weathafella Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Keeping with the theme of storms striking just prior to holidays, 06z GFS says hello to the Pearl Harbor Day Eve storm. 24 hours before 12/7? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 24 hours before 12/7? When you win your bet, and I'm sure you will, I hope you get a lobster and steak combo with an expensive bottle of wine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Not a great Euro run last night as we now torch again next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Not a great Euro run last night as we now torch again next week AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 AWT Negative Nelly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Not a great Euro run last night as we now torch again next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Not a great Euro run last night as we now torch again next week Wait till 12/10.....the pattern change begins 12/10 and is complete 12/25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfens850mbTSLPNA_loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 AWT You didn't think we torched again into the 50's and 60's next week. You said 1 or 2 days of slightly mild until another cooldown. This is getting beyond depressing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 You didn't think we torched again into the 50's and 60's next week. You said 1 or 2 days of slightly mild until another cooldown. This is getting beyond depressing 12/10. Also ensembles are less torch worthy on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 12/10. Also ensembles are less torch worthy on the euro. All the mets were saying next week would be at least seasonably cold with a snow chance or 2. We've now lost that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 All the mets were saying next week would be at least seasonably cold with a snow chance or 2. We've now lost that Too early. The patten change begins 12/10 and is complete 12/25.....iow....around the time you give up on winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 It's coming ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 You didn't think we torched again into the 50's and 60's next week. You said 1 or 2 days of slightly mild until another cooldown. This is getting beyond depressing I said it was heading towards a milder solution. What do you think it means? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 I said it was heading towards a milder solution. What do you think it means? I must have said that numerous times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 If we are lucky, maybe we can get a wave to develop along that front, next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 It's coming ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Nothing has changed for the most part. We have a big cool down next week and then a relaxation of the -EPO near the 10th which means the possibility of overrunning and/or milder solutions. Tough to tell at this point, but once again...nobody said it is a wintry pattern yet. It seems to be going along with the sort of yo-yo type pattern/ step down process. I don't see a real disaster of a pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 I said it was heading towards a milder solution. What do you think it means? That's alot different than a 5 day torch which the euro shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 That's alot different than a 5 day torch which the euro shows It won't be a true torch until Sunday Night/Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Next week will cool down big time. The question is what happens after that cool shot? Well the ridge still has amplitude, but begins to retrograde. As it does so, the se ridge begins to build. So my gut is that while we still have some colder air around towards the 10th...we run the risk of storms coming real close or just west of us. Probably not too bad of a pattern for NNE, but it gets a little more dicey down here. If we play our cards right, hopefully it is more overrunning type stuff..I.E SWFE. At least Canada looks avg to at times slightly below avg, since we don't have screaming Pacific taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Everything on track, mega heat continues next couple of days, transient cool down and then a return of the torch perhaps not to this extent but its back with numerous + to++ days, followed by another transient cool down thats becomes modified on models as we approach the date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Everything on track, mega heat continues next couple of days, transient cool down and then a return of the torch perhaps not to this extent but its back with numerous + to++ days, followed by another transient cool down thats becomes modified on models as we approach the date. That sounds about right. Particularly the last part. I don't know what you guys are talking about. SkiMRG is right this is delightfully pleasant ski weather. It's only 60 at 7am. That's perfectly good snowmaking weather. It's only 37 on Mount Washington. Once you get about about 7500 feet the snowmaking is going splashingly well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 That sounds about right. Particularly the last part. I don't know what you guys are talking about. SkiMRG is right this is delightfully pleasant ski weather. It's only 60 at 7am. That's perfectly good snowmaking weather. It's only 37 on Mount Washington. Once you get about about 7500 feet the snowmaking is going splashingly well. Ouch. Yeah 43.6/43.6 here in NE VT. Eating up the snow like a fat kid at a cake convention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 All the mets were saying next week would be at least seasonably cold with a snow chance or 2. We've now lost that The 1st half of December was always in peril, unless you deluded yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Ouch. Yeah 43.6/43.6 here in NE VT. Eating up the snow like a fat kid at a cake convention. If we pile up all the weenies we can get to 7500 feet and get to the cold enough air to make some real snow. I'm only bummed by the cloud cover. Without it and a blazing late November sun I was hoping someone would touch 7 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 If we pile up all the weenies we can get to 7500 feet and get to the cold enough air to make some real snow. I'm only bummed by the cloud cover. Without it and a blazing late November sun I was hoping someone would touch 7 0 It's the legendary Jack O reincarnated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Weenies will be weenies. If it's not 25 with S+, suicides commence and winter is over. It's warm out, deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Nothing has really changed...the 3-5 day cold shot looks slightly later than initially, but such is the challenge of LR forecasting from 2 weeks out. We will have a chance...whether it comes to fruition or not is anyone's guess and is exactly that...just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Nothing has really changed...the 3-5 day cold shot looks slightly later than initially, but such is the challenge of LR forecasting from 2 weeks out. We will have a chance...whether it comes to fruition or not is anyone's guess and is exactly that...just a guess. Will what are your thoughts for that day 7-8 threat? The setup looks pretty good right now.. now we just need to work on the heights rising more out west to better allow the low to become negative.. what did the euro show last night for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.