Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Yes. At least something is on the table and worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Yes. At least something is on the table and worth watching. Some Rain chances for the 99%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Please be on the lookout for this car AND trailer. It was stolen out of the driveway of a buddy of mine this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Some Rain chances for the 99%. This winter does not look promising overall for snow around here. I'll take any chance I can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Was up in Clinton TN last night for the Newsong winter concert at Second Baptist Church. Amazing show. Oh and it was in the low 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 82º is our record high for Christmas Day, and looking at he 12z models, we may get there this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 All, We just received word from NESDIS that EMWIN on GOES 12 will be taken off line temporarily. We are currently not sure of all the details and will update the list as soon as we have additional information. Rob Wagner EMWIN Team --- All, Apparently GOES 12 is having some problems with interference and NESDIS is working to isolate the problem. As they work on this, EMWIN will be down on GOES 12 at least until tomorrow morning. GOES 12 EMWIN Users should use byteblaster as a backup until service is restored. Rob Wagner EMWIN Team Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 May I simply say that this weather pattern stinks. That is all of the banter I have in me today. There is nothing to really add. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 May I simply say that this weather pattern stinks. That is all of the banter I have in me today. There is nothing to really add. The 60's will be nice this week... I think all heck is going to break loose in Jan for a 2 week period like back in 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 The 60's will be nice this week... I think all heck is going to break loose in Jan for a 2 week period like back in 2000. +1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 +1! If you think about it, we (RDU), are super due for a good early-mid January snow event. We haven't had a 4" early-mid Jan event since 2002 (10 years). We did have a 5" snow event on Jan 30th in 2010, so the end of Jan. We need something in the heart of January, that's why I still like my my call for the first accumulating snow of Jan 11th. Last snow event I could find in the range of January 7-21th is 1996, 16 years ago. I was in Winston at the time, it delayed my return to college a few days, great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 The guy that does my landscaping came by this morning and said he heard it was going to snow this weekend and wanted to "prep" my yard and driveway. I asked him if he really heard it was gong to snow or was work just slow right now. You should seen his face. Guess he didn't know I was a weatherologist. They'll be here Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I will say this again on a positive note. These temps beat the heck out of walking outside and it being +90 all summer. I'm enjoying the break from the heat. My garden will also appreciate all of this rain next spring. So, it's not all bad. But winter is my favorite season and the worse the weather, the happier I am. That's pretty sick I know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 The guy that does my landscaping came by this morning and said he heard it was going to snow this weekend and wanted to "prep" my yard and driveway. I asked him if he really heard it was gong to snow or was work just slow right now. You should seen his face. Guess he didn't know I was a weatherologist. Good one right there...he was obviously messing with the wrong guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 May I simply say that this weather pattern stinks. That is all of the banter I have in me today. There is nothing to really add. What's strange is that the pattern is so bad that noone is even commenting on the model runs...not even fantasy land stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 If you think about it, we (RDU), are super due for a good early-mid January snow event. We haven't had a 4" early-mid Jan event since 2002 (10 years). We did have a 5" snow event on Jan 30th in 2010, so the end of Jan. We need something in the heart of January, that's why I still like my my call for the first accumulating snow of Jan 11th. Last snow event I could find in the range of January 7-21th is 1996, 16 years ago. I was in Winston at the time, it delayed my return to college a few days, great storm. Yep, you're right. And Jan is probably the best time to get a good storm. The sun angle is still low, and it's the coldest part of Winter, climo-speaking. I hope this is the year that we get a big January storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 The guy that does my landscaping came by this morning and said he heard it was going to snow this weekend and wanted to "prep" my yard and driveway. I asked him if he really heard it was gong to snow or was work just slow right now. You should seen his face. Guess he didn't know I was a weatherologist They'll be here Thursday morning. There you go brain fogging the help again Did you pick his pocket while he was bafoozled? Hope you get some snow soon to keep you out of trouble.....don't want to hear you're headed out in the boat, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Yep, you're right. And Jan is probably the best time to get a good storm. The sun angle is still low, and it's the coldest part of Winter, climo-speaking. I hope this is the year that we get a big January storm. Hope? The CR I know doesn't hope for snow, he calls for snow!! Come on man, and predict us up a storm here, lol. We're only a few weeks out from your wheel house! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 There you go brain fogging the help again Did you pick his pocket while he was bafoozled? Hope you get some snow soon to keep you out of trouble.....don't want to hear you're headed out in the boat, lol. T Tony, it does feel kinda weird here. After being spoiled like most here (relatively speaking, of course)the past two years, for it being the middle of Dec it feel like it's October. And, no, my boating excursions are on hold until spring..........I've seen things, man.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Tony, it does feel kinda weird here. After being spoiled like most here (relatively speaking, of course)the past two years, for it being the middle of Dec it feel like it's October. And, no, my boating excursions are on hold until spring..........I've seen things, man.... Hang in there, Joe!! It's coming. Just wait. Starting with my Guess the Storm grand prize after Xmas....it's already on the map. It will be a cut off in the 4 corners spitting out energy packets into a split stream, with the mother of all highs building in. A 4peat. This will be the winter to end all winters. Well...hmmm...now wait a minute. You've already had over 100 inches in one season...maybe that was your winter of winters. Nope, never mind. You may be relative toast Might have to do with 50 or 60 ..but it might all come with one storm, lol. Meanwhile, my faded front still wants to shoot a sw up into Ga late week and give me some much needed rain. Just need it south like it was some days back... before it wasn't Groovy...fantasy is so much better than reality T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 What's strange is that the pattern is so bad that noone is even commenting on the model runs...not even fantasy land stuff. Even the 12-16 day portion of the run is terrible on the 6zGFS. Pretty much, it's on to mid-late January - even later than I would have thought a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I know many of you aren't happy about the pattern we're in but I'm glad to have it! I'd rather have something to track every 5 to 7 days than the typical La Nina pattern. With all these brief shots of rain we've managed to pick up ONLY 1.14" . Oh well... At least there's another chance for rain this week, even if it is supposed to hang up in the Tennessee River Valley again... Here are some observations about NEXT week's system: http://davidwarrenreese.blogspot.com/ Oh, and I don't know if you guys saw this... but... yeah.... haha! Doesn't look good for : http://www.climatewatch.noaa.gov/image/2011/2011-2012-winter-outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Hope? The CR I know doesn't hope for snow, he calls for snow!! Come on man, and predict us up a storm here, lol. We're only a few weeks out from your wheel house! T Ha! Well, my 1.5 month lead on a Dec. 20/21 storm isn't looking good at all right now. I don't know man...Cold Rain might be out of phase this year. We'll see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Even the 12-16 day portion of the run is terrible on the 6zGFS. Pretty much, it's on to mid-late January - even later than I would have thought a few days ago. I wouldn't be so sure. I know the indexes don't look great at this point, but it's only the 13th of December. I think it will take another week or so to get into a look on the models that consistently support change. A lot of times when models begin flirting with change they are onto something, but in a rushed manner. Around Christmas we should have an idea as to what is coming in January (at least the beginning two weeks). If it's not showing on the models consistently by that time, then it might be mid to late January. I still think we can score cold and an opportunity for snow in the first couple of weeks of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I wouldn't be so sure. I know the indexes don't look great at this point, but it's only the 13th of December. I think it will take another week or so to get into a look on the models that consistently support change. A lot of times when models begin flirting with change they are onto something, but in a rushed manner. Around Christmas we should have an idea as to what is coming in January (at least the beginning two weeks). If it's not showing on the models consistently by that time, then it might be mid to late January. I still think we can score cold and an opportunity for snow in the first couple of weeks of January. I agree. December is out imo but there is no telling what the first half of January might bring. I don't think we will have a decent early January but we certainly could. I agree we should be able to get a feel for the first part of January around Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Last 2 winters have sure enough spoiled this snow lover. Having to take reality in doses this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 I agree. December is out imo but there is no telling what the first half of January might bring. I don't think we will have a decent early January but we certainly could. I agree we should be able to get a feel for the first part of January around Christmas. Any chance for a major winter-storm this month that impacts >1/3 of the SE is pretty much nil imo... I do think there will be at-least one more window for winter-type before the new year, and you guessed it, probably between the 24th & 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Any chance for a major winter-storm this month that impacts >1/3 of the SE is pretty much nil imo... I do think there will be at-least one more window for winter-type before the new year, and you guessed it, probably between the 24th & 28th. I like your optimism Chris, but man it's just so hard to get excited this first quarter of Winter. I've been trying I promise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Torch winter is OK with me. do not know if Amwx will be able to handle the negativity though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Torch winter is OK with me. do not know if Amwx will be able to handle the negativity though... How most will react if that happens: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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