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December 16th event


RaleighWx

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I am slated to drive from AVL to Wilmington, NC on Thursday morning and right now I am strongly considering canceling that business trip. Looks like snow or ice across the I-40 corridor at some point Wednesday night and Thursday.

Thoughts on this?

Either way it's probably not going to be a big storm, but I think there will be some issues that morning. Either snow or maybe some sleet/zr.

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Either way it's probably not going to be a big storm, but I think there will be some issues that morning. Either snow or maybe some sleet/zr.

That's my first thoughts as well. Based on sounding data from AVL to CLT and RDU, looks to me like if I can delay my trip until mid-morning, I should be fine (especially if I take the southern route and stay away from I-40.

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Sadly, my standards are so low that I would be happy with just a few periods of light snow/flurries..which I would also consider myself lucky if I do.

you arent the only one! i was very happy with the snow flurries, light snow showers and dusting i got....although i would have loved more :devilsmiley: give me some snow (or sleet) wed. and i should be satisfied (for at least a day or two at least)

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This run is better for snow at 60 our 850 line is running from Shelby to Ft. Mill (SC) with slightly heavier precip going into CLT. Looks like snow for HKY, AVL, CLT

Vortex is stronger, and elongated NE to SW this run, compared to E-W on the 18z run, hence the lower heights across coastal sections of the MA. This run should be south of the 18z, just from looking at the H5 differences.

Most of NC is <0C 850 at 60hrs, except for the SW part of the state, and this is the sim

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This run is better for snow at 60 our 850 line is running from Shelby to Ft. Mill (SC) with slightly heavier precip going into CLT. Looks like snow for HKY, AVL, CLT

the I 40 corridor gets a couple of inches naear AVL to HKY to start probably on the NAM, before switching. Out to 66 now and I can see a def. trend south in NC. It has the freezing aloft over central NC as well as the surface, which is substantially colder. Maybe a trend on other models, time will tell.

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Vortex is stronger, and elongated NE to SW this run, compared to E-W on the 18z run, hence the lower heights across coastal sections of the MA. This run should be south of the 18z, just from looking at the H5 differences.

exactly and thats what its doing with the 5H , the vortex is a little further south, keeping things a little supressed . The moisture axis is not well up into Ky and southern Ohio now, but western NC and east TN

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