ouamber Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Ha!! Came out of the movies and it's snowing!!!! Woohoo!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 So Euro and GGEM are similar with the heavier amts this weekend. And yes it looks like the arctic boundary would create some nice ratios. The 8th-9th is a date to watch as well. I'd be more worried about things changing to ice or maybe even rain eventually with that one though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I don't have the euro but looks like I get missed again. On the Jan 5th event, it would primarily be to your north, yeah. The Jan 8th event you would be included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The 00z Euro still had the Jan 5th event but it was a bit less, also the Jan 8th event has been moved back a bit and will impact Arkansas the most this run and it could be an icy mess that eventually turns to rain as temps warm as we lose the Arctic grip and enter a January thaw next weekend (12th or so) as the EPO swings strongly positive due to troughing over the west coast up into Alaska and probably even farther north than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Still snowing here, got a dusting on everything but its hard to say how much for sure with this crazy wind whippin all the snow about! Forecast for the weekend is in constant change I see once again lol, model confusion? Rain/snow rain/snow....just the other day it was all snow now slop bag. Anyways Hope you all had a good and safe new years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Definitely looks like the weekend system is a watcher, especially the further NE you travel/live. The very cold air may be the bigger story. I am sitting at 7º this morning. Brr.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Both the 12z GGEM and GFS produce a moderate snow event on the order of 2-4 inches it would appear, on Sunday, depending on ratios of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Both the 12z GGEM and GFS produce a moderate snow event on the order of 2-4 inches it would appear, on Sunday, depending on ratios of course. What areas does this cover? It looks like this is mainly Southern Mo on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 What areas does this cover? It looks like this is mainly Southern Mo on the GFS. Yes it appears both the GFS and Canadian both are targeting mostly S MO with this weekend's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Both the 12z GGEM and GFS produce a moderate snow event on the order of 2-4 inches it would appear, on Sunday, depending on ratios of course. 12z Euro has a bit more precip from last night, also still has really cold temps so we will probably get some decent ratios out of this. The 10:1 ratio map has 3-3.5" for SW MO... and even 2.6" as far south as Fayetteville with around 1.5-2.0" around Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Temps look absolutely brutal for our standards. The afternoon AFDs will be interesting to read... looks like the St. Louis area may get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yeah. I'm glad they moved it south some. :-) There will probably be some really high ratios with this one so may get more than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 12z Euro also has the storm on the 8th-9th. That storm is looking like ice, but some areas may turn to just rain depending on how much surface temps warm. I'm sure the Jan 5th (Sunday) system will have an impact on the freezing line with this system as areas that get a good snowcover may stay below freezing. 12z Euro and the 00z ensembles still show the troughing taking over near Alaska so we will lose the -EPO/-WPO and the really cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Here are SGF's latest thoughts for the upcoming system: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 12z Euro also has the storm on the 8th-9th. That storm is looking like ice, but some areas may turn to just rain depending on how much surface temps warm. I'm sure the Jan 5th (Sunday) system will have an impact on the freezing line with this system as areas that get a good snowcover may stay below freezing. 12z Euro and the 00z ensembles still show the troughing taking over near Alaska so we will lose the -EPO/-WPO and the really cold air. There's still the hope though that the pattern shift will bring a decent negatively tilted and mature low to our area instead of the stuff we've been getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 0z globals tonite still showing the liklihood of a 2-4 in snowfall across S MO and points NE saturday nite. Possibly greater. JoMo, anybody, with total Euro precip from 0z later tonite would be greatly appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 There's still the hope though that the pattern shift will bring a decent negatively tilted and mature low to our area instead of the stuff we've been getting. So disappointing to see the 252 hour panel of the 00z GFS..... It's a big system that doesn't have enough cold air on the NW side so we get rain.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 So disappointing to see the 252 hour panel of the 00z GFS..... It's a big system that doesn't have enough cold air on the NW side so we get rain.... Do you always have to rain on my parade, sir? Lol. A guy can hope anyway right? Lol. I know, its a long way away, there's no telling what it will be by then. 2 days ago they had an 8 inch snow in south TX. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Do you always have to rain on my parade, sir? Lol. A guy can hope anyway right? Lol. I know, its a long way away, there's no telling what it will be by then. 2 days ago they had an 8 inch snow in south TX. Lol I just figured that would happen. Finally get a storm wrapping up, and there's no cold air to the north of it, until it gets north of us. Granted it will change, but it's still disappointing to see that instead of a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I know man. That's the way our luck has went around here the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 0z globals tonite still showing the liklihood of a 2-4 in snowfall across S MO and points NE saturday nite. Possibly greater. JoMo, anybody, with total Euro precip from 0z later tonite would be greatly appreciated. 00z Euro 10:1 map has generally 3-3.5" in SW MO.... 2.3" down by F'ville AR, 1.5-2" around Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I know man. That's the way our luck has went around here the last few years. Ugh.... 00z Euro is even worse...... that would be a big snowstorm at 234 or so. Instead it's rain with temps in the 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Hey if OU can beat Bama with some Sooner Magic, I'm sure there is hope for a big storm coming up!! Have faith!! Btw!!! Awesome game!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Let's focus on the upcoming positive before getting all sad with a rainstorm and 40 degrees. I think that many of us will get a couple of inches. Up in WhiteOut's old stomping grounds of Humansville, they may wind up with several. The liquid to snow ratio is what will really help us. Also... watch for some clippers on the back side of the storm. The models don't do a very good job of handling those until it gets closer, but there are few hints of some. At least the bone chilling cold will only be here for a couple of days. Lows are well below zero on the EURO Sunday night all the way into northern Arkansas. You may flirt with zero in parts of NE Oklahoma. Springfield is progged to be -12. Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Yeah, It's still looking like we could get several inches of snow this weekend followed by bitter cold for a few days. After that we get flooded with Pacific air which leads to temps around to above normal. After looking at last nights Euro Weeklies (and apparently the JMA and Korean show the same), the good news is that the trough in Alaska that floods the US with Pacific air does move out and the ridging rebuilds over the top and into the Gulf of Alaska, much as it has been the past few months. So even if we do warm up for a bit, it won't be the end of winter and the cold air will return by the end of the month. (probably after the 20th). So if you're a snow and cold lover (and who isn't?), enjoy the weekend storm and the cold that follows. If you're a mild weather lover in winter (booo!), enjoy the warmup after, but don't get used to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The 12z GFS and NAM snowfall maps don't look impressive at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The 12z GFS and NAM snowfall maps don't look impressive at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The 12z GFS and NAM snowfall maps don't look impressive at all. yeah the totals came down a bit on the 12z Euro as well..... Around 2.0-2.5" in SW MO..... 1.8 in F'ville, and around 1.5" in the Tulsa area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Springfield still going with this: (if the number are too small to read, it goes 2-4", 4-6", 6-9" from west to east) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Don't those snowfall maps assume 10:1 ratios though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.