HKY_WX Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I am slated to drive from AVL to Wilmington, NC on Thursday morning and right now I am strongly considering canceling that business trip. Looks like snow or ice across the I-40 corridor at some point Wednesday night and Thursday. Thoughts on this? Either way it's probably not going to be a big storm, but I think there will be some issues that morning. Either snow or maybe some sleet/zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Either way it's probably not going to be a big storm, but I think there will be some issues that morning. Either snow or maybe some sleet/zr. That's my first thoughts as well. Based on sounding data from AVL to CLT and RDU, looks to me like if I can delay my trip until mid-morning, I should be fine (especially if I take the southern route and stay away from I-40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Either way it's probably not going to be a big storm, but I think there will be some issues that morning. Either snow or maybe some sleet/zr. Happy Birthday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Sadly, my standards are so low that I would be happy with just a few periods of light snow/flurries..which I would also consider myself lucky if I do. you arent the only one! i was very happy with the snow flurries, light snow showers and dusting i got....although i would have loved more give me some snow (or sleet) wed. and i should be satisfied (for at least a day or two at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xwx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 18z nam......its a little cooler in the mid levels on this run across nc.....maybe a trend?.......As of now across nc sn to ip and ending as lgt zr. xwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Happy Birthday! Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 18z nam......its a little cooler in the mid levels on this run across nc.....maybe a trend?.......As of now across nc sn to ip and ending as lgt zr. xwx Thanks for the update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 We have agreed not to let the weenies run wild. I've got news for you Bud. I'm 63 years-old. If my weenie decides to run wild it will have my full support. Damn kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 00z NAM looks like it has the PV a little more west then the 18z...lets see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I've got news for you Bud. I'm 63 years-old. If my weenie decides to run wild it will have my full support. Damn kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I've got news for you Bud. I'm 63 years-old. If my weenie decides to run wild it will have my full support. Damn kids. Classic. I actually laughed out loud . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This run we got slightly better temps but the moisture isn't there. This is going to be fun to watch and now cast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I've got news for you Bud. I'm 63 years-old. If my weenie decides to run wild it will have my full support. Damn kids. I know that's right! I'm a proud Winter nudist myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 At 57 AVL to GSP to CLT looks to be flurries or light snow. Precip is VERY light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This run is better for snow at 60 our 850 line is running from Shelby to Ft. Mill (SC) with slightly heavier precip going into CLT. Looks like snow for HKY, AVL, CLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Great play by play. This run is better for snow at 60 our 850 line is running from Shelby to Ft. Mill (SC) with slightly heavier precip going into CLT. Looks like snow for HKY, AVL, CLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 At 63 our 850 line is moving north ZR for AVL to CLT with HKY and points 40 west still snow. This is a better run for us for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This run is better for snow at 60 our 850 line is running from Shelby to Ft. Mill (SC) with slightly heavier precip going into CLT. Looks like snow for HKY, AVL, CLT Vortex is stronger, and elongated NE to SW this run, compared to E-W on the 18z run, hence the lower heights across coastal sections of the MA. This run should be south of the 18z, just from looking at the H5 differences. Most of NC is <0C 850 at 60hrs, except for the SW part of the state, and this is the sim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This run is better for snow at 60 our 850 line is running from Shelby to Ft. Mill (SC) with slightly heavier precip going into CLT. Looks like snow for HKY, AVL, CLT the I 40 corridor gets a couple of inches naear AVL to HKY to start probably on the NAM, before switching. Out to 66 now and I can see a def. trend south in NC. It has the freezing aloft over central NC as well as the surface, which is substantially colder. Maybe a trend on other models, time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 At 63 our 850 line is moving north ZR for AVL to CLT with HKY and points 40 west still snow. This is a better run for us for sure. Yes definately colder and further south with heavier precip this run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Where are you getting the model so early, Burger? I only have it up to hr 60 on NCEP's site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This run looks a lot better for RDU at 66 AVL to CLT looks to change over to just rain verbatim with points just north of HKY to Mooresville looking to be ZR and RDU to 40 west is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Vortex is stronger, and elongated NE to SW this run, compared to E-W on the 18z run, hence the lower heights across coastal sections of the MA. This run should be south of the 18z, just from looking at the H5 differences. exactly and thats what its doing with the 5H , the vortex is a little further south, keeping things a little supressed . The moisture axis is not well up into Ky and southern Ohio now, but western NC and east TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 If this run were to verify RDU could be looking at a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 This run looks a lot better for RDU at 66 AVL to CLT looks to change over to just rain verbatim with points just north of HKY to Mooresville looking to be ZR and RDU to 40 west is snow. Triad would be snow, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 How far north does the moisture get ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Where are you getting the model so early, Burger? I only have it up to hr 60 on NCEP's site. SV maps...which is also why this weenie can even pretend to read maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Pay site I assume. Maybe SV. Where are you getting the model so early, Burger? I only have it up to hr 60 on NCEP's site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 exactly and thats what its doing with the 5H , the vortex is a little further south, keeping things a little supressed . The moisture axis is not well up into Ky and southern Ohio now, but western NC and east TN This trend needs to continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 If this run were to verify RDU could be looking at a few inches I like the sound of that... gives me a 20-30 mile buffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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