Geos Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 The GFS/GEM throw a bone to those of us to the west that are missing the big storm Tuesday/Wednesday. Shows a decent little wave moving across WI/IL late Thursday with some light snow. Better than nothing lol. Nice - I'm right under the axis of heaviest snow! I'll take any snowfall at point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Cloudy days, and therefore busting high temps have become the rule here. Yesterday they were expecting low 40s, and looks like it won't get out of the mid 30s. If only that band of precip from the current system could trend a tad NW and brush our area, we might see some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Snow bubble, seriously? I wouldn't concern yourself with any clown map, be it Twisterdata or Earl Barker, etc. This. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Cloudy days, and therefore busting high temps have become the rule here. Yesterday they were expecting low 40s, and looks like it won't get out of the mid 30s. If only that band of precip from the current system could trend a tad NW and brush our area, we might see some flakes. I know... it's like the storm is so close will be able to smell the snow, but not see it on this side of the lake! Did see some flurries in Kenosha today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 So much for the gloom and doom of a torchy December.. Long range looks solid wrt to cold and a few solid storms likely to come too with the pattern in the upcoming weeks.. The Arctic Express is open and ready for business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 So much for the gloom and doom of a torchy December.. Long range looks solid wrt to cold and a few solid storms likely to come too with the pattern in the upcoming weeks.. The Arctic Express is open and ready for business! Looks like it's headed right at Wisconsin too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 So much for the gloom and doom of a torchy December.. Long range looks solid wrt to cold and a few solid storms likely to come too with the pattern in the upcoming weeks.. The Arctic Express is open and ready for business! Nice, -14°C type air for my area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 GFS shows a good shot of cold air early next week...with no snowcover, it will be interesting to see how temps respond. Should finally dip into the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 GFS shows a good shot of cold air early next week...with no snowcover, it will be interesting to see how temps respond. Should finally dip into the teens. Not so fast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 GFS still shows the cold shot... mid teens on tap early next week. Nothing ground breaking, but it should put some frost into the ground. I don't see anything remotely snowy in our future... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 2nd week of Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 So you are throwing away any chances of the weekend storm producing snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 So you are throwing away any chances of the weekend storm producing snow? I think he is downplaying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I think so. If it is a strong storm I like his location almost better than any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 extended GFS is brutal, just brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 extended GFS is brutal, just brutal Absolute blowtorch past 288. That being said, op runs in la la land FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 some serious cold air at day 10 on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I love cherry picking analog dates off the 6-10 and 8-14 day CPC outlooks. That being said, December 8, 2007 (6-10 day outlook) and December 10, 2007 (8-14) show up. Ah, just five days later from December 10, 2007... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Well, on the bright side, December can't be worse than November, can it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Well, on the bright side, December can't be worse than November, can it? November was actually pretty active around here. Picked up over 5" of rain for the month. Had our first trace of snow on the 9th. Never seem to get much measurable snow around here in Nov anyway, so I feel pretty good about things overall I guess. Still a long ways to go this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 November was actually pretty active around here. Picked up over 5" of rain for the month. Had our first trace of snow on the 9th. Never seem to get much measurable snow around here in Nov anyway, so I feel pretty good about things overall I guess. Still a long ways to go this winter. It was active- but not a good active. I guess it's some post-storm major disappointment more than anything. Saw about 20 flakes this entire month, but still got the whole winter to go. Pattern just doesn't look all that great for anything right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 When even an active month ends up right at normal precipitation and 0.1 inches of snowfall (when the average is more than 3) you know some things are not meant to be. Hopefully the final month of 2011 is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 So how about Thursday night's "teaser"? Right now it looks like E Wisconsin and much of Michigan are looking at a dusting to an inch of snow. Right now I'll say a dusting here (would be the most snow I've seen this winter if it happened). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 DT sounds the alarm 11/30 AM for potential severe arctic outbreak" DT at 8:07 a.m.: " *** ALERT *** POTENTIAL -- POTENTIAL for Severe cold outbreak DEC 6-10 for Entire Eastern half of the US ..2 waves of serious cold FIRST wave of cold DEC 5-6-7... 2nd wave of serious Cold DEC 9-10-11." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 There you go Ohio and Ontario. 12z GFS delivers the goods past hour 141. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Pattern looks good in the medium range (6+ days) for some activity. SE ridge looks like it's going to try to flex its muscles...which we want, but too much is bad for some obviously. At this point, I'd highlight areas in the western Midwest and the central/northern Plains for the bulk of wintry opportunities. Of course the devil is in the details with every storm, so nothing is a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Pattern looks good in the medium range (6+ days) for some activity. SE ridge looks like it's going to try to flex its muscles...which we want, but too much is bad for some obviously. At this point, I'd highlight areas in the western Midwest and the central/northern Plains for the bulk of wintry opportunities. Of course the devil is in the details with every storm, so nothing is a lock. Could this be another Minnesota and N/C Wisconsin winter? Maybe Michigan will get in on the act as well when the jet stream sags SE. Right now I feel we are caught in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Could this be another Minnesota and N/C Wisconsin winter? Maybe Michigan will get in on the act as well when the jet stream sags SE. Right now I feel we are caught in between. Well who knows how the winter will play out, but for the first half of December I'd favor those areas. That's not to say that the rest of us will be snowless of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 A couple cities in SE Wisconsin dipped into the teens this morning (Waukesha and Fon du Lac). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Could this be another Minnesota and N/C Wisconsin winter? Maybe Michigan will get in on the act as well when the jet stream sags SE. Right now I feel we are caught in between. they've started off pretty slow and it's early so i don't see how you can make that call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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