MoWeatherguy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What is the latest CFS for Feb or what are the euro weeklies implying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What is the latest CFS for Feb or what are the euro weeklies implying? Both the Euro Weeklies (from Thursday) and the 06z CFS have a warmup mid-month due to the GOA low. The weeklies eventually retrograde it NW and bring the ridge back over the Pacific so towards the end of the month and into March, we may get cooler again. The issue being that if the GOA low develops and sits there, it may not move out until winter is basically over. Hence, why I'm hoping we can get some decent snowfall during the next week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like the 18z GFS came north a bit more with the snow tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Ok tks. Hopefully this pattern holds and the GOA low just keeps getting delayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 18z GFS came north a bit more from it's 12z run for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Awesome. I may get my dusting yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Fayetteville/Rogers area looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Well, if the northward trend verifies, I guess we can pencil in another week-long metro OKC shutdown, given the mainly sub-freezing highs expected next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Well, if the northward trend verifies, I guess we can pencil in another week-long metro OKC shutdown, given the mainly sub-freezing highs expected next week. Yeah. I'm trying not to get sucked into the last minute northerly bump, but it has definitely caught my eye. This week could be sloppy, closings wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like the Tuesday system won't be fully sampled until Tomorrow night at the earliest. So there may be changes with that until it gets onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I expect there will be some subtle changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Assuming there is a snowpack down this way after tomorrow does this help much for the temp profiles on Tuesday? I know the track will matter a lot but I wonder how much the snowpack would help to keep us away from ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Assuming there is a snowpack down this way after tomorrow does this help much for the temp profiles on Tuesday? I know the track will matter a lot but I wonder how much the snowpack would help to keep us away from ice. It'll keep the surface temps lower, but I don't think it will matter much since this is an open wave, the dry slot will be wherever the 500 mb low goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 OUN has upgraded us to WWAs so they are buying into the slight northward trend for tomorrow as am I. Oddly enough, they are still only calling for a 30% chance of snow. Mind you, I still think like a Jersey boy so the issue may be in my poor understanding of local weather, but it seems odd to be under a WWA with only a 30% chance of anything measurable even falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 00z NAM shows a nice winter storm tomorrow for you all down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Quite a sharp cut-off there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 00z NAM shows a nice winter storm tomorrow for you all down south. Slowly shifting to the north, another 25 miles or so North and Tulsa metro will be hit hard. OKC is about 60% under 2+ inches it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm happy with the shift. Right now looks like 3+ for me but another 60 miles and it will go to 6+. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Some of that is probably ice/sleet to the south of you. Btw, check out the NAM for the Tuesday system. Neg tilt, tries to close off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 That would be awesome for you guys up in MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes it can dig a bit more and then close off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yes it can dig a bit more and then close off.[/quote Yeah, if it digs a little deeper it may increase my totals all the way down here some as well. Friday system still looking pretty decent as well. A little weaker but still good.] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Here's the 00z NAM for both systems. I'm not sure I'm buying into the warmup with the second system. There should be a snow pack from Sunday's system still around, and I'm not sure if temps will rise as much as the NAM thinks. (which probably turns some of the precip to rain, so it won't be plotted on this map) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Thank God its the NAM cause that snow hole right near Monett is really annoying lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 00z NAM shows a nice winter storm tomorrow for you all down south. And 00z GFS for tomorrow's storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Here's the 00z NAM for both systems. I'm not sure I'm buying into the warmup with the second system. There should be a snow pack from Sunday's system still around, and I'm not sure if temps will rise as much as the NAM thinks. (which probably turns some of the precip to rain, so it won't be plotted on this map) And the 00z GFS for both. (darn dryslot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS still ho-hum for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS still ho-hum for Tuesday. Yep, I need at least 3" for my snow blower, otherwise I could just shovel it off and that's no fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Yep, I need at least 3" for my snow blower, otherwise I could just shovel it off and that's no fun. Lol. Last year I would have given anything for 2 inches of snow. This year I am kinda upset about only 3 or 4 instead of 6 or 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think I remember someone earlier tonight posted this: Looks like the Tuesday system won't be fully sampled until Tomorrow night at the earliest. So there may be changes with that until it gets onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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