Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 17, 2011 Author Share Posted December 17, 2011 12z gfs just woke me up for next fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 12z gfs just woke me up for next fri According to Wundermap, GFS is outputting all rain, Midlo. That being said, I don't know how. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 May be the first storm will set the stage for the second storm we can only hope!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 17, 2011 Author Share Posted December 17, 2011 According to Wundermap, GFS is outputting all rain, Midlo. That being said, I don't know how. Yea I was surprised at the low output in RW's site. It will change we know, I'm just glad we might have a legit event to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 After last year's, 28.6", looks like 2011 could finish with only 2.7" of snow. Doesn't bode well for our long-term average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 After last year's, 28.6", looks like 2011 could finish with only 2.7" of snow. Doesn't bode well for our long-term average. Puts the 3 year average at 15", even if you include the crap measuring of 7.4" in 12/09 when the airport was really closer to 10"... If you give it 10", you're at a 3 year average of 16"... Really not too bad. Besides, it's easy for you to say... you're in Denver now and average what, 50" a year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Puts the 3 year average at 15", even if you include the crap measuring of 7.4" in 12/09 when the airport was really closer to 10"... If you give it 10", you're at a 3 year average of 16"... Really not too bad. Besides, it's easy for you to say... you're in Denver now and average what, 50" a year? Yes Kevin, that is true as I've already had over half of that so far this season. December has been a great month with snow on the ground practically every day with another 6-10" tonight! Hopefully, however, I'll be able to make it out before it gets too bad. I have a flight leaving out of DEN very late (12:59am) heading back to VA. I'm not looking forward to the 60s, that apparently will greet me when I get there tomorrow. Bleh..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Yes Kevin, that is true as I've already had over half of that so far this season. December has been a great month with snow on the ground practically every day with another 6-10" tonight! Hopefully, however, I'll be able to make it out before it gets too bad. I have a flight leaving out of DEN very late (12:59am) heading back to VA. I'm not looking forward to the 60s, that apparently will greet me when I get there tomorrow. Bleh..... It sucks. I wish you could bring the snow and cold with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Yes Kevin, that is true as I've already had over half of that so far this season. December has been a great month with snow on the ground practically every day with another 6-10" tonight! Hopefully, however, I'll be able to make it out before it gets too bad. I have a flight leaving out of DEN very late (12:59am) heading back to VA. I'm not looking forward to the 60s, that apparently will greet me when I get there tomorrow. Bleh..... At least you've had winter, we've been stuck in late fall. My only snow was in October. Hope you have a safe trip back. How long will you be in Richmond? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 At least you've had winter, we've been stuck in late fall. My only snow was in October. Hope you have a safe trip back. How long will you be in Richmond? Thanks, Wes. The winter so far has been really good. I plan to be there until Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Thanks, Wes. The winter so far has been really good. I plan to be there until Monday. Hopefully, the pattern by then won't look as bad across the country as the forecasts looks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 22, 2011 Author Share Posted December 22, 2011 almost christmas and crickets are chirping outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 almost christmas and crickets are chirping outside Do you have your A/C on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 22, 2011 Author Share Posted December 22, 2011 Do you have your A/C on? no but my palm trees are swaying in the wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 Do you have your A/C on? I'm debating it. 65* currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 We had to turn on the A/C tonight. It's been brutal out there. The only good news is that I recently purchased an ATV and have been able to ride with no jacket in this weather. I'm really hoping I don't miss a large Wisconsin snowstorm before heading back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 22, 2011 Share Posted December 22, 2011 We had to turn on the A/C tonight. It's been brutal out there. The only good news is that I recently purchased an ATV and have been able to ride with no jacket in this weather.I'm really hoping I don't miss a large Wisconsin snowstorm before heading back! Yeh, we finally broke down and cut it on. Too humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 22, 2011 Author Share Posted December 22, 2011 Nothing like Christmas shopping in shorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 23, 2011 Share Posted December 23, 2011 Nothing like Christmas shopping in shorts It disgusted me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 23, 2011 Share Posted December 23, 2011 And I'm still utterly bored. I think this is the latest in years I have yet to have a "credible" threat to track for this area. We at least got teased by now with a few late night tracking only to loose out the end. But has not even been anything worth taking the time to put to much interest in lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 23, 2011 Share Posted December 23, 2011 Hello Richmond Metro peeps! I'm sitting here in Petersburg at Boar's Head Provisions waiting on a load going home and figured I'd give a shout out. Really loving this fine, mild weather you all are having today. I wish I could take it north with me to PA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 24, 2011 Author Share Posted December 24, 2011 Wow did anyone just see that meteor? just came out of church and looked up and Huge blue and Orange fireball racing across the sky. Told the kids it was Santa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 26, 2011 Author Share Posted December 26, 2011 Wow did anyone just see that meteor? just came out of church and looked up and Huge blue and Orange fireball racing across the sky. Told the kids it was Santa http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QCyY9hLTkQ Upgrade to Flash Player 10 for improved playback performance. Upgrade Now or More Info.close CBC NEWS A mysterious streak of light in the night sky baffled many Europeans on Christmas Eve, with speculation running wild as to whether it was a meteor, a comet or space junk. Videos captured in Germany, France and Belgium show the blaze of light passing across the sky more slowly than a typical shooting star, and with greater brightness and detail. The leading edge of the streak appears round and white, while the tail trailing it has an orange tone in some images. People commenting on Twitter wondered about a range of possibilities. Some suggested it might be a comet, while others thought it could be space junk. There was also speculation about rocketry. The last major blast-off, of a Russian Soyuz-2, was Friday, and some amateur astronomers conjectured that a spent rocket stage was plunging back toward Earth. German and Belgian astronomical authorities differed on the cause. A spokesperson for the German Aerospace Centre, the country's national aerospace research institute, told a local newspaper that the celestial phenomenon was "99.9 per cent" certainly a meteor. "Every year 200 tonnes of material falls to Earth. Sometimes it's a big chunk," Andreas Schutz said. CBC News The Royal Observatory of Belgium disagreed, saying Sunday in a statement on its website that the streak of light was from the atmospheric re-entry of the final stage of a Soyuz rocket that launched on Wednesday and delivered three astronauts to the International Space Station two days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Anyone have any thoughts on the potential for this Jan 2nd "storm?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 26, 2011 Author Share Posted December 26, 2011 Anyone have any thoughts on the potential for this Jan 2nd "storm?" looks like a huge cold front bringing the first real arctic air of the season per the euro, gfs says not as cold. the euro drives down some -12c 850t with highs in the 30's here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 looks like a huge cold front bringing the first real arctic air of the season per the euro, gfs says not as cold. the euro drives down some -12c 850t with highs in the 30's here cold and dry and warm and wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 26, 2011 Author Share Posted December 26, 2011 cold and dry and warm and wet? looks dry, but i don't care i just need the cold to make my snow at this point. euro looks like it wants to crush the +ao in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Looks like things just got even more interesting. Regardless of the HECS showing up on hour 192, the cold air is a thing of beauty (although in this case I imagine the LP is driving down even more cold air than just the cold front alone). Anyone know if the Euro ensembles are on board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 It's nice to finally see something to track given this god awful season for the east. But, no way that verified. And after last December's fiasco with the ECMWF showing a blizzard for RIC for several days straight, no way I'll be jumping on this bandwagon until it's within 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 27, 2011 Author Share Posted December 27, 2011 It's nice to finally see something to track given this god awful season for the east. But, no way that verified. And after last December's fiasco with the ECMWF showing a blizzard for RIC for several days straight, no way I'll be jumping on this bandwagon until it's within 48hrs. yea we know it won't be like this but, i would take half of that storm the euro is showing and be happy akq long range FXUS61 KAKQ 272101 AFDAKQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 401 PM EST TUE DEC 27 2011 .&& .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... GFS/ECMWF CONTINUE TO BE MILES APART WHEN IT COMES TO TANGIBLE WEATHER DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ESPECIALLY THE MONDAY/TUESDAY PERIOD. GFS CONTINUES CURRENT TREND OF SLOW AMPLIFCATION TO PATTERN...BUT IS CONSIDERABLY FURTHER EAST THAN ECMWF...WHICH WOULD IMPLY MUCH COLDER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK. HPC IS SIDING WITH ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN...WHICH IS FURTHER EAST AND LESS AMPLIFIED THAN OPERATIONAL ECMWF. GIVEN SUCH A DISPARITY...HAVE OPTED TO GO VERY CLOSE TO HPC EXTENDED GUIDANCE...WHICH IS CLOSER TO GFS FROM THE PERSPECTIVE TEMPS AND POPS. BOTTOM LINE...A GENERALLY DRY PERIOD IN THE EXTENDED...WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN A TREND TOWARD NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS MONDAY/TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THIS IS A BELOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FROM MONDAY ON...GIVEN CONSIDERABLE MODEL DIFFERENCES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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