OSUmetstud Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 same weenies who were routing on a damaging october snowfall which was destined to produce a ton of power outages and tree damage seem almost fearful of ice...I can't say I understand it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 same weenies who were routing on a damaging october snowfall which was destined to produce a ton of power outages and tree damage seem almost fearful of ice...I can't say I understand it. Not me..I rooted it on, got it ..and am rooting for it even harder this time. I love damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I was thinking ...ice is a threat with that kind of cold being delivered to Canada and the upper flow fighting it's ability to bleed down. But it may make more progress at the low levels - hence ice. yet another option.... it alternates between 18 and 49 with no snow - ha ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I'm semi-optimistic with what is shown. Models tend to over play the cold when we have a +EPO and then when we have a good -EPO and cross polar flow, they will often under estimate the ability for the cold air to get transported south and east. Hopefully that bias works in our favor this time. It would only take a little adjustment out west for something more favorable to the east I think, and even then...that's a good cold airmass just to our north that the interior can work with. But we should probably keep things in check for worse solutions that's for sure. At least in the interior....once you cool that area down..it's a b*tch to scour it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 You can just about guarantee the Euro ens re going be be less rambuncious with that Se ridge which will ultimatley lead to a colder solution. I really like that Euro run today..You adjust it for it's usual errors and we have some fun times coming up well the ensemble is almost by definition going to be less amped up. likewise, it could be far less cold over canada. who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 It would only take a little adjustment out west for something more favorable to the east I think, and even then...that's a good cold airmass just to our north that the interior can work with. But we should probably keep things in check for worse solutions that's for sure. At least in the interior....once you cool that area down..it's a b*tch to scour it out. Except in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Awesome Euro run... 3 cutters.... mainly rain even for NNE through day 10. Nice looking cold that appears to want to get pinched off as monster SE ridge flexes its muscle. That said some potential day 10 and beyond if that cold is able to bleed east enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 [/b] Except in CT. Most likely option for a potential ice storm is mainly north of the pike which fits well with the Dec 2008 theme. I'd expect a 34F rain in NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Most likely option for a potential ice storm is mainly north of the pike which fits well with the Dec 2008 theme. I'd expect a 34F rain in NE CT. Particularly in north central Tolland county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 CT is the most heavily forested state in the country per populus I believe. That may be by population but not overall cover The following states have the majority of their land have forest cover. 1. Maine 85.8% 2. New Hampshire 78.4% 3. West Virginia: 77.2% 4. Vermont: 75.7% 5. Alabama: 70.6% 6. Georgia: 64.2% 7. South Carolina: 63.8% 8. Mississippi: 61.9% 9. Virginia: 60.7% 10. North Carolina: 59.9% 11. Pennsylvania: 55.3% 12. Arkansas: 55.1% 13. Connecticut: 54.7% 14. Tennessee: 52.9% 15. Massachusetts: 52.5% 16. Michigan: 51.2% 17. New York: 50.9% 18. Rhode Island: 50.8% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCwx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 The upcoming pattern reminds me of our record winter in 2007-08 and the 200 inches we got here in Quebec City. It certainly looks good for people in NNE along the US-CAN border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Particularly in north central Tolland county. Yeah I could see Union getting in on the ice...but definitely not further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Not me..I rooted it on, got it ..and am rooting for it even harder this time. I love damage It's the only kind of devastation our region has not seen this year...you name it, we've had it - building crushing snows, tornados, tropical storms, limb collapsing snow in October - the only thing missing is an ice storm. Just let me get my generating working this time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Most likely option for a potential ice storm is mainly north of the pike which fits well with the Dec 2008 theme. I'd expect a 34F rain in NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 btw .... 156 to 170 hour op gfs is a decent enough analog on dec 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Right, but as of now you might not be riding until next season I doub't it but ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 It's the only kind of devastation our region has not seen this year...you name it, we've had it - building crushing snows, tornados, tropical storms, limb collapsing snow in October - the only thing missing is an ice storm. Just let me get my generating working this time... Yeah it's coming. And it will be in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Maybe they aren't counting the heavily wooded suburban developments in places like CT as forest.... You drive through like Fairfield, Westchester Counties etc. and it seems like a big forest, but amidst that woods are hundreds of thousands of houses..... That may be by population but not overall cover The following states have the majority of their land have forest cover. 1. Maine 85.8% 2. New Hampshire 78.4% 3. West Virginia: 77.2% 4. Vermont: 75.7% 5. Alabama: 70.6% 6. Georgia: 64.2% 7. South Carolina: 63.8% 8. Mississippi: 61.9% 9. Virginia: 60.7% 10. North Carolina: 59.9% 11. Pennsylvania: 55.3% 12. Arkansas: 55.1% 13. Connecticut: 54.7% 14. Tennessee: 52.9% 15. Massachusetts: 52.5% 16. Michigan: 51.2% 17. New York: 50.9% 18. Rhode Island: 50.8% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I wish someone could provide thoughts on how warm temps get next week and when the front crashes thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Maye they aren't counting the heavily wooded suburban developments in places like CT as forest.... You drive through like Fairfield, Westchester Counties etc. and it seems like a big forest, but amidst that woods are hundreds of thousands of houses..... Population wise most of those states in the top..noone lives in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 forestforum.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Maye they aren't counting the heavily wooded suburban developments in places like CT as forest.... You drive through like Fairfield, Westchester Counties etc. and it seems like a big forest, but amidst that woods are hundreds of thousands of houses..... I don't think they count that. A lot of CT outside of SW CT is wooded. Eastern CT is like all forest with scattered towns mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Maye they aren't counting the heavily wooded suburban developments in places like CT as forest.... You drive through like Fairfield, Westchester Counties etc. and it seems like a big forest, but amidst that woods are hundreds of thousands of houses..... I believe the stat Kevin is looking for that CL&P brings up once a day seemingly is that the state has the 1st or 2nd most heavily "treed" power lines per mile of line. Not what constitutes "treed" but we've heard that a lot in press conferences over the last couple months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 As long as Logan11 gets snow.....I'm content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I want snow for powder freak in time for my ski trip up to Stowe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I wish someone could provide thoughts on how warm temps get next week and when the front crashes thru Next week is going to torch before the FROPA...probably 50s easily. Could crack 60F. Front probably goes through on Wed or Wed night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Probably high dews Wed as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Next week is going to torch before the FROPA...probably 50s easily. Could crack 60F. Front probably goes through on Wed or Wed night. MOS already has some spots nearing 60F - which is disturbing at day 5 in december. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Next week is going to torch before the FROPA...probably 50s easily. Could crack 60F. Front probably goes through on Wed or Wed night. Just bend me over the workbench now and end it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Maybe they aren't counting the heavily wooded suburban developments in places like CT as forest.... You drive through like Fairfield, Westchester Counties etc. and it seems like a big forest, but amidst that woods are hundreds of thousands of houses..... That could be, But i still doubt there are more tress, Tamarack could probably answer this much better as he works i believe for the forrest dept.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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