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December 16th event


RaleighWx

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were talking about something completely different... sure that hole will fill in and be freezing rain here... im referring to a snow fail, which is what i expected

I'm not sure where your getting your info from. Look at real time obs, the 850mb temps are -3C here and the RUC keeps us as a snow profile through 10am. We should get a solid 4 hours of snow before changing to ip/zr. And we were never forecast to get but 1" of snow at most anyways.

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Be careful my friend, once it glazed over here, everything shutdown. I went outside a little while ago and normally you hear traffic in the distance, but nothing today, zero cars moving. We truly are shutdown until after sunrise. And we STILL have freezing rain http://www.daculawea...rgia_master.php

279 Closings/Delays Have Been Reported.

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Have no idea when it came through overnight but we have a small glaze on the surface here along the escarpment and 29 degrees. No school today in McDowell County...We're as close as 30 minutes south of that blossoming area of precip on the radar. Given how cold the ground is, that may be a good thing it isn't coming down any harder.

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Temp 26 dp 19

Just barely a dusting of snow already changed over to sleet/ZR mostly lgt ZR. I was suppose to get 1-3 inches of snow, But that didn't happen. I'll be happy with my IP/ZR just aslong as it frozen. :thumbsup:

When I saw radar filling in the way it did I thought I had a shot to get a couple inches, Now I'm worried because I can see us easily getting over .1 ice. O well, lets see what happens.

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When I saw radar filling in the way it did I thought I had a shot to get a couple inches, Now I'm worried because I can see us easily getting over .1 ice. O well, lets see what happens.

From looks of radar I think we may have a more serious ICE event than they expected ? I wouldn't be suprised if they change it to a ICE STORM WARNING ? I really didn't think we would change over to IP/ZR this quick.

What's even more disappointing is the weekend system not gonna happen :thumbsdown: I don't know when our next chance might be after today ? Could be awhile ? You know this pattern can't last forever (cold) then it's katie bar the door, when it breaks down.

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From looks of radar I think we may have a more serious ICE event than they expected ? I wouldn't be suprised if they change it to a ICE STORM WARNING ? I really didn't think we would change over to IP/ZR this quick.

I thought we would have snow through at least 10 am, maybe longer for you. Now that it's already ZR you very well might see an ice storm warning go up, I dont think 1/4 is out of the question for you looking at radar.

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Really nice looking snow with quick accumulations here in NE Raleigh, probably got a 0.5 inch on the ground and everything is covered. Temps at 27.5. I did post a quick update this morning

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-raleigh/winter-storm-affecting-the-tar-heel-state-and-parts-of-the-southeast

I think we are over to freezing rain here by 7-8 am. The diabatic enhanced wedge is going to only break down slowly, areas in the NW piedmont may not get above freezing till later in the afternoon.

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From looks of radar I think we may have a more serious ICE event than they expected ? I wouldn't be suprised if they change it to a ICE STORM WARNING ? I really didn't think we would change over to IP/ZR this quick.

When you have in-situ or hybrid CAD events, many times the precip type is as dependent on the precip rate as any other factor. The model soundings for example stated that a lot of areas in North Carolina would begin as snow or snow/sleet but that was only achieved if the precip rate was fast enough to quickly cool the atmosphere. Then as the atmosphere moistens and the 850's climb, the cold air source would get worked over. What ended up happening at least for me is that the precip was so "showery" in nature that it more or less wasted itself on the air source aloft instead of impacting us the surface.

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