earthlight Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 I remember that....I was like, "what is he smoking"....he def. has a cold bias. The NAM was a total sh** show with that event up until a +12hr lead. It was 2-4 degrees too cold at 850mb. Dimartino flipped out because the surface temps were 4-5 degrees below forecasts. Which, in principle, is fair. But he was raping the NAM and the warm layer was incredibly underforecast...so it was 25 F and heavy sleet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 it's going to snow in a few hours. Yeah, but that's not real snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Yeah, it is a harsh contrast-- especially given that I was in Boca Raton, Florida, all weekend. lolz Only here for a month, so not so bad. A month is cool. Hawtness. Well knowing you, you will find the light in the darkness. Are you expected to receive any of that um eh Hurricane that hit the Isles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 I remember that....I was like, "what is he smoking"....he def. has a cold bias. Dude I was in the bath tub, toaster plugged in, 6 bottles of Ambien pissed at that storm, like a warm layer 200 foot thick .0000002 degrees above freezing R U kidding me? Shoveling sleet sucks too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Yeah, but that's not real snow. lol this will actually be a 10:1 wet event imo. It's warm...850s of -6c to -8c and temps in the low to mid 30s. I think I'm too far south to be in the best of it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 lol this will actually be a 10:1 wet event imo. It's warm...850s of -6c to -8c and temps in the low to mid 30s. I think I'm too far south to be in the best of it though. How much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 The NAM was a total sh** show with that event up until a +12hr lead. It was 2-4 degrees too cold at 850mb. Dimartino flipped out because the surface temps were 4-5 degrees below forecasts. Which, in principle, is fair. But he was raping the NAM and the warm layer was incredibly underforecast...so it was 25 F and heavy sleet here. No it isn't fair because as a meterologist, he should know that what matters are the MID LEVELS with respect to snow.....models underestimateing ageostrophic flow is a common occurence and simply leads to an increased ice threat. The NAM is notorious for underdepicting mid level WAA in sw flow events. No excuse for him not to have seen that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 How much? 2-6" here in West Seneca...6-12" northern BUF suburbs..something like that I think. Ill probably take a take a 20-30 minute ride north tomorrow if things are looking iffy for the band to be here for any significant duration. If the lake was normal temperature for this time of year this event probably wouldn't be happening...it's kind of a weird set-up...Pacific shortwave...lots of moisture...good synoptic low-level lift...marginal lake-induced instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 i mentioned that to my girlfriend it looked pretty cool There is a huge ring around the moon this evening. Does that explain wth is going on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 No it isn't fair because as a meterologist, he should know that what matters are the MID LEVELS with respect to snow.....models underestimateing ageostrophic flow is a common occurence and simply leads to an increased ice threat. The NAM is notorious for underdepicting mid level WAA in sw flow events. No excuse for him not to have seen that. Gone for 72 hours for disagreeing with my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Gone for 72 hours for disagreeing with my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Not gonna lie i thought it was bob hahahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Well, I took a hiatus from looking at anything at all yesterday model-wise. Looks like I didn't miss much and shoudl have a good long while to catch up on sleep in prep for the next threat. Nice looking day today. Took it off for vacation (use it or lose it time of year). Might go on a short hike with the Mrs. this morning. Enjoy the day, all. 26.5/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 P.S. Dendrite or anyone can I have my warn level removed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 P.S. Dendrite or anyone can I have my warn level removed? What did you do to get in trouble, Jay? When do you finish exams? Hope the first semester went well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 What did you do to get in trouble, Jay? When do you finish exams? Hope the first semester went well. Very odd issue last night. Short answer : No. There is an OT topic on it and also a post by Ray on the AMWX FB page if you wish to get caught up. Exams end for me on the 20th, 1255 flight out of BWI for about 50 bucks. Can't complain. Not coming back until almost the 28th (jan)!!! First semester...hmm.. could do better. too many C's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Very odd issue last night. Short answer : No. There is an OT topic on it and also a post by Ray on the AMWX FB page if you wish to get caught up. Exams end for me on the 20th, 1255 flight out of BWI for about 50 bucks. Can't complain. Not coming back until almost the 28th (jan)!!! First semester...hmm.. could do better. too many C's! Good luck on exams. Hopefully, em will make it up to GC during the break at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Very odd issue last night. Short answer : No. There is an OT topic on it and also a post by Ray on the AMWX FB page if you wish to get caught up. Exams end for me on the 20th, 1255 flight out of BWI for about 50 bucks. Can't complain. Not coming back until almost the 28th (jan)!!! First semester...hmm.. could do better. too many C's! Best to steer clear of OT if your vampire defenses are down, too many emotional black holes and energy suckers dwelling in the mire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 btw 2.2" of rain here from the storm wed night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Best to steer clear of OT if your vampire defenses are down, too many emotional black holes and energy suckers dwelling in the mire. Yes, I'm steering clear of the issue at the wish of the admins for now on. No longer any point in discussing it. Actually got into the high 20's here. Been having frosts almost every single morning lately. 11 days till I'm home for a month. Mark my words, winter for SNE begins when I land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 my kid would be off the team if he only pulling Cs at Towson...you need to bear down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 my kid would be off the team if he only pulling Cs at Towson...you need to bear down... With my daily schedule of academics, athletics, and surgery rehab I'm not too concerned. My first semester of college at a party school, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Yes, I'm steering clear of the issue at the wish of the admins for now on. No longer any point in discussing it. Actually got into the high 20's here. Been having frosts almost every single morning lately. 11 days till I'm home for a month. Mark my words, winter for SNE begins when I land. Has not been much cooler than that here. I really hope you can bring us some winter ju ju. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 With my daily schedule of academics, athletics, and surgery rehab I'm not too concerned. My first semester of college at a party school, I'll take it. Ok, man...sounds to me like you have a little too much on your plate...the athletics should be the first thing to go...but if you are satisfied with Cs at Towson, more power to you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Ok, man...sounds to me like you have a little too much on your plate...the athletics should be the first thing to go...but if you are satisfied with Cs at Towson, more power to you... I'm getting a free education from athletics... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 I'm getting a free education from athletics... all the more reason not to waste it...guess you can't quit...but you seem too satisfied with your Cs...i guess it's lol-worthy to you, but you have a wonderful opportunity...you need to think long-term...don't count on the nfl...let's get those grades up in the spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Gone for 72 hours for disagreeing with my opinion. The mere thought of another 50 minute, truncated suspension sends sudders down me weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 all the more reason not to waste it...guess you can't quit...but you seem too satisfied with your Cs...i guess it's lol-worthy to you, but you have a wonderful opportunity...you need to think long-term...don't count on the nfl...let's get those grades up in the spring I'll fix it I promise. To my own defense, my backpack was stolen with hundreds of pages of notes a week ago. Nice to be heading into finals with nothing. I'll even PM you a progress report if you would like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Not gonna lie i thought it was bob hahahahaha Nah, I knew it was an foreign mod. Bob is not a sneak like that...you'd know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Nah, I knew it was an foreign mod. Bob is not a sneak like that...you'd know it. Thought we finally drove him off the deep end. JK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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