snywx Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 It feels like winter tonight!! Currently 18/12 brrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Toms River down to 21, wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 GEFS is different than the op. What else is new. The GEFS has a low off the coast on the 21st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Still clinging onto 33, the freeze-free period (*cough* growing season *cough*) is on it's death bed. March 28, 2011 ~ December 11, 2011 (258 days) Edit: and just like that it's over, dipped to freezing. Btw I'm a little surprised Central Park didn't last until 10/11, it could've held for 50 more minutes. Not that it makes a difference anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 im still waiting for the night when i loop the gfs thru 384hrs and find an awesome snowstorm/pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Still clinging onto 33, the freeze-free period (*cough* growing season *cough*) is on it's death bed. March 28, 2011 ~ December 11, 2011 (258 days) Edit: and just like that it's over, dipped to freezing. Btw I'm a little surprised Central Park didn't last until 10/11, it could've held for 50 more minutes. Not that it makes a difference anyways. A 258 day growing season for this location is beyond comprehension...even Macon, Georgia averages a shorter one...no wonder, for so many years before the current snow windfall, a member of the NE.Weather newsgoup used to say "there is a roof over NYC that prevents it from snowing there". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Central Park down to 31 at 3am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Finally can put those struggling impatiens in Central Park to bed and behind us. At least we got below freezing finally in this dog sh*t on a stick pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 All that matters is the control run of the euro ensembles. Does anyone have it? It had blizzard 96 redux yesterday. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 All that matters is the control run of the euro ensembles. Does anyone have it? It had blizzard 96 redux yesterday. LOL Metfan hacked it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Overnight models continue to be terrible. Euro has 3 lakes cutters with a constant SE ridge. Also has temps approaching 60. Next weekend. Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 ??? That would create the mother of all SE ridges without blocking. To snow in this pattern, we need weak waves, clipper like storms and maybe get lucky with a clipper, developing into a miller b. Energy being held back without a block is a recipe for a SE ridge, lakes cutter disaster. 1984 and 1990 had massive SE ridges for large portions of December but there were snow events late in each. Both from remarkably similar setups and ones similar to what you mention, the weak disturbances more or less running into arctic highs. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1984/us1227.php http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1990/us1228.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 im still waiting for the night when i loop the gfs thru 384hrs and find an awesome snowstorm/pattern Maybe next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Maybe next year. that is three weeks away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 If the Euro stratospheric maps are correct we should be seeing some signs of change after Christmas. So maybe the first or second week of January we can get into something good. Here's a link to a I did today for the pattern through the holidays. (Nothing exciting re: snow) John fantastic discussion, well done. I agree 100% Couple sneaky events 23rd-1st, then true change. Did you talk to Mary Jane just before the discussion? (clearing of throat) lol, well done, well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Overnight models continue to be terrible. Euro has 3 lakes cutters with a constant SE ridge. Also has temps approaching 60. Next weekend. Yay. I see 1 cutter, a transient cold shot and a SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Anyone see 06z GFS? Love how the cold air at 150 to like 192 sits over us for 4 whole days and while we're freezing in the icebox, the energy out in the plains ALSO sits there for 4 days and then ever so kindly ejects itself when the cold air finally starts to move out. Gotta love this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Anyone see 06z GFS? Love how the cold air at 150 to like 192 sits over us for 4 whole days and while we're freezing in the icebox, the energy out in the plains ALSO sits there for 4 days and then ever so kindly ejects itself when the cold air finally starts to move out. Gotta love this winter. that is what you get in a nina with no blocking and why we are cooked for at least three weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 that is what you get in a nina with no blocking and why we are cooked for at least three weeks. Not if we get a SSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 I see 1 cutter, a transient cold shot and a SWFE There are 2 cutters and an epic 3rd one setting up at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Not if we get a SSW lol, you have been watching too many steve d videos, the ao is in the freezer for the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 lol, you have been watching too many steve d videos, the ao is in the freezer for the near future. http://wekuw.met.fu-berlin.de/~Aktuell/strat-www/wdiag/ec.php?alert=1&level=70&forecast=all&lng=eng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 http://wekuw.met.fu-...ast=all&lng=eng i can't take anyone seriously who thinks blizzard of 96 was over-rated. And I have seen the maps, the atmosphere just doesnt turn on a dime, there is a lag. So best case, very end of december into first week of January which is the time a lot of us have been putting out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 i can't take anyone seriously who thinks blizzard of 96 was over-rated. 36 straight hours of snow. (how often do you get 10 inches of snow... and then 24 more hours of continuous snowfall?) the highest winds i've ever seen during a snowstorm. 27"+ of snow routinely reported from one end of the state (NJ) to the other. it's the reason i use "96" in many of my passwords. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 i can't take anyone seriously who thinks blizzard of 96 was over-rated. And I have seen the maps, the atmosphere just doesnt turn on a dime, there is a lag. So best case, very end of december into first week of January which is the time a lot of us have been putting out there. I was kidding numb nuts.....obviously it was a great storm, Im dissapointed I dont remember it. And I never said the atmosphere was going to turn in a matter of days, I think that by christmas we'll be in a transition to a better pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 I was kidding numb nuts..... speaking of "numb nuts"... i spent about 10 hours outside during the blizzard of 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Jb and LC on board with vodka cold for next week. Major warming going on right now in the stratosphere. Dt is also on board with a pattern change after Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Major warming going on right now in the stratosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Jb and LC on board with vodka cold for next week. Major warming going on right now in the stratosphere. Dt is also on board with a pattern change after Christmas. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 No. Didn't you say after Christmas to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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