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Wes' latest CWG post about Dec snow: calls forecast pattern "snow lover's nightmare"


capitalweather

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You'd be a little unstable too if you are a snow enthusiast and were forced to live in northern Virginia where we have a lot less chances for snow than do Baltimore MD residents.

There have been times when Baltimore manages to catch the tail end of a def zone and get measurable snow but DCA misses out.

Unlike others on this board - I have zero say about where I live. I will live in Dale City until I die from old age, whether I see snow or not.

This is a La Nina winter with a negative pdo. Washington will see very little snow this winter.

You on the other hand, Ravens Rule, have a promising future. You can travel to the Sierra Nevada and actually experience ten feet of snow from a Pacific storm while I get to see it online lol. You can travel to the snow belt areas of the Great Lakes and experience unique LES events. I get to see it on the Internet.

That said, Yes, I do need professional help. This is going to be a very difficult winter for me. I will get lots of cold weather and a lot of RAIN. Baltimore will probably get 24 inches of snow total for the season, maybe even more. Too bad I got stuck living here in Dale City.

lmaosmiley.gif You are crazy.

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You'd be a little unstable too if you are a snow enthusiast and were forced to live in northern Virginia where we have a lot less chances for snow than do Baltimore MD residents.

There have been times when Baltimore manages to catch the tail end of a def zone and get measurable snow but DCA misses out.

Unlike others on this board - I have zero say about where I live. I will live in Dale City until I die from old age, whether I see snow or not.

This is a La Nina winter with a negative pdo. Washington will see very little snow this winter.

You on the other hand, Ravens Rule, have a promising future. You can travel to the Sierra Nevada and actually experience ten feet of snow from a Pacific storm while I get to see it online lol. You can travel to the snow belt areas of the Great Lakes and experience unique LES events. I get to see it on the Internet.

That said, Yes, I do need professional help. This is going to be a very difficult winter for me. I will get lots of cold weather and a lot of RAIN. Baltimore will probably get 24 inches of snow total for the season, maybe even more. Too bad I got stuck living here in Dale City.

Why cant you move. If you have that much of an issue, move to Upstate Ny

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I told you it was time to worry in mid November. I am old enough to have seen some horrific patterns and once you lock in...it's hard to dislodge. You were fine punting December. I wasn't ...not in a la nina. Now December is almost over and things actually look worse. You ready to punt January too? There's is nothing that remotely signals a pattern change.

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I find it interesting that the NINA this year is the first 2nd year NINA where the ONI went to neutral in between winters. If you look at the link below, every time we had a 2-year NINA, NINA conditions were maintained through the following spring, summer and fall following the first year NINA, but not this year. We warmed to 0 for 2 months (MJJ & JJA.) We did loose NINA conditions in the 3rd year of a 3-year NINA, 1999, but barely as ENSO 3.4 warmed to -.4 for three tri-monthly periods, but with the NINA threshold being -.5, it was, for all practical purposes, a weak NINA. All I can say is, its always something around here.

http://www.cpc.ncep....ensoyears.shtml

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As forecasted by the models, the current MJO cycle just fizzled into the circle of death. I can't find a darn thing anywhere that looks like things are changing anytime soon and I wear weeenie glasses quite often. doh

From a fellow weenie, I appreciate you wearing the weenie-glasses when I read your analysis. Coming from you, things must be dire.

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