MDstorm Posted December 23, 2011 Share Posted December 23, 2011 Next 2 weeks (or longer) sucks--weather-wise. In keeping with the holiday spirit, I found this post from the New England forum quite appropriate. Weathafella's Holiday card to CT Blizz: weathafella Posted Today, 09:49 AM 6,790 posts Joined November 11, 2010 Donator We get it, winter's over. Now stfu and have a Merry Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2011 Share Posted December 23, 2011 You knew December blows really bad when it's the 23rd and there has been little opportunity to even make snow. Blech!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 You need to invest 50 cents in a bungee cord or something. Beginning to think duct tape might do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Stray snow shower blew through about an hour ago. Dusting on raised surfaces. Nice to have a couple flakes on Christmas eve. Sent from my PC36100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Snow flurries here in Towson....it's a Christmas Eve miracle ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 Either rained or snowed a bit overnight, cars and roads are wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 40 and breezy. Actually feels like one of the chillier days so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 40 and breezy. Actually feels like one of the chillier days so far. Agreed. The winds are brisk and it felt almost cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 the one good thing about this winter is the suffering that New England has had to endure yes there not very happy up there, this next storm is going to be rain . HOwever it looks like this coming weekend will be good for them. We miss , again, but what's new??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 The east coast is not the only area devoid of snow, I used to live in southwest Michigan in the Kalamazoo area and they are apparently having one of their worst starts to winter ever. This was a blurb from their weather at WWMT.com: "Next week looks to be quiet as well, which means the meteorological winter season (which runs from December 1 until March 1) is off to one of the slowest starts on record in West Michigan (with respect to snowfall)." Considering they are in a lake effect area, that is pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 The east coast is not the only area devoid of snow, I used to live in southwest Michigan in the Kalamazoo area and they are apparently having one of their worst starts to winter ever. This was a blurb from their weather at WWMT.com: "Next week looks to be quiet as well, which means the meteorological winter season (which runs from December 1 until March 1) is off to one of the slowest starts on record in West Michigan (with respect to snowfall)." Considering they are in a lake effect area, that is pretty bad. Interesting I heard on the wc that there was a pattern change this week in that the jet stream was moving north, bring storms into the pacific nw rather than the southwest. I dont know if that is considered a pattern change or not, but how might that affect us on the east coast??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 FWIW, drove through a brief very light snow squall late morning (~11am) in Jarrettsville this AM--38 at the time, with broken cloud cover. Nice little Christmas Eve surprise; made my daughter's morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 There were snow flurries in bel air around 11:30am today. I took video of it... will post later tonight as my wife is yelling at me to get up and go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 I see the MJO has emerged from the COD. Too bad it's pretty much where it was the first week of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 24, 2011 Share Posted December 24, 2011 fwiw 12z euro drives the first acrtic outbreak of the year into the south east/mid atl day 9/10 range 0c 850's near the gulf coast va has -12c. looks short lived though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 For those that celebrate it and even those that don't. Merry Christmas!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Take it for what it is worth but the 00Z GFS does show a moderate -NAO in the long range that does not look to be so transitory in nature. The ensembles also have hints of it as well though not a very strong signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 The 00Z GFS also shows the PV moving out of Alaska with heights building in from the west. I believe several runs of the GFS have shown this in the last couple of days. One can only hope that the GFS is hinting at a potential pattern change at some point down the the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 There were snow flurries in bel air around 11:30am today. I took video of it... will post later tonight as my wife is yelling at me to get up and go. I'm in Bel Air for Christmas and saw a few flakes about that time as well. Merry Christmas MA subforum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Stickin' to dem guns..in my untrained eyes, 3 weeks of crud left, sweet pattern sets up from the last week of January through February. Solar based reasoning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Stickin' to dem guns..in my untrained eyes, 3 weeks of crud left, sweet pattern sets up from the last week of January through February. Solar based reasoning. Call it Xmas optimism but I think things will get better sooner...the 6z GFS looks better than it has in a while...even that Tues cut off low is digging further south...not great but better...if we all could just see some snow it would make us feel better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 25, 2011 Share Posted December 25, 2011 Call it Xmas optimism but I think things will get better sooner...the 6z GFS looks better than it has in a while...even that Tues cut off low is digging further south...not great but better...if we all could just see some snow it would make us feel better... I hope you're right brah. I'm just not convinced it'll happen that quickly, as stupid and silly as it sounds, I usually don't put much faith in LR modeling as much as the geomag principle lag factor compounded onto the earth's current atmospheric thermal budget (temp) + current solar wind value for stratospheric ozone compression value. Call me crazy but this method has worked perfectly for me since I started using it in 2009, for both synoptic configuration and global temperature. I really think we all finish the winter with above average snowfall regionwide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Wow wind is really ripping, woke all 5 of us up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Wow wind is really ripping, woke all 5 of us up. You need better windows. I haven't heard a peep out of the wind tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 You need better windows. I haven't heard a peep out of the wind tonight. It's the cracked/broken awning strip in the front door panel makes a loud buzzing sound when it gets to 30mph or something like that. Been too lazy to get it replaced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 0z Euro Day 10 shows probably the first legit -AO I've seen modeled in awhile. Has the +PNA basically link up with ridging from Asia and split the PV apart. Also has an arctic outbreak starting in the Upper Midwest at the same time. Of course the snow bomb that the 12z apparently had yesterday is gone, replaced with this giant closed low cutter that would probably give us a lot of rain and perhaps some snow at the end. Ensembles seem to look closer to the 12z yesterday solution in regards to the storm on/about the 2nd. They also match the big +PNA with the Op at Day 10 and also have a hint of ridging from Asia to meet it, but don't have the strength of the ridging over the Pole that the Op does. Op Day 10: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/00zeuro500mbHGHTNH240.gif Ensemble Day 10: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens500mbHGHTNH240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 0z Euro Day 10 shows probably the first legit -AO I've seen modeled in awhile. Has the +PNA basically link up with ridging from Asia and split the PV apart. Also has an arctic outbreak starting in the Upper Midwest at the same time. Of course the snow bomb that the 12z apparently had yesterday is gone, replaced with this giant closed low cutter that would probably give us a lot of rain and perhaps some snow at the end. Ensembles seem to look closer to the 12z yesterday solution in regards to the storm on/about the 2nd. They also match the big +PNA with the Op at Day 10 and also have a hint of ridging from Asia to meet it, but don't have the strength of the ridging over the Pole that the Op does. Op Day 10: http://raleighwx.ame...mbHGHTNH240.gif Ensemble Day 10: http://raleighwx.ame...mbHGHTNH240.gif With the monster vortex over iceland that is not a negative AO. Here's the actually calculated values for the map. The euro ensembles also have a positive ao. The gefs ensembles also ahve a strongly positive ao through the period. The euro and its ensembles doe have a strong positive pna pattern but the euro also sort fo shows a positive epo with the low heights over Ak and above normal heights to the south. The gefs ensembles really show the epo being strongly positive. While the euro amplitude across the west may ultimately be correct, i'd be hesitant to give it much credence. It has given several false alarms...plus the gfs ensemble mean forecast fo the pna pattern has it actually going negative down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Wow wind is really ripping, woke all 5 of us up. This is just getting silly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 This is just getting silly now. Does this deserve a coherent response, phinphin? Total $$ to smash! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 26, 2011 Share Posted December 26, 2011 Does this deserve a coherent response, phinphin? Total $$ to smash! Your made-up wind obs have gone over the top, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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