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Banter and BS December 2011


Alpha5

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I will say though, that when events do occur, even the non pros provide valuable information. For example, i am one of the few posters from north/west/centralish nassau county, so i provide my obs during storms, pics, etc...but that is about the extent of my addition to the official thread.

I have learned a ton from you guys and its amazing to watch you all analyze storms and all. I just think the banter thread is a place also where us non-pros can post without feeling...err...self-conscious almost...What can i add to model discussion? In reality, absolutely nothing.

This is where banter thread comes in...i can learn more about weather without clogging up the official board as well, talk about topography, geography, bibliography, podophilia...

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It seems like most of the other topics are specific in nature, ie. reminiscing about a certain storm, talking about first and last freeze date, things of that nature. Since there aren't many other topics that people are posting in, unless you are interested in that specific thread you are most likely to come into the banter. When I check in periodically throughout the day I look to see where people are posting, otherwise I'm not likely to read those threads. But I'm also at work and not a pro forecaster so I don't have access to maps and such to post my own thoughts and ideas on long term pattern trends etc. I'm much more likely to jump into a 'hot' thread where there's lots of activity and share my thoughts there.

i must have misunderstood then. no biggie.

but what would happen if the main area of discussion is moved to the discussion thread? i feel like it would get clogged up with weak posts, which im sure most of us dont want. id rather have lower volume but high quality posts in the discussion thread, is kind of my point, because im not sure how many folks can provide that content.

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nothing was threatened, it was under consideration.

also, i never said that the banter thread should be less banter. i said that i don't like the fact that everyone is defaulting to this thread as the main area of discussion. i think you misunderstood my point. the areas you bolded in the quote, that was my point.

as other have stated, there is nothing going on right now... why wouldn't the banter thread be the most active?

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These posts are a good example of why the banter thread should be done away with...everybody posts absolutely useless garbage in here and nobody participates in any constructive discussion anymore. Get your sh*t together, people.

Hey. Don't look now, but it looks like you have ignited a constructive discussion about the lack of constructive discussion in this thread! thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

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I understand Earthlight's point, and while I don't have this site's statistics on posting, it would appear that what has been happening lately is simply out of pure frustration.. There has been so little to talk about lately that most of us are just posting for the mere fact of posting.. But yes, as Earthlight did mention, there is always a lot to learn. Again, with many on here not old enough to remember the 1980's, this type of winter (so far) is a good example/season to use to try to understand what is creating such a boring weather pattern.. Ya we all know +AO, +NAO etc but there is definitely more to it and for the few who are really interested in what's occurring day in and day out, a more substantive thread and commentary would be helpful.. (I think that's what Earthlight is trying to say)

Back in the day, I remember going onto NE.Weather and praying that people would post just something to keep us enlightened as to what was coming up during these winter droughts..

At the end of the day though, the Banter threat is just that, for us to complain and b**ch about silliness.. So there would be no reason I think to get rid of it.. JMO...

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Is it just me or does it seem that all of the "pattern change" posts from JB, Steve D, DT, ect. keep repeating themselves? I keep seeing all of those "major stratospheric warming" posts showing up which by now is starting to get repetitive, there does seem to be very slight warming, yet I can still easily find reasons suggesting why the pattern isn't changing at this time - the stratosphere is still cold, blocking still fails to develop, the MJO is stuck in the COD closer to phases 4-5, AO and NAO are still positive, EPO is neutral/positive, and there's definitely more reasons. It's not going to be any endless torch, but realistically looking at the pattern, I see nothing that suggests a bigger pattern change is coming until at least early January, if not later in the scenario that any change is delayed again.

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I dont understand why lake cutters are sometimes essential to building a -NAO. how does that work?

not sure if I should post this in banter or in the discussion thread. Earthlight got me all confused now....

they wrap up and pull heigher heights into greenland and can get stuck into a position of being a pv so it continues to reinforce the heigher heights.

Its usually a temporary block.

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It's not just you. But they also tend to throw out 'headline' type updates that don't really say much but aim to get people to go to their sites/sign up/pay for more information. JB has been on the global warming thing for years now and is quite obsessed with it. So I never know whether its his agenda or if he is actually forecasting anything. But yes when you hear it day in and day out how the pattern is starting to change, well maybe it is maybe its not but so far we have nothing to show for it and it just feels like its always 2 to 3 weeks out

Is it just me or does it seem that all of the "pattern change" posts from JB, Steve D, DT, ect. keep repeating themselves? I keep seeing all of those "major stratospheric warming" posts showing up which by now is starting to get repetitive, there does seem to be very slight warming, yet I can still easily find reasons suggesting why the pattern isn't changing at this time - the stratosphere is still cold, blocking still fails to develop, the MJO is stuck in the COD closer to phases 4-5, AO and NAO are still positive, EPO is neutral/positive, and there's definitely more reasons. It's not going to be any endless torch, but realistically looking at the pattern, I see nothing that suggests a bigger pattern change is coming until at least early January, if not later in the scenario that any change is delayed again.

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they wrap up and pull heigher heights into greenland and can get stuck into a position of being a pv so it continues to reinforce the heigher heights.

Its usually a temporary block.

we had the huge hudson bay vortex prior and after our last storm....i was always looking for it to send higher heights into greenland. but i guess because it was so strong it just blew threw greenland. so, to build heights there we cant have the hudson bay lows be too powerful?

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we had the huge hudson bay vortex prior and after our last storm....i was always looking for it to send higher heights into greenland. but i guess because it was so strong it just blew threw greenland. so, to build heights there we cant have the hudson bay lows be too powerful?

you want them to sit and spin, in order to do that, they can't as you say, blow by. There is a reason they are called blocky patterns, there needs to be a log jam somewhere.

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its this thread. See, atown's post is absolutely fine in this thread. So is abc's.

Metfan could come in here and tell us how Steve D promised him 300 inches of snow in march, and all would still be well.

Just keep it out of the threads that are for serious disco, and for the record, anything beyond 5 days really can't be considered serious disco unless we are talking about pattern change and then you gotta back it up with something other than a 240 hour prog.

Everyone give anthony a break

I can care less what people think.I have taken heat in the past. Nothing new at all.

From Larry Cosgrove

I was just about to post this. He feels really confident.

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