bluewave Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Wow..impresive run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Blizzard for NYC and LI. eastern long island would go over verbatim for 12Z euro now that this threat is sort of becoming serious concern EXPECT MORE RUN OF THE GFS TO HAVE SOMETHING KIND OF HiNTED AT but it will be way east or supressed or shread out until say dec 15 runs or so keep in mind THIS current storm... and how day 8 day7 day 6 day 5 and day 4 the opertional GFS and GFDS ensemble mean was waaaaaaaaaaay east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 anyone have precip amounts? MECS so I assume 1.-1.5? Yeah it def over a inch of liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 This is not fantasy time period!! Hopefully the GFS will show something at 0z so we can all get amped up and follow along run to run again. NO NO NO NO it wont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 hr 180 976 over boston.......to correct my hr 162 its just east of hatteras...sorry trying to do this as qucik as i can looking at the 6 hr maps of the 12z euor the Low tracks right up 73 -72 Long line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 NO NO NO NO it wont Like you said in the earlier post....just "something" to be tracked and mocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 NO NO NO NO it wont It might for a run or two, and then lose it again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 looking at the 6 hr maps of the 12z euor the Low tracks right up 73 -72 Long line Thanks for the correction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Well thats a way to stir the pot I love the west based NAO and 50/50 low, great position for this storm, and most importantly the 50/50 is further west this run But what are the chances the euro sticks to this solution.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 12/19 is the new 12/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Well thats a way to stir the pot I love the west based NAO and 50/50 low, great position for this storm, and most importantly the 50/50 is further west this run But what are the chances the euro sticks to this solution.... its the wrong question this is NOT 1 solution dont forget what the 0z run of the EURO ENSEMBLE .....which was foooking fantastic with the current Midwest Low.... showed a MAJOR east coast Low as well and that this is the 4th run now the euro has showed this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 anyone have precip amounts? MECS so I assume 1.-1.5? NYC would be about 15-20 inches verbatim QPF amounts are about 1.5-1.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 NYC would be about 15-20 inches verbatim QPF amounts are about 1.5-1.75 Maybe more than 15-20, depending on ratios, then. Standard ratios are 12:1 or so, but that's crazy talk this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 dont look now but the day 9 euro is hinting at the same sort of thing huge 500 Low going negative as a s/w rounds the base of the trough over the Middle Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 dont look now but the day 9 euro is hinting at the same sort of thing huge 500 Low going negative as a s/w rounds the base of the trough over the Middle Atlantic Blocking FTW. Very impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 dont look now but the day 9 euro is hinting at the same sort of thing huge 500 Low going negative as a s/w rounds the base of the trough over the Middle Atlantic do u mean the ENS mean? or another model? I thought this whole thread was about the op EURO... unless u mean there's ANOTHER threat right after the d7 threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 do u mean the ENS mean? or another model? I thought this whole thread was about the op EURO... unless u mean there's ANOTHER threat right after the d7 threat? Dec 1966 if that's true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Thankyou......but if you read my first post i said i will disscuss it, as there was intrest shown for it last night in the se states. Its a good hit of frozen preciep for northern NC and southern VA I'm still interested. Do you have precip amounts for these areas? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 unless u mean there's ANOTHER threat right after the d7 threat? There is, Euro has another coastal but its OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 GONNA BE A GREAT EDITION OF THIS WEEK IN WEATHER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 do u mean the ENS mean? or another model? I thought this whole thread was about the op EURO... unless u mean there's ANOTHER threat right after the d7 threat? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 We need some analogs where a trough was along the West Coast, huge block was retrograding across Canada and a trough was amplifying underneath across the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 There is, Euro has another coastal but its OTS 3 days ago so was this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Thanks Allsnow and DT for the play by play. It's nice to have this on the main forum again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 We need some analogs where a trough was along the West Coast, huge block was retrograding across Canada and a trough was amplifying underneath across the East. how about we make our own? 12/19/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 We need some analogs where a trough was along the West Coast, huge block was retrograding across Canada and a trough was amplifying underneath across the East. JAN 1966 either the jan 25-27 or JAN 30-31 in bortth cases but especially the Later the 50/50 low was replaced bya massive SUPRESSED 500 LOW over Montral that was shaped like EGG or oval in the later case JAN 30-31 1966 the monster 500 Low ELONGATED into 2 parets-- like a LAVA LAMP and thw western Low moved out to MANITOba where it saw a s/w in the STJ cutting through the Lower Plains the western 500 Low over MB dropepd se into the s/w over the se USA massive phase massive storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 GONNA BE A GREAT EDITION OF THIS WEEK IN WEATHER any conditions to be issued? Charlie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Is the GFS south east suppression bias at play? Euro is onto something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Lead system is snow to ice in the Triangle with the 2nd system a heavy snow event. I will take it. This lines up with the majority of the 00z ECMWF Ensemble members, (As far as evolution, timing, and placement of low) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 JAN 1966 either the jan 25-27 or JAN 30-31 in bortth cases but especially the Later the 50/50 low was replaced bya massive SUPRESSED 500 LOW over Montral that was shaped like EGG or oval in the later case JAN 30-31 1966 the monster 500 Low ELONGATED into 2 parets-- like a LAVA LAMP and thw western Low moved out to MANITOba where it saw a s/w in the STJ cutting through the Lower Plains the western 500 Low over MB dropepd se into the s/w over the se USA massive phase massive storm what about March 01? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/2001/us0304.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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