Stebo Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Glad I wasn't here for this argument that occurred this evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Whole lot of nothing going on here. Light drizzle, warm... been like that all day. On the trip down yesterday a lot of the farm fields were still underwater, or the river valleys were all coated in sediment and the plants were all on their side facing the direction of the current. Either they was straight line winds or flooding scars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 med/long range looking brutal...winter sliding towards suck levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 med/long range looking brutal...winter sliding towards suck levels. the models change every 6 hours. Oh, and the very end of the long range is the FIRST day of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 med/long range looking brutal...winter sliding towards suck levels. Big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Omaha was 5F this morning. That snowcover on the ground is doing its dirty work. Wow.... GFS is dry through 252 hours. Looks like it goes "mild" again by Sunday/Monday. Will be interesting to see how long this 1 inch of snow/crust can last. This week looks pretty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Getting a real nice LE band moving through here.. Mod. Snow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Big time. Meh, I still say a ton of threats, sucky busts, and nice surprises will occur in the med-long range. Models have just been TOO bad. The other day the GFS had a thickness of 494 one run (sfc temps mid-teens) and the very next run it was 544 (sfc temps upper 30s) around day 14. Its ridiculous how bad it is in the long range, better off reading the farmers almanac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Getting a real nice LE band moving through here.. Mod. Snow!! Still coming down at a good clip on and off! The best i've seen so far this young season.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 the models change every 6 hours. Oh, and the very end of the long range is the FIRST day of winter. http://www.americanw...nterobs-thread/ Very true, but it's not the models anyone's worried about. It's that the overall pattern in the near future doesn't support much in the way of appreciable snow in our region. THAT SAID, it doesn't mean we still can't get appreciable snow, there's just a lower than normal chance of getting it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 med/long range looking brutal...winter sliding towards suck levels. It does for the next couple of weeks, but probably a little early on the winter sucking overall theme. But maybe the fairy snow mother will come wave her wand and everything will be okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 It does for the next couple of weeks, but probably a little early on the winter sucking overall theme. But maybe the fairy snow mother will come wave her wand and everything will be okay. I did say we're just starting the slide towards sucking...kind of like the first loss after starting 6-0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I did say we're just starting the slide towards sucking...kind of like the first loss after starting 6-0. Damn, we're gonna get Zooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 med/long range looking brutal...winter sliding towards suck levels. Just stop. Or please use less flammable troll fuel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 GFS is trash... Probably shouldn't even pay attention after about day 5... The plow truck finally just came through....fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Michigan looks to stay toasty: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Getting a real nice LE band moving through here.. Mod. Snow!! Yeah, just wish it would accumulate. Kinda accumulating a thin ice layer on grassy surfaces, but besides that nothing. Not to mention it just turned to a light to moderate sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I did say we're just starting the slide towards sucking...kind of like the first loss after starting 6-0. Your gonna get some decent flakes today! This LE stuff is legit and it should and already is coming onshore by your crib.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Yeah, just wish it would accumulate. Kinda accumulating a thin ice layer on grassy surfaces, but besides that nothing. Not to mention it just turned to a light to moderate sleet. Idk it was still snow when I walked into the library a few minutes ago... But yeah definitely having a hard time sticking even with the steady hour long burst earlier this morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Idk it was still snow when I walked into the library a few minutes ago... But yeah definitely having a hard time sticking even with the steady hour long burst earlier this morning.. It did actually pick up in intensity when it changed to sleet, and I'd imagine it'll change precip types a few times today if it continues to stream in off the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 The RGEM develops a pretty nice LES band for northeast Illinois tomorrow morning. The St. Louis WRF does too, but not as impressive. BTW I just noticed the RGEM shows some pretty good snow in southern/southeast Michigan and northern Indiana tonight. Could be a last minute surprise for you guys out east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 The RGEM develops a pretty nice LES band for northeast Illinois tomorrow morning. The St. Louis WRF does too, but not as impressive. BTW I just noticed the RGEM shows some pretty good snow in southern/southeast Michigan and northern Indiana tonight. Could be a last minute surprise for you guys out east. I have fingers crossed. We went from the 0z/6z runs giving no accumulating snow, to the 12z nam/gfs both giving about 2", and the latest HRRR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I have fingers crossed. We went from the 0z/6z runs giving no accumulating snow, to the 12z nam/gfs both giving about 2", and the latest HRRR... This map/model is a lol. No way we get 1-3 when a light/moderate snow does not even accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 I have fingers crossed. We went from the 0z/6z runs giving no accumulating snow, to the 12z nam/gfs both giving about 2", and the latest HRRR... Nice. Looks it wants to drop a very localized 2" amount pretty close to Milwaukee as well. DVN mentioned in the morning AFD that there may be some seeder/feeder mechanism going on out further west later today and tonight. The NAM and RGEM both show pockets of very light precip, so it may be latching on to this idea. Looks like we could get some flurries later today or tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 This map/model is a lol. No way we get 1-3 when a light/moderate snow does not even accumulate. you probably won't but any chance at accums will be overnight when accums are more likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 It looks like we are starting to get a dusting on grassy surfaces; it's a start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 We're getting some of the smallest snowflakes I've ever seen right now. At least it's some form of wintry precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Carbon copy of yesterday here. Dense overcast and right at freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 Friday looks pretty cold. Could be one of those scenarios where it's a midnight high so I'm not sure what will go on the books but I think we struggle to get out of the 20's during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 5, 2011 Share Posted December 5, 2011 some crazy shear from 850mb down to the sfc on the western side of the lake creating that convergent boundary. LE precip has made it all the way out here. from LOT ONE INTERESTING FEATURE TONIGHT IS THAT THE REGIONAL GEM DEVELOPS A WEAK MESO LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE...DUMPING 4+ INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS RACINE/KENOSHA/LAKE AND EVEN MCHENRY COUNTIES TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING. THE PREVIOUS RGEM RUNS SHOWED SIMILAR OUTCOMES... BUT MORE ACROSS LAKE COUNTY INDIANA/COOK COUNTY AND NOWHERE NEAR AS INTENSE AS THE CURRENT RUN. WILL MONITOR TO SEE IF TRENDS LEAN IN A HIGHER DIRECTION BUT FOR NOW WILL KEEP IT IN THE SUB HALF IN RANGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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