usedtobe Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Wes, how many different ways are you going to say you don't buy us getting snow anytime soon? I don't know whether it will snow or not though I think it unlikely. If someone is going to post a 180 hr GEM. I think it worth posting the ensemble for the same period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I don't know whether it will snow or not though I think it unlikely. If someone is going to post a 180 hr GEM. I think it worth posting the ensemble for the same period. To be clear sir I posted that in response to that gentleman's statement about the GEM...not because I believed it....carry on now....thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 To be clear sir I posted that in response to that gentleman's statement about the GEM...not because I believed it....carry on now....thanks I wasn't criticizing you, I was defending me and why I posted. I think posting the GGEM was a legitimate thing to do on a wx forum but also think posting the ensembles were too. I probably need to tone down my number of posts and remember that most would rather talk about chances then hear negative thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I wasn't criticizing you, I was defending me and why I posted. I think posting the GGEM was a legitimate thing to do on a wx forum but also think posting the ensembles were too. I probably need to tone down my number of posts and remember that most would rather talk about chances then hear negative thoughts. Because of you, the bus is taking on rust. In all seriousness...it's fine to be a realist. I guess it (not you)starts wearing on people....the abject failure December has become. If we can't have snow, I'm going to troll you Wes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Wes, I think everyone values your opinion greatly and are pleased that you're in our subforum. I know I do. Keep up the good work. FWIW...DT's on the big eastern trough train for the 3rd and thinks coldest air yet for the winter for the eastern CONUS from the 3rd-8th. Doesn't buy snow for the 95 corridor though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 So happy you are back, now you have the fancy camera to take pictures of our 12 inches we are getting next week. Hopefully it doesn't matter I don't know much about the longer range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I took a couple of days off from my normal routine and didn't look at the lastest euro and gfs until now. Heh, pretty far apart. The nhem 500 anom @ 240 on the euro is the prettiest map I've seen in a long time but it's hard to buy it. It goes against everything weve seen for the last 6 weeks. The euro has been showing alot of "better" looks for quite a few runs now. I just wish it wasn't so lonely. I like the spike in the PNA. Both the euro and gfs agree on a pretty nice spike in the pna during the 12/31-1/4 timeframe. HPC likes it too. Got my fingers crossed for something interesting because I have a hunch we go back to the crapper by the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Because of you, the bus is taking on rust. In all seriousness...it's fine to be a realist. I guess it (not you)starts wearing on people....the abject failure December has become. If we can't have snow, I'm going to troll you Wes. December usually sucks anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I wasn't criticizing you, I was defending me and why I posted. I think posting the GGEM was a legitimate thing to do on a wx forum but also think posting the ensembles were too. I probably need to tone down my number of posts and remember that most would rather talk about chances then hear negative thoughts. I think the realism that you bring helps all of us. We know that you don't create the weather. I, for one, would like to hear someone give an honest evaluation of the Euro's performance lately. If someone tells me that it has verified the best, then that tells me that the others are pretty much junk because it hasn't been too good, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 People with super cool Euro access...how does the backside of that New Year's Eve clipper look for us? Looks like it tracks right overhead and is probably too warm, at least ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 To be clear sir I posted that in response to that gentleman's statement about the GEM...not because I believed it....carry on now....thanks He was responding to mitchnick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I wasn't criticizing you, I was defending me and why I posted. I think posting the GGEM was a legitimate thing to do on a wx forum but also think posting the ensembles were too. I probably need to tone down my number of posts and remember that most would rather talk about chances then hear negative thoughts. Don't pay any attention to me Wes....just stating why I posted it...your thoughts are fine to me...I can't control the weather...so it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 FWIW...DT's on the big eastern trough train for the 3rd and thinks coldest air yet for the winter for the eastern CONUS from the 3rd-8th. Doesn't buy snow for the 95 corridor though. Given the DEC temps, and the need for about a dozen features to fall into place for snow in this pattern, that doesn't seem like too risky a bet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Arctic outbreak in the Plains on the 2nd per the Euro. Warm Sunday and Monday for us ahead of the front. Waiting to see the 3rd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I'll be home shortly. I'm guessing it is probably out to day 6. I'm out to 162. The new years event is rain. Moisture is gone by the time it is cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 loving hr 174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 hr 174 0c at va beach ric -4 0.25-0.50 over ric to fredricksburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 I agree with wes on the AO. History argues against a quick fix. I was kinda bummed to see the ens ao forecasts being low again. The forcasts starting being too high for a bit centered around the 16th or so but they are clearly too low again. We could end up with a record +AO monthly for this december. Its most recent spike is almost +4. We started off Dec in the +4 range. The highest AO dec reading (and the only one above +2) was 2.282 in 06. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 loving hr 174 Yeah...I've got 168 now on Raleigh's site and I'm digging it. Huge arctic dump into the whole eastern CONUS. 850mb 0C line down into Mexico and the Gulf. Low forming over Mrytle Beach, SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Yes. FYI Euro has a snowstorm next Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 hr 174 0c at va beach ric -4 0.25-0.50 over ric to fredricksburg So it still has a snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 The worm is turning...but time is not right for I-95 just yet. Circle the calendar boys and girls we are closing in to the January 24th-26th period. Cold and snow on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 ric getting buried 1004 just south of hatteras hr 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Yeah...I've got 168 now on Raleigh's site and I'm digging it. Huge arctic dump into the whole eastern CONUS. 850mb 0C line down into Mexico and the Gulf. Low forming over Mrytle Beach, SC. This run the cold isn't as much of an issue. It is entrenched somewhat before the precip. Snowstorm. Too bad it is day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 jesus at hr186 1000mb low east of ches bay i95 getting raked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Yes. Looks better than 0z Perfect track for DC. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 This run the cold isn't as much of an issue. It is entrenched somewhat before the precip. Snowstorm. Too bad it is day 8 The cold better not be an issue with that arctic outbreak. Day 7.5...let's not get crazy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 So it still has a snowstorm? Yes and it is classic too. Too bad it is day 7.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 huge 500 closed low over nc mountans going neg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 27, 2011 Share Posted December 27, 2011 Yes and it is classic too. Too bad it is day 7.5 Out to 192. The euro buries us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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