Snow_Miser Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Since multiple models are now showing this potential, I decided that I probably should create a thread for it. Today's 12z Guidance suggested that a weak clipper system could be moving through the area come the d7-d8 timeframe (Friday-Saturday) The 12z GFS showed a weak clipper with a little bit of precip moving through, and it would probably be cold enough to snow in this timeframe. The 12z ECMWF also showed a similar batch of precip moving through the area, and that would bring light snow to the area. The ECMWF would have slightly heavier precip than the GFS with this clipper, but not by much. The 6z DGEX showed an unlikely solution, and that is a coastal that goes over the BM. The teleconnections are not terrible for this timeframe per the CPC. The PNA looks to be netural-positive, the NAO looks to be netural-negative, and the AO looks to be netural. However, at this time it does not look like as if anything big will pop out of this. Some flakes in the air would be nice next weekend though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 lol I didn't have anything better to do today, so why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 No major snow threats on the horizon, but IF there were any it would be more likely 12/5-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Euro has the beginning of a nice cutter or inland runner at 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 No major snow threats on the horizon, but IF there were any it would be more likely 12/5-6. Agree. The models keep showing a storm around this timeframe . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Euro has the beginning of a nice cutter or inland runner at 240. Do you think ur winter predictions are in jeopardy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Do you think ur winter predictions are in jeopardy? yup, as are all the mid december people as the alaskan death low is coming back around then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 yup, as are all the mid december people as the alaskan death low is coming back around then. Meh......with no blocking are only hope is a quick hitting snowfall.......think december is basically a wash.....that low is coming back.....going suck if it takes 4 weeks to shove it away for 3 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Meh......with no blocking are only hope is a quick hitting snowfall.......think december is basically a wash.....that low is coming back.....going suck if it takes 4 weeks to shove it away for 3 days Quick hitting snowfalls are nice . I'm not giving up on December. I believe we will have a slow start and finish strong . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 If the PNA ridge, was in a perfect position, like over the Northern Rockies, we might stand a better chance at significant snow event on Dec. 5-6. But GEFS and Euro ensembles keep it mostly west of Rockies, allowing for the trough to dig further west. Making it mostly a SWFE, without blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 If the PNA ridge, was in a perfect position, like over the Northern Rockies, we might stand a better chance at significant snow event on Dec. 5-6. But GEFS and Euro ensembles keep it mostly west of Rockies, allowing for the trough to dig further west. Making it mostly a SWFE, without blocking. this. that threat is a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Any snowflakes would be welcome during the time frame despite the set up isn't the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Meh......with no blocking are only hope is a quick hitting snowfall.......think december is basically a wash.....that low is coming back.....going suck if it takes 4 weeks to shove it away for 3 days Lol what an accomplishment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 euro storm is a def cutter. Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 euro storm is a def cutter. Not even close. 07-08........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 07-08........ ill take that december swfe, 10 surprise inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 ill take that december swfe, 10 surprise inches If you got 10 inches that December they sure as hell weren't snow inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 If you got 10 inches that December they sure as hell weren't snow inches. maybe it was February? there was a swfe where we radiated to like 22 overnight and the storm came in early as they always do and I had about 10 inches, i have to look that up, it was the only storm worth talking about that winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 maybe it was February? there was a swfe where we radiated to like 22 overnight and the storm came in early as they always do and I had about 10 inches, i have to look that up, it was the only storm worth talking about that winter. February is right. Had almost 7 here and was basically the only storm. There were a few inches from a storm several days prior but that turned to rain and was washed away the next day. That was pretty much the whole winter. Watching Boston get 175 inches of snow that winter made it hurt even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 yeah, found it. Hopefully we get one of these in the remaning winter months. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/okx/StormEvents/storm02222008.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Feb 22,2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Storm fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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