FoothillsNC Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 First the 5H feature has a good snow band across northern Tn, and Ky heading eastward to ne Tn, nw NC this evening, then immediately the flow switchs after that feature is absorbed and the Upslope begins. The models have good wrap around RH across the Tenn Valley into northern Ala and Ga for a while before lifting to the Apps region , where it remains pointed until probably Tuesday morning, maybe later Tuesday midday. The extreme cold air, with pockets of -15 and -17 for Tennesse and NC look like they should help ring out some extreme ratios for the higher elevations, so my forecast is low I'm sure in some of the best upslope spots. Likely some areas will have over 12" by the end from this event, and much more of eastern Tenn gets into prolonged snow than last time. A few flakes may streak across into the Piedmont or foothills of NC but probably not enough to create accumulations, but in strong upslope events a few flakes can survive the trip east. High winds and very cold temps should develop the high mountain passes of Tenn and NC into full fledged blizzard conditions by midday Monday. GFS: NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Excellent post as always! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Excellent post as always! thanks Rosie. The radar is lighting up now ahead of the cyclonic flow , this area should start to fill in a lot over today, and probably some accumulations with that. Then late tonight the flow becomes more n, nw and keeps snow going in n. Ga for a while. The models really nail eastern half of Tenn with a pretty long period of snow showers, as well as into n. Ga and of course Tn/NC upslope regions which really kick in tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Robert, Thanks for your efforts to put a map together. Though the radar looks good in the midstate of TN, the reports I am hearing from my friends and the webcams from that area don't depict a wintery scenerio. I wonder how that will translate east later this afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Thanks, Foothills! Nice write-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 does anyone in TN have any totals to report? I've seen a few reports around Nashville of 5". The band there today has been impressive for central Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Dusting, but the main bulk of this doesn't appear to be here yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Dusting, but the main bulk of this doesn't appear to be here yet. yeah NE TN is still too far ne for the main stuff going on now with the cyclonic flow, but hang on yours is on the way. I'd love to hear some reports from between BNA and Cookesvile Looks like they've been getting moderate all afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 yeah NE TN is still too far ne for the main stuff going on now with the cyclonic flow, but hang on yours is on the way. I'd love to hear some reports from between BNA and Cookesvile Looks like they've been getting moderate all afternoon. I talked to a friend of mine on FB in Jackson. He mentioned that the church that he was supposed to preach at had cancelled classes. We didn't talk totals, but the roads were bad. Someone on the C. Plateau ought to score pretty big w/ this by the looks of the radar. That webcam photo on the other thread was pretty impressive near Nashville. The roads here were terrible w/ the one burst we've had so far. I can only imagine what it will be like when the other bands move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 for ga, at least, that was a great call!! (even though i wish the snow in clayton had made it one county farther south lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waltrip Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Foothills thanks again for all of your info! I've really learned a lot from you and others the last few years when it comes to weather. Weather is a great hobby, especially the winter time. Even though most of our snow chases fail, it's always fun to follow them and hope this will be the one. When folks in the South get that snow, we kind of become a kid again. Just wanted to say I really appreciate your insights and how you always include Tennessee is your postings. Looks like this winter we have a few more folks from Tennessee posting. Light snow falling here now with little over an inch of snow. Looking forward to some heavier snow overnight. Temperature at 21 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Great call Robert, You are a southeast special !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xwx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 First the 5H feature has a good snow band across northern Tn, and Ky heading eastward to ne Tn, nw NC this evening, then immediately the flow switchs after that feature is absorbed and the Upslope begins. The models have good wrap around RH across the Tenn Valley into northern Ala and Ga for a while before lifting to the Apps region , where it remains pointed until probably Tuesday morning, maybe later Tuesday midday. The extreme cold air, with pockets of -15 and -17 for Tennesse and NC look like they should help ring out some extreme ratios for the higher elevations, so my forecast is low I'm sure in some of the best upslope spots. Likely some areas will have over 12" by the end from this event, and much more of eastern Tenn gets into prolonged snow than last time. A few flakes may streak across into the Piedmont or foothills of NC but probably not enough to create accumulations, but in strong upslope events a few flakes can survive the trip east. High winds and very cold temps should develop the high mountain passes of Tenn and NC into full fledged blizzard conditions by midday Monday. GFS: NAM: very gud call xwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 thanks for all the nice compliments , but its not done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Foothills thanks again for all of your info! I've really learned a lot from you and others the last few years when it comes to weather. Weather is a great hobby, especially the winter time. Even though most of our snow chases fail, it's always fun to follow them and hope this will be the one. When folks in the South get that snow, we kind of become a kid again. Just wanted to say I really appreciate your insights and how you always include Tennessee is your postings. Looks like this winter we have a few more folks from Tennessee posting. Light snow falling here now with little over an inch of snow. Looking forward to some heavier snow overnight. Temperature at 21 F. I'll ditto that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Still not done snowing here. Southeast Davidson County ( Metro Nashville) seems to win on accumulation county wide. Amounts of 4-5" have been reported. To the west about 30miles amounts of 5" and locally higher have been reported. North of Nashville also reporting in over 4" at places. Good accumulations area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 2.5in here in north Murfreesboro, quite a bit of blowing snow though, so the total may be skewed some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Yeah its hard to tell the exact amount with such winds. I am taking amounts from several areas and facing several directions.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Wonderful job as usual Robert. Where would all of us Southern novices be without you! Thank you. You were right on. Vann Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomad Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 1/2 to 3/4 inch in Kingsport as of 8 am. We always lose on wraparound due to downsloping off of the Kentucky and sw Virginia higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 One inch of snow at the moment... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 One inch of snow at the moment... I thought that 5H vort would have got east TN more, but turns out it maxed out over central TN. You're still in for some accum. snow showers though Here's the Nashville report last night; SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THUS FAR FOR MIDDLE TN HERE ARE A FEW HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE MID STATE AS OF 1030 PM.... HICKMAN COUNTY....6 INCHES FENTRESS COUNTY...5 INCHES PUTNAM COUNTY.....4 INCHES WILLIAMSON COUNTY 4 INCHES STEWART COUNTY....4 INCHES DICKSON COUNTY....4 INCHES SUMNER COUNTY.....4 INCHES WILSON COUNTY.....2.5 INCHES WARREN COUNTY.....2 INCHES DAVIDSON COUNTY...2 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I thought that 5H vort would have got east TN more, but turns out it maxed out over central TN. You're still in for some accum. snow showers though Here's the Nashville report last night; SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THUS FAR FOR MIDDLE TN HERE ARE A FEW HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE MID STATE AS OF 1030 PM.... HICKMAN COUNTY....6 INCHES FENTRESS COUNTY...5 INCHES PUTNAM COUNTY.....4 INCHES WILLIAMSON COUNTY 4 INCHES STEWART COUNTY....4 INCHES DICKSON COUNTY....4 INCHES SUMNER COUNTY.....4 INCHES WILSON COUNTY.....2.5 INCHES WARREN COUNTY.....2 INCHES DAVIDSON COUNTY...2 INCHES Over 2 here and still snowing! Great call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Over 2 here and still snowing! Great call! enjoy that snow Rosie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Over 2 here and still snowing! Great call! Awesome...this is one of those situations where I live on the wrong side of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 enjoy that snow Rosie! sweet! thats a nice snowfall. did better here than i thought when i got out and about. nothing like your 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 sweet! thats a nice snowfall. did better here than i thought when i got out and about. nothing like your 2" Will post pics later, let my batteries go dead in the camera. It is really cold out, took a walk and it wound up not being a long one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waltrip Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 One inch of snow at the moment... That's amazing you only ended up with an inch. I measured 4 inches in the area shielded from the wind at my house. My house is pretty exposed to the wind so parts of the yard really exposed to the wind had 1 inch, then had drifts in the yard up to 9 inches. Saw a picture from a friend that had a 2 1/2 ft drift of snow outside their basement door. Crazy how you can have snow amounts all over the map over an area. Just depended on if you got under those heavier snow bands. This was one of the better snows that we've had in my area in many years. WIll try to get some pictures later if I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Posted much of this in another thread. It really looks as if the northern area snow associated with the 5h feature really "dumped out" this side of clinch mountain and you folks in the tri-city area got screwd...in a bad way! As of 9 a.m 5.5 inches new snow here. since then just light snow showers along with strong winds. So, no additional. Favored upslope sections of the county are still mounting up, however. NWS reports of 7 inches just to my east in the Town itself and 8-10" just south of Pennington gap. Many of the higher eles have no doubt a foot or more by now. No official reports from those areas yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 does anyone in TN have any totals to report? I've seen a few reports around Nashville of 5". The band there today has been impressive for central Tennessee. Robert, Overall, your call was VERY good. In Johnson City, amounts ranged from about 3 in south Johnson City, to around 2 or a little better in north Johnson City. Erwin and Unicoi (just south of JC) ended up with between 4 and 5 inches. Looks like Kingsport got jobbed on this one. Hard to sit and watch good snow bands just off to your west and not get any. Oak Ridge had about 6 this morning (just north of Knoxville) and my friends in middle Tennessee (north of Nashville) reported in to me with 3 inches or so. My father in Westmoreland (near the KY line - north of Nashville) ended up with about 4. Thanks for all your hard work for us "tennesseans". I hope we can all cash in on an area wide southern snowstorm between now and Christmas. Take care man. David Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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