Thundersnow12 Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 12z GEM looks like it drops a few inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 6:16 PM, Thundersnow12 said: 12z GEM looks like it drops a few inches here. It will eventually come in line with the rest of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
digitizedmind75 Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 I noticed the 12z Euro seems to be ejecting the energy left behind in the Southwest and producing a storm in the OV/GL area around Tuesday/Wednesday of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 7:31 PM, digitizedmind75 said: I noticed the 12z Euro seems to be ejecting the energy left behind in the Southwest and producing a storm in the OV/GL area around Tuesday/Wednesday of next week. we are talking about it some in the main Dec thread, some of the GFS ensembles are hinting at it as well. It will be something to watch, especially if the trends towards a quicker and further west ejection of the lead wave continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 For snow lovers and a quick change to a winter pattern this would be welcome news and not unlike how the pattern evolved each of the last few Decembers. One wave after another sliding along the arctic boundary depositing snow further south and east. Great fear would be mega storm heading into upper lakes and a strong surge of cold pushing rapidly south leaving everyone cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Another rainstorm followed by cool/cold and dry through mid-month is not how I was hoping this winter would begin. However, I was just checking my climate history and our record snowy winter of 07-08 began with two big rain events in the first half of December. After December 20th that winter really took off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 This one will be interesting. Temps look a little warm to start with. Maybe a couple of sloppy inches? I love the slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 The new NAM looks like it is gonna go left of left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 8:35 PM, gosaints said: The new NAM looks like it is gonna go left of left. yep it's had the left turn signal on for a while now and it's not done. might open the door down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 8:38 PM, Alek said: yep it's had the left turn signal on for a while now and it's not done. might open the door down the road. At the same time it's the 18z NAM. I'm pretty sure this won't trend SE, but it is possible guidance will maintain the general track, even if the NAM has occasional extra amped runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 8:43 PM, wisconsinwx said: At the same time it's the 18z NAM. I'm pretty sure this won't trend SE, but it is possible guidance will maintain the general track, even if the NAM has occasional extra amped runs. sure but it's been trending this way for quite a few runs now, so it's worth noting. chicago torches on this run, temps nearing 50. make that 55 By the end of the run, it sure looks like a second storm would be possible from the leftover SW vort, these rarely deliver but a nice piece is left over, the gulf never gets completely shut off and there is a raging piece coming down out of cananda (110-120 kts). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 8:38 PM, Alek said: yep it's had the left turn signal on for a while now and it's not done. might open the door down the road. Yeah maybe it will turn out to be a good thing if that secondary wave becomes a reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 11/30/2011 at 11:42 PM, cyclone77 said: Yeah maybe it will turn out to be a good thing if that secondary wave becomes a reality. 18z GFS is close to making that secondary system something decent. The Eastern Lakes get some moderate accumulations with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 12:01 AM, Stebo48858 said: 18z GFS is close to making that secondary system something decent. The Eastern Lakes get some moderate accumulations with it. The EURO shows the same. Pittsburgh to Ottawa gets hammered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 12:01 AM, Stebo48858 said: 18z GFS is close to making that secondary system something decent. The Eastern Lakes get some moderate accumulations with it. It's gonna trend west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 12:09 AM, Alek said: It's gonna trend west Thats a given. Only to trend back to east during the 23rd hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Pretty nice hit on the SREF from Kansas up through the northwest half of Iowa. Looks pretty good for LaCrosse too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Baro likes a further south track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 12:09 AM, Alek said: It's gonna trend west Possible but right now it's most of East of us anyways right now so a trend West wouldn't hurt although the trend all fall has been to be close to initial track or slightly to the East/South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 I wouldnt mind a scenario that the the 00z EURO shows. It wouldnt be a blockbuster but most of the OV is in the cold sector and light to moderate snows would be possible for a few days next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:03 AM, snowlord81 said: I wouldnt mind a scenario that the the 00z EURO shows. It wouldnt be a blockbuster but most of the OV is in the cold sector and light to moderate snows would be possible for a few days next week. About how much does it spit out for Northern IN??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Everyone enjoys a clown here and there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:11 AM, PatrickSumner said: About how much does it spit out for Northern IN??? Going by the weatherunderground snowfall loop, there's 2 rounds about 2 days apart but northern IN gets very little if anything from either round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 7:55 AM, snowlover2 said: Going by the weatherunderground snowfall loop, there's 2 rounds about 2 days apart but northern IN gets very little if anything from either round. Ya, hard to say but to me it looks like most of Indiana gets in on some snow albeit light. I bet it would add up to 1-3 inches over a day or two. Considering its so far out I wouldnt worry to much about the specifics. Hopefully we will see a trend towards a more wound up solution. Right now the Euro shows 2 rounds of heavier snows affecting SE Ind. and Western Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Looks like a sloppy 1-4 inches here. NAM still looks to keep the heaviest far to the north of here. Could be the winter of Screamers, Maulers and Clippers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 1:43 PM, daddylonglegs said: Looks like a sloppy 1-4 inches here. NAM still looks to keep the heaviest far to the north of here. Could be the winter of Screamers, Maulers and Clippers? GFS on the other hand brings the heaviest band pretty close to you..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 It will all depend on how much warm air makes it in here (NAM warmer). I think it could be a case where the bluff areas (higher elevation) see more then areas down by the river... Models have been pretty consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 NAM looks to be coming in cooler up to this point. At least above the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 On 12/1/2011 at 2:30 PM, gosaints said: NAM looks to be coming in cooler up to this point. At least above the surface. really dumps from north central kansas up through eastern nebraska into northwest iowa. initial wave craps the bed as it heads further into Wisconsin and the front stalls out well south dropping a ton of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 1, 2011 Share Posted December 1, 2011 Is it too early/a jinx to start a separate thread for the Dec 6th possible threat farther south? This thread is starting to get confusing talking about both inter-mixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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