eurojosh Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 288 still has some good snows I would guess... True..... .....For Blacksburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 DT is interested in the 26-28th time period, FWIW. I guess that means the Euro must show something good. 0z Euro is rocking a mega +PNA at Day 10 with a big shortwave diving into the Upper Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Holy sh!t...just looked at the 6z GFS 240-300hr HECS. Now I need some tissues and a change of pants...it snows for 2 f-cking days straight! Who can I sell me soul to to make that happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Food for thought.. KHSP is currently sitting at 32 degrees with a station pressure of 890mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 For posterity. You never know. Well no WAY that happens.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Oh please God yes... Holy sh!t...just looked at the 6z GFS 240-300hr HECS. Now I need some tissues and a change of pants...it snows for 2 f-cking days straight! Who can I sell me soul to to make that happen? You mean you just looked at it again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Halfway point of the month climo stats: DCA: +2.9F, +1.76" BWI: +3.7F, +0.9" IAD: +2.6F, +0.77" RIC: +3.3F, -0.87" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 You mean you just looked at it again? I think he means he didn't look at the actual 240-300 hour panels -- he just saw the clown map posted by MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 You mean you just looked at it again? I only had seen that clown map that MNTransplant posted. Hadn't actually looked at the charts. It's even prettier when you see this massive 500mb closed low and a Miller A just slowly meander through the SE and up the coast in no particular hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Why follow a 300 hour threat when there's a chance of flurries tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I think he means he didn't look at the actual 240-300 hour panels -- he just saw the clown map posted by MN. touche I only had seen that clown map that MNTransplant posted. Hadn't actually looked at the charts. It's even prettier when you see this massive 500mb closed low and a Miller A just slowly meander through the SE and up the coast in no particular hurry. Ahhh, sounds good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I only had seen that clown map that MNTransplant posted. Hadn't actually looked at the charts. It's even prettier when you see this massive 500mb closed low and a Miller A just slowly meander through the SE and up the coast in no particular hurry. I hear Wes is already writing a piece on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 model pron. near term stuff should be the focus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I only had seen that clown map that MNTransplant posted. Hadn't actually looked at the charts. It's even prettier when you see this massive 500mb closed low and a Miller A just slowly meander through the SE and up the coast in no particular hurry. Eye candy for sure but I looked at the panels. Hard to buy a slow moving miller a taking a favorable track with absolutely no blocking. 850's are really weird too. closed circulation keeps sub freezing temps but are everything north is above freezing. I know its total fantasy but this just looks weird. Edit: I'm comparing apples to oranges. Wrong gfs run. I missed the 6z part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Eye candy for sure but I looked at the panels. Hard to buy a slow moving miller a taking a favorable track with absolutely no blocking. 850's are really weird too. closed circulation keeps sub freezing temps but are everything north is above freezing. I know its total fantasy but this just looks weird. Edit: I'm comparing apples to oranges. Wrong gfs run. I missed the 6z part. Seems as if the model is confused this far out. I've noticed this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 GFS says all snow with precip arriving just before midnight at DCA. Accumulations are another, separate issue. I'll keep watching for the Ian trash can pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I like the temps right now, should be able to get all snow if anything falls. 40/23 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 9z SREFs are digging our Sunday car-topper. As in most of the members give us a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 haven't thought as much about the 2nd half...I think it is a harder call...any guesses? I think probably similar to the 1st half, maybe +1-2.5. Seems like all our "cold" shots are really near or slightly below normal, but the torches are +10-20. A couple days of +15 are really hard to overcome with a handful of -3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I'm not buying a snow machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 yay me haven't thought as much about the 2nd half...I think it is a harder call...any guesses? I would say probably the same as teh first part of the month.. no real heavy duty cold shots... I see a lot of 45-55 degree highs coming with lows in the 30-35 range. Might be a few cool shots here and there, but nothing excites me tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I'm not buying a snow machine. Let Midlo rent it out to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 9z SREFs are digging our Sunday car-topper. As in most of the members give us a little snow. in case no one could read that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 in case no one could read that Your reading skills have diminished since mapgirl18 was banned Mapgirl is suposed to have excellent vision and map-making skills/powers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Yeah, I don't know why it did such small font there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 yay me haven't thought as much about the 2nd half...I think it is a harder call...any guesses? Just a hunch but I think the second half comes in with little if any departure. Couple things of interest: PNA has a stong + signal on ensembles. Potentially sustainable. AO is near neutral now and guidance is busting pretty high right now instead of low like it has been. Cold air is not far away. If the PNA really does hold for say 6-10 days them we could potentially have a pretty good stretch of -5 departures but not much colder than that. Long story short, I think the second half will be cooler than the first half but our snow chances remain equally crappy through the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 We had some sleet down here-- YAY! Second t of the season. (oct was the other) All rain now as the column moistened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 I think the chances of getting a 4+ day regime of -5 to 10 departures is miniscule before the end of the month Agree. Probably 2 days in a row at most with the pattern as is. To get that duration, we need blocking in the Atlantic or some serious cross-polar flow. Neither one looks like it's going to happen anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Your reading skills have diminished since mapgirl18 was banned Mapgirl is suposed to have excellent vision and map-making skills/powers That's why I said "no one" as in everyone else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Agree. Probably 2 days in a row at most with the pattern as is. To get that duration, we need blocking in the Atlantic or some serious cross-polar flow. Neither one looks like it's going to happen anytime soon. Yeah, we are not really getting any help from either side. While as Bob Chill said, the ensembles have been showing a +PNA out in the med/long range.. i hesitate to buy it. Its probably going to be till at least Jan 5 IMO before we see any real meaningful changes (i.e. more serious cold as in highs in the 30s and lows 20-25) or even a 2"+ snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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