daddylonglegs Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Low of 21F tonite here with a good south wind... Tomorrow should see 40F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Mike Hamernik, a met for WGN here tweeted out this picture off the 12z GFS for the second possible system around the 20th lol first pink shading is 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 When I look at this pattern I just want to cry And to make matters worse, my Environment and Resource Management Teacher keeps telling me see what Global Warming is doing to our winters. I get so annoyed when she always says that You should respond with "yeah, I do see....3 of the last 4 winters featured above normal snowfall" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Mike Hamernik, a met for WGN here tweeted out this picture off the 12z GFS for the second possible system around the 20th lol first pink shading is 10" Verbatim that would put northern Illinois in the sleet/snow/dryslot mix zone lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Mike Hamernik, a met for WGN here tweeted out this picture off the 12z GFS for the second possible system around the 20th lol first pink shading is 10" Nice. There could be more snow to the east just beyond the 10 day outlook. At least there is snow showing up on the extended range! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 I'll probably end the season with around 38 inches. Ryan Braun caught taking PEDS...i'm done with baseball forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 I'll probably end the season with around 38 inches. Ryan Braun caught taking PEDS...i'm done with baseball forever. lol at Braun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 lol at Braun. when asked if he has ever been tempted to take performance enhancing drugs back in 2009 "I would never do it because if I took steriods I'd hit 60 or 70 home runs" Dude you were like 30 HR's short!!! With Pujols out of the NL, Fielder most likely leaving the Brewers, and Braun now out possibly 50 games for drug use....The Cubs got the NL Central! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 when asked if he has ever been tempted to take performance enhancing drugs back in 2009 "I would never do it because if I took steriods I'd hit 60 or 70 home runs" Dude you were like 30 HR's short!!! With Pujols out of the NL, Fielder most likely leaving the Brewers, and Braun now out possibly 50 games for drug use....The Cubs got the NL Central! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 LC has some interesting discussion with today's newsletter. Specifically the section labeled: EXTENDED PERIOD FORECAST (Between Day 11 And Day 15) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 There are certainly some signs that Mother Nature may save us from least snowiest December records around or just after Christmas. I am starting to get more hopeful about this than I was yesterday after looking at the way things are lining up. I think the chances are there we could see a big snow even somewhere in the Midwest/Lakes region, at least better than 40%. Only concern is models capture this stuff for a while only to back off on it as we get closer to the timeframe. And of course, whoever misses out will just get bleh cold, dry, maybe a clipper or two and that might be it for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 LC has some interesting discussion with today's newsletter. Specifically the section labeled: EXTENDED PERIOD FORECAST (Between Day 11 And Day 15) The recent tendency for full-phase, massive bombogenesis cases in the northern Atlantic Ocean might be explained by this drift, which is essentially a case of a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation gone insane. So much cold air in a cluster starts to "drip" over the pole into North America. In time breakaway pieces from the gyre drag the core circulation so far south that pure cAk values are able to occupy locations in the U.S. This type of event has happened twice in recent history: December 1976/January 1977 and December 1983. Once established, the dome can last as much as 45 days, destroying temperature records in the process. It is too early to suggest that this scenario might verify, but recent stratospheric temperature anomaly forecasts are turning very warm over Canada in the 11 - 15 day period. If so, southward displacement of the harshest of air mass may be enabled in the days just before Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 lol at Braun. at Braun. Talk about bad timing too lol. There's still a few small patches of snow on the ground in shaded areas. Shows how cold it's been being able to keep <1" of dry snow more than a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Looks warm for MKE east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 LC has some interesting discussion with today's newsletter. Specifically the section labeled: EXTENDED PERIOD FORECAST (Between Day 11 And Day 15) Wow, does that ever sound like a December 1993 set up. Storm hit Ottawa/Montreal, NNE around december 19th that year and then wow. The first three weeks of that December were awful. Mild and rainy just like this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Looks warm for MKE east. Not the way I extrapolate that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Friday, December 9th: Hi: 30F Lo: 18F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 19MPH Rainfall: 0.02" Snowfall: 0.6" Saturday, December 10th: Hi: 27F Lo: 12F Overall Sky Conditions: Mostly Clear Max Wind Gust: 18MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Not the way I extrapolate that map I guess MKE moved 200 miles east unless I'm looking at the wrong map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 That map is garbage. 00z GFS is a torch... Braun can join his buddies Sosa, Bonds, McGwire, etc... Oh well... The team is going to collapse once he is suspended for 50 games and Fielder leaves...throw in the most expensive set up man in baseball in KRod and the highest paid Chewabacca playing in right field... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Was at my friends in Bloomfield today, they got about 2" on Friday morning (to our inch), so while the snow imby has settled/melted to a dusting, still a decent amount of snow left there. Some bright December sun today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Three runs in a row now the Euro has showed a solid snowstorm around the 20th. New 0z run has the best band from western KS-southwest IA but places from eastern IA-central/southern MI still get a few inches as the cold air moves with the wave/sfc low weakening as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Three runs in a row now the Euro has showed a solid snowstorm around the 20th. New 0z run has the best band from western KS-southwest IA but places from eastern IA-central/southern MI still get a few inches as the cold air moves with the wave/sfc low weakening as it heads east. Just missed a better phase... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 when asked if he has ever been tempted to take performance enhancing drugs back in 2009 "I would never do it because if I took steriods I'd hit 60 or 70 home runs" Dude you were like 30 HR's short!!! With Pujols out of the NL, Fielder most likely leaving the Brewers, and Braun now out possibly 50 games for drug use....The Cubs got the NL Central! I still have a trace of snow here. That will be a distant memory after today as the torch begins. It looks like we will be back to near normal today, then the next 4 days will be above normal for Northern IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 6z GFS is infuriating. Makes sure the D7 s/w over the SW stalls until the cold air over the Lakes has moved out. Then it ejects out as a rainstorm. F U GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 6z GFS is infuriating. Makes sure the D7 s/w over the SW stalls until the cold air over the Lakes has moved out. Then it ejects out as a rainstorm. F U GFS. Yeah I saw that and I facepalmed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Yeah I saw that and I facepalmed GEFS are more progressive and several show a moderate snow event in the Lakes around D7. I'm not holding my breath though. I'm thinking any break in this pattern might wait until after Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Tropical says no winter this year... 6z gfs is warm again... I really think we may be waiting until Jan to see winter, especially you guys that don't live in tundra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 6z GFS is infuriating. Makes sure the D7 s/w over the SW stalls until the cold air over the Lakes has moved out. Then it ejects out as a rainstorm. F U GFS. Its actually a decent phase over my area and gives IA/WI/MI a nice snow event onces it changeover happens but alot of rain for points east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 GFS is a JOKE lol. It flops every single run tremendously, and I notice on here, when the long range shows cold, its "gfs bias, it always shows cold in this timeframe" and when it shows mild its "gfs torch, winter on hold even longer", implying when gfs says cold its wrong and when it shows mild its correct For the storm on the 14/15th, as much as I HATE rain, I want to see Detroit break the record for wettest year on record, we are SO close. Weve had way too much rain and snow this year to NOT break the record in my book. This never looked to be anything more than rain for here, but the storm on the 20th may be a different story wrt precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 GEFS are more progressive and several show a moderate snow event in the Lakes around D7. I'm not holding my breath though. I'm thinking any break in this pattern might wait until after Christmas. Yeah I noticed this with the ensembles compared to the OP GFS both 00z and 06z runs. The Euro looked to be in the middle between the 2 so who knows at this point. To be honest I'd rather not keep looking further down the road because more systems between you and these 'potentials' the more that could/will go wrong. Its actually a decent phase over my area and gives IA/WI/MI a nice snow event onces it changeover happens but alot of rain for points east. I won't hold my breath for changeover events, 75% of the time at least for SEMI they end up being crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.