DaculaWeather Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 This has been a great day. Windy enough to feel cold rather than cool, and thickening clouds all day. Right now it feels like winter out there! Don't need seed cracking cold to feel like winter Tony I agree! I like cold cloudy days in the winter time just to make it feel like winter. I was above 49.9 from 2:17pm until 2:42 (high of 50.7) so most of the day was in the 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Currently 38.8F with 25.9 DP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Robert, are you talking daytime highs? That's some bust. Like 20 degrees worth. Talking about tomorrow which would be about 10 degrees colder. We see this with most cad events here, even just 24 hours out. The GFS and NAM both show it strongly, and where there is precip it will be that much more of a bust. I see FFC went with upper 40's in ATL and AHN which is closer to reality but might still be too warm there.Even CAE will be quite chilly (mid 40's?) If there is steady enough precip and drizzle, then upper 30s to lower 40s is possible. Check out the direction of winds , there's hardly any source of warming in a situation like this once you wetbulb down. But yeah as for 20 degree busts, seen that plenty of times too. And just 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Someone has to be the WAA step-child, and this time of year, that is usually us Ron. Agree 100%, today felt like the first real day of winter here, forecasted high of 50, PGV struggled to 46, and held it for less than an hour, 45 currently and headed south. Even around noon today windchills were still in the mid 30's. Last night was the first night I let the fireplace go all night, set the thermo to 64, and woke up this morning with 70 in the house, still a bit chilly for this FL boy, but the gas/blower did its job and kept the heat pump off, which sucks below about 35 anyway. Today felt great. First real day of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Today was a quite chilly and windy day with highs only in the 50s.My forecast from Wunderground says showers likely in the evening which usually indicates a 60-70 percent chance of rain. I see no rain currently on the radar but well to the NW of my area and rain off the coast that looks to be moving slowly away from the coast from what I see. Then there is an 80 percent chance of rain overnight and a 90 percent in the morning according to the forecast. Where is all the rain going to come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 I was looking forward to my trip to Burlington, VT for Christmas in hopes of seeing snow on the ground and perhaps some fall from they sky. This pattern is atrocious and I will likely see bare ground even up there when I arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc87 Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 I know that precip on radar can be deceieving but it looks like a good blob of it just to our south. Maybe what foothills has been talking about for tommorow will actually play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 its kinda funny they(NWS) had us only a 20% chance of rain tonight all afternoon now bumped to 40% monday 30% and monday night 20% half the people who forecast have to be total morons. great call foothills! o and thats before yesterday they put in a 20% chance monday morning.. just go's to show everyone cant always rely on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 12, 2011 Author Share Posted December 12, 2011 I know that precip on radar can be deceieving but it looks like a good blob of it just to our south. Maybe what foothills has been talking about for tommorow will actually play out. Where are you located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc87 Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Where are you located? I'm near greenville I've been watching that blob off the coast of sc maybe some of it will work this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 already down to 32. They are calling for possible freezing rain tonight and tomorrow morning. Could be tricky leaving work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Fox 8 weather man showed rain across tenn with a low pressure in the gulf for Christmas Day. Looks like it would be over more of the southeast on the 26th. Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 We topped out at 46 today, but the breeziness sure made it feel colder. Looks like the models are having a tough time with the period after 180 hours. It's fun/depressing to watch the GFS flip-flop from .53" on the 00z last night, to .40" at 06z, to 2.81" on the 12z for the 2nd period timeframe 12/18-19 to 12/26-27 for my location, using KJNX via MeteoStar. Then today's 18z tells me Second Period TOTAL PRECIP: 0.81 " Really makes me glad I'm just a weather observer and not a forecaster....I just lost 2 inches of rain!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Fox 8 weather man showed rain across tenn with a low pressure in the gulf for Christmas Day. Looks like it would be over more of the southeast on the 26th. Rain? On the 18z GFS, definitely rain. That's so far away it was pointless of him to even show though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Just showing that rain will be around like i said last night its way to far off to say rain snow or anything..but good chance of it being active that week gives most some hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 some moisture showing up in Eastern NC on the 0z NAM for tomorrow morning....... hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Current 00z runs show pretty much nothing wintry at all for ATL, CLT, GSP, nor CAE.. in Bufkit at least. 00z NAM also shows the first rain comes around 5:00PM Monday afternoon for CAE and radar looks quite different this moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 The UHI effect had a stark effect on my drive back to school today (final exam time, yeah!) When I left Greensboro in the early evening, it was ~35 degrees. By the time I was ~20 miles SE of GSO, it was in the mid-20s. And once I got back in Raleigh, it was in the low to mid 30s again. Fun times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajaronw10 Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Pretty cool out this morning.. 34 degree at 6 AM.. Had some rain overnight too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Clouds kept the temperatures up here, 40.8 is my low and pretty much where I am right now. Very breezy this morning with my winds out of the E-ENE. Nice rain in south Georgia and off the coast into SC. http://www.daculaweather.com/grlevel3/sc-state_charleston_clx_br248.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 cloudy, with sprinkles and 38, dewpoint 27. Northerly winds and a 1036 high still nosing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 I'm flatlined... http://www.daculaweather.com/dacula_weather_graphs.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Brad Panovich's twitter feed is reporting a small area of rain, snow, sleet mix in Catawba, Alexander, Iredell & Wilkes Counties. Also some sporadic flurries around Hickory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Brad Panovich's twitter feed is reporting a small area of rain, snow, sleet mix in Catawba, Alexander, Iredell & Wilkes Counties. Also some sporadic flurries around Hickory. I think the public probably sees very light rain and thinks flurries lol. Its +4 to +5 at 850 in those counties , but with some evap. cooling there could be brief sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 37 here. The temp rose maybe around 3 degrees from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 the pattern we've been in this Summer and Fall kind of reminds me of the 86-87 year. I remember it being hot that Summer and droughty in the Southeast, then a damp fall with some warm days ahead of some lake cutter type flows. It was very cloudy in that December if I recall, and I'm not seeing much sun in our future this month (more clouds than sun), but by the end of the month and beginning of the new year things changed. A series of southwest lows came across and one dove really deep in the Gulf and ran up the east coast as a big snowmaker in January. Do patterns repeat themselves? Of course they can. And we've had a lot of cutoffs and southwest lows lately. I'm seeing a pattern. So it would be crazy to ignore the fact that a big ridge can build out west and one of the southwest lows moves east into the Gulf then up the coast when there is a cold airmass in place. As I've said a while now, there are too many shortwaves and opening cutoff waves in the flow this year to ignore that fact and the likelihood is way higher than normal that the Southeast benefits atleast once from a major snowfall out of that. Most years we only get to roll the dice a few times a Winter. This year we get to keep on rolling and keep on rolling the dice, so odds are higher than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Acting like a Nino without the overpowering stj? the pattern we've been in this Summer and Fall kind of reminds me of the 86-87 year. I remember it being hot that Summer and droughty in the Southeast, then a damp fall with some warm days ahead of some lake cutter type flows. It was very cloudy in that December if I recall, and I'm not seeing much sun in our future this month (more clouds than sun), but by the end of the month and beginning of the new year things changed. A series of southwest lows came across and one dove really deep in the Gulf and ran up the east coast as a big snowmaker in January. Do patterns repeat themselves? Of course they can. And we've had a lot of cutoffs and southwest lows lately. I'm seeing a pattern. So it would be crazy to ignore the fact that a big ridge can build out west and one of the southwest lows moves east into the Gulf then up the coast when there is a cold airmass in place. As I've said a while now, there are too many shortwaves and opening cutoff waves in the flow this year to ignore that fact and the likelihood is way higher than normal that the Southeast benefits atleast once from a major snowfall out of that. Most years we only get to roll the dice a few times a Winter. This year we get to keep on rolling and keep on rolling the dice, so odds are higher than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 It looks to me like some of the better known mets and professionals jumped the gun on this SSW. I guess time will tell and it may well still happen, but when you want to be the first to see things, sometimes things like this happen. It feels very 1984/1985 to me, just wetter at this point for my area of northeast TN. I think all that pole cold does eventually get pushed south at some point next month and we have a few ice/snow events on a widespread basisto deal with. Maybe even a BIG one like Robert has been talking about. There is an awful lot of snowcover and cold around the earth and it's not going to just go away. Until then, get outside and enjoy the warmer days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Until then, get outside and enjoy the warmer days. It is 42, with heavy overcast, a NE wind, and near a tenth in the gauge from overnight...I'm going to be outside today enjoying winter, lol. Got to make the most of the little things! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 38 cloudy with drizzle and light rain. brrrrr lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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