Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 euro is a mess by the end of that run. i wish that PV dropping down into hudson's bay had some staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 euro is a mess by the end of that run. i wish that PV dropping down into hudson's bay had some staying power. Man do not know if its true but all teleconnections all of a sudden in the future tank or rise to our benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 What a horror show of a Euro run. Little storminess, a bout of near normal temperatures, and we emerge at D10 to a CONUS torch with a +EPO returning. What a nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 2) Having my back in the OT threads instead of joining the southerners in the rump roast lol. It is funny how it doesn't matter what tone a discussion takes, certain groups (mainly SNE) folks just get freaking gang banged. . . . Very odd culture, but I haven't been around for 10-12 years like some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 This does not mean he doesn't have a valid point to make. It was talked about last night... But it doesn't change the general imby tenor of 95% of your posts.... We all tend to talk about our back yards Jerry. It's what we know. Past history is also not necessarily the reasoning behind ones posts. Thank you for bring it up..I didn't want to bring it up again because I didn't want to be crucified again for bringing up some wintry weather for someone... Indeed there is the potential in this upcoming pattern for icing to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 I'm not being negative at all when is say this, but I see no real teleconnector in favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 I'm not being negative at all when is say this, but I see no real teleconnector in favor. Debbie downer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Debbie downer I don't buy the NCEP teleconnector progs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Debbie downer So basically after a few days of near normal it's toaster bath time again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 The only thing crashing, is the verification scores of those teleconnector progs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 I don't buy the NCEP teleconnector progs. they've been about as bad as they can be. i can't believe them until they get something right again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 So basically after a few days of near normal it's toaster bath time again? No, I wouldn't go that far right now. Lets see what the EC ensembles do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 interesting that Euro looks nice in bringing some decent cold into the northeast for a few days...however...it loses the SW trough which would decrease the possibility of storminess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 The only thing crashing, is the verification scores of those teleconnector progs. Yeah they have been. If you look at the actual runs and height anomalies you can get a much clearer picture of fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 interesting that Euro looks nice in bringing some decent cold into the northeast for a few days...however...it loses the SW trough which would decrease the possibility of storminess. And by "decent cold" it looks like a 2 day stretch of near normal temps. Maybe just below if we're lucky for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Im getting sick of these runs being encouraging one day and then a disaster a next. I am actually really tired and fatigued by this horrible winter, This winter is already ranked as one of the top 3 of my life. Its a complete disaster and too make this worse, this board upgrade is horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 And by "decent cold" it looks like a 2 day stretch of near normal temps. Maybe just below if we're lucky for SNE. whatever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 whatever i think you mean: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 i think you mean: weather truth hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Im getting sick of these runs being encouraging one day and then a disaster a next. I am actually really tired and fatigued by this horrible winter, This winter is already ranked as one of the top 3 of my life. Its a complete disaster and too make this worse, this board upgrade is horrible I don't how this winter can be one of the worse when it has not started yet........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 The only thing crashing, is the verification scores of those teleconnector progs. CPC is having a problem initializing the AO domain as of late, no doubt. They've been correcting it periodically every 3 or so days, only to have the initializations disconnect from verification all over again. The verification curve has a downward turn already of nearly 3SD to just +1.5, yet the initialization as of last night was up are +4. So something is hugely amiss. Initialization aside it doesn't necessarily mean that the unilaterally member reduction in the index going out in time is wrong. There are evidences to the contrary et al in the hemisphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 But it doesn't change the general imby tenor of 95% of your posts.... As far as I know, 95% of the posts on here are about that poster's backyard. We all talk about our backyards, that's how this works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 weather truth hurts hence...decent cold in the NE...I didn't say SNE specifically...but I guess you feel the need to be argumentative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 CPC is having a problem initializing the AO domain as of late, no doubt. They've been correcting it periodically every 3 or so days, only to have the initializations disconnect from verification all over again. The verification curve has a downward turn already of nearly 3SD to just +1.5, yet the initialization as of last night was up are +4. So something is hugely amiss. Initialization aside it doesn't necessarily mean that the unilaterally member reduction in the index going out in time is wrong. There are evidences to the contrary et al in the hemisphere. they've also been biased way way too low going back a solid 10 days now - one of the worst verifications in recent memory over such an extended period..so it's tough to trust them going forward right now, imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Just a fantastic day 6-10 Euro run today. Unreal how it flipped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 hence...decent cold in the NE...I didn't say SNE specifically...but I guess you feel the need to be argumentative. You are such a board drama queen. Yes we do see a cool down. Maybe a day or two a bit below average in SNE. As I (and others) have mentioned the biggest cold would be in NNE and upstate NY. Unfortunately the cool down is transient and not particularly impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Should post that in off topic, Except up the dosage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 You are such a board drama queen. Yes we do see a cool down. Maybe a day or two a bit below average in SNE. As I (and others) have mentioned the biggest cold would be in NNE and upstate NY. Unfortunately the cool down is transient and not particularly impressive. what exactly did you take issue with me in my post? I said decent cold into the northeast for a few days...how are the anomalies I posted not indicative of that? I also mentioned the lack of SW trough would lead to a lower chance of storminess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Just a fantastic day 6-10 Euro run today. Unreal how it flipped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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