Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:03 PM, ETauntonMA said: About as as your call for 1-2" for tomorrow. One for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:00 PM, ORH_wxman said: Could def be an ice threat in this setup. I'd have to think we'd be a bit colder than it shows when we have a 1047mb high just north of the NE/Quebec border with arctic source region. Yeah that would be one of those cases where N maine is like -20F while litchfieldlibations is sunbathing at 52F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:00 PM, ORH_wxman said: Could def be an ice threat in this setup. I'd have to think we'd be a bit colder than it shows when we have a 1047mb high just north of the NE/Quebec border with arctic source region. That storm on the 11th or so has threatened to go west, but that one def poses some sort of a threat, especially if the euro is even off by a little bit out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:03 PM, ETauntonMA said: About as as your call for 1-2" for tomorrow. 1-2" for SNE!!?? I'm not even forecasting that for northern VT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 6:59 PM, CoastalWx said: ??? That was addressed Messenger.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 cold continues to fail to make it past central ontario into the populated centers the first 2 'advertsed cold shots' have been a miserable failure, but who is keeping track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:02 PM, CT Blizz said: I'll tell you what..That particular setup just screams out icestorm for some lucky folks I don't know if i would call it lucky, But yeah, It certainly has that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I was thinking ...ice is a threat with that kind of cold being delivered to Canada and the upper flow fighting it's ability to bleed down. But it may make more progress at the low levels - hence ice. On 12/1/2011 at 6:58 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Hopefully you aren't covered with 1" of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I'm up for an ice storm at this point. At least it would feel like hard core winter. On 12/1/2011 at 7:02 PM, CT Blizz said: I'll tell you what..That particular setup just screams out icestorm for some lucky folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:14 PM, Logan11 said: I was thinking ...ice is a threat with that kind of cold being delivered to Canada and the upper flow fighting it's ability to bleed down. But it may make more progress at the low levels - hence ice. Will and I were joking a couple of weeks ago about how someone is going to get ice in this pattern. With that cold in Canada and se ridge...could be heavy heavy generators for someone in the northeast or Canada at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:10 PM, Dryslot said: I don't know if i would call it lucky, But yeah, It certainly has that look On 12/1/2011 at 7:14 PM, Logan11 said: I was thinking ...ice is a threat with that kind of cold being delivered to Canada and the upper flow fighting it's ability to bleed down. But it may make more progress at the low levels - hence ice. At this point I think 99% of us would crave a damaging icestorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:16 PM, Logan11 said: I'm up for an ice storm at this point. At least it would feel like hard core winter. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Awesome Euro run... 3 cutters.... mainly rain even for NNE through day 10. Nice looking cold that appears to want to get pinched off as monster SE ridge flexes its muscle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:17 PM, CT Blizz said: At this point I think 99% of us would crave a damaging icestorm LOL, maybe this time your house will be broken in to. You don't want that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:18 PM, CoastalWx said: LOL, maybe this time your house will be broken in to. You don't want that. I really , really do. If it meant a cold precip event ..I would take it and run. Euro is close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Really? I'm not, Already endured one here in 1998, That was good enough for me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 1993-94 is idolized here and in SNE, but it is remembered as the year of the ice storms from NYC south.... On 12/1/2011 at 7:05 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Yeah that would be one of those cases where N maine is like -20F while litchfieldlibations is sunbathing at 52F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 For those playing along at home another torch on the op GFS through day 7 with a day coming close to +20 again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Will and I were joking a couple of weeks ago about how someone is going to get ice in this pattern. With that cold in Canada and se ridge...could be heavy heavy generators for someone in the northeast or Canada at some point. I hope that system out west gets crunched in the confluent flow as it heads east...that would mean less SE ridging getting pumped up and obviously more cold for us....and a SWFE that would probably be snow. I like the cold in Canada a lot this run but we are in danger of a lakes cutter if there is too much phasing out west. I'd like to see some flattening of the heights in SE Canada on future runs. That 1045+ high though to our north is a good sign...it probably was underplaying the cold that thing would deliver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:17 PM, CT Blizz said: At this point I think 99% of us would crave a damaging icestorm Well, We have a few more trees here then CT and trust me, We don't need it, Would kill the winter recreation up here and devestate our trail system, No thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Sure ..its a heck of a lot more interesting than 50's and mud. Hah It's really not my fault if all their power lines come down again. They are 40 years behind Europe on burying them On 12/1/2011 at 7:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:17 PM, CoastalWx said: Really? count this guy in the ice storm camp. Maybe it's crazy...but I like extreme weather and I'd take an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:20 PM, Dryslot said: Well, We have a few more trees here then CT and trust me, We don't need it, Would kill the winter recreation up here and devestate our trail system, No thanks CT is the most heavily forested state in the country per populus I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:20 PM, ORH_wxman said: I hope that system out west gets crunched in the confluent flow as it heads east...that would mean less SE ridging getting pumped up and obviously more cold for us....and a SWFE that would probably be snow. I like the cold in Canada a lot this run but we are in danger of a lakes cutter if there is too much phasing out west. I'd like to see some flattening of the heights in SE Canada on future runs. That 1045+ high though to our north is a good sign...it probably was underplaying the cold that thing would deliver. Yeah that would be a nice change. The ridge seems like it has some staying power I hope it goes away as well, but the cutter idea is there. But still, it's pretty far out and we sometimes see that cold bleed a little more to the south than modeled, so something more winter like is certainly possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 You can just about guarantee the Euro ens re going be be less rambuncious with that Se ridge which will ultimatley lead to a colder solution. I really like that Euro run today..You adjust it for it's usual errors and we have some fun times coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 It's unbelievable how many power line destroying events we have had in the last five years ..warm and cold wx. On 12/1/2011 at 7:23 PM, CT Blizz said: CT is the most heavily forested state in the country per populus I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:25 PM, CT Blizz said: You can just about guarantee the Euro ens re going be be less rambuncious with that Se ridge which will ultimatley lead to a colder solution. I really like that Euro run today..You adjust it for it's usual errors and we have some fun times coming up Kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:23 PM, OSUmetstud said: count this guy in the ice storm camp. Maybe it's crazy...but I like extreme weather and I'd take an ice storm. I want to see something like that as well, but without all the crap to go along with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:24 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah that would be a nice change. The ridge seems like it has some staying power I hope it goes away as well, but the cutter idea is there. But still, it's pretty far out and we sometimes see that cold bleed a little more to the south than modeled, so something more winter like is certainly possible. I'm semi-optimistic with what is shown. Models tend to over play the cold when we have a +EPO and then when we have a good -EPO and cross polar flow, they will often under estimate the ability for the cold air to get transported south and east. Hopefully that bias works in our favor this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:20 PM, Dryslot said: Well, We have a few more trees here then CT and trust me, We don't need it, Would kill the winter recreation up here and devestate our trail system, No thanks Right, but as of now you might not be riding until next season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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