don't get stuck in the screw zone between two storms!! That is definitely not normal for Tulsa:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 At least the trend is our friend... hang on friends. I think we have some surprises this week. The first is the northerly last minute adjustments. A few more miles north and we all may be happy!!! Will be interesting to track tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Late week system is still in limbo. I still don't trust the GFS to know what to do with all that energy, although it is closing it off into a low this run, but it might be too far east. Still a lot of time to watch that. Interesting solution nonetheless. I would take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Finally home from El Dorado Springs. It was an icy mess up there, but roads quickly cleared as we approached Lamar. Will anxiously await the Euro's 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Let's organize discussion and obs for this storm in a new thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42685-groundhog-day-winter-storm-tx-ok-ar-disco-and-obs/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It started snowing here but I'm stuck in a snow hole now. Its drying out before it gets here. Lol Normally I love the weather, winter weather included but we've got some business partners flying into town tomorrow, so I'm hoping Tuesday doesn't mean a 4 hour commute to work because missing work Tuesday will be rough. I'm headed north for the super bowl this afternoon and it's snowing moderately here now, kind of surprised it started this early to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Argh, Tuesday is a disaster on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Argh, Tuesday is a disaster on the GFS. Please define disaster. Nice light snow in progress here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Please define disaster. Nice light snow in progress here. Disaster.... lol... I-44 misses out for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Disaster.... lol... I-44 misses out for once. This include today's snow or is that new snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 This include today's snow or is that new snow? Today's. You get about 0.5" from Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Any idea why the Tuesday storm shows taking such a northerly track towards Wichita/KC? The Friday storm looks OK but not super strong. Maybe a couple of inches for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Today's. You get about 0.5" from Tuesday... Cool. Unless a miracle happens though, I think I'll only end up with about 2in. Fayetteville is probably getting hammered though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Any idea why the Tuesday storm shows taking such a northerly track towards Wichita/KC? The Friday storm looks OK but not super strong. Maybe a couple of inches for us. It's just the track of the upper level storm/trough configuration. The late week system into the weekend could be very huge for someone between Denver and the east coast. But pinning down where is an exercise in futility this far out. It definitely is a candidate for a big storm... somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It's just the track of the upper level storm/trough configuration. The late week system into the weekend could be very huge for someone between Denver and the east coast. But pinning down where is an exercise in futility this far out. It definitely is a candidate for a big storm... somewhere. The satellite and water vapor imagery on the Tuesday storm looks impressive. It's riding down the West Coast and just making landfall into central CA. Maybe we can get it to dig a bit more. Time will tell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Have I mentioned how wonderful Canada is? 12z GGEM has a burst of heavier precip before the dryslot which adds precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 RE: Next weekends system. The last 3 runs of the GFS (and maybe before then) have been showing the possibility of a big system, complete with an actual surface low, closed off upper low, and possible negative tilt. The morning of the 9th, which is next Sunday... the surface low and strength of the system from instantweathermaps: 00z = 1008 MB over central TN/KY border. 06z = 1004 MB over central KY. 12z = 1000 MB over Southern Illinois. So the trend has been to bring it back west, and stronger. We'll have to see how it plays out in the other models but the signal is there for something big...somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Kinda a dumb point but it sure is beautiful to watch it snow during the daylight. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 yeah, daytime snow is where it's at. Although a light/moderate night snow can be just as good if you can watch it fall in front of a light or something. Thundersnow is still better though. Tulsa has 4-7" of snow for most everyone through next Sunday, so it looks like everyone will get snow at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 yeah, daytime snow is where it's at. Although a light/moderate night snow can be just as good if you can watch it fall in front of a light or something. Thundersnow is still better though. Tulsa has 4-7" of snow for most everyone through next Sunday, so it looks like everyone will get snow at some point. I do love thundersnow. The purple colored lightening if you get to see it looks really neat too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Up to really heavy snow right now. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 12z Euro has that nasty dry slot for the Tues system. 1-4" with it maybe across our area? My regional Euro maps aren't loading today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Closing in on 4" here now! It let up for about 10 minutes and is just complete whiteout once again! My opinion, I like early evening snowstorms and some thunder plz lol. JoMo whats your thinking for monday night tuesday for down this way man? No big deal? Tulsa so wrapped up with this storm they havent talked much about that one. I might have to run to kc tuesday, not sure yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm probably looking at 3 now. Not bad for 3 hours of good snow. Sitting in the last strong band right now. Hope it goes another hour or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm probably looking at 3 now. Not bad for 3 hours of good snow. Sitting in the last strong band right now. Hope it goes another hour or 2. Agree, I havent seen this heavy of snow since that one march storm a few years back! But man that sun is so desperately trying to blaze through the cloud deck! Temp is up a little to 28 now here. Im happy with what we got now, anyone know offhand what the yearly average snowfall is here in arkansas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Closing in on 4" here now! It let up for about 10 minutes and is just complete whiteout once again! My opinion, I like early evening snowstorms and some thunder plz lol. JoMo whats your thinking for monday night tuesday for down this way man? No big deal? Tulsa so wrapped up with this storm they havent talked much about that one. I might have to run to kc tuesday, not sure yet. 12z Euro shows a couple inches are possible. It might be more of a mix down that way.. haven't looked at the details. Basically only a couple inches up in KC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Thanks JoMo, appreciate it! And yea the last they did talk about it tulsa said the same, a mix likely. I think last night it showed a mix over to sleet and snow for tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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