WidreMann Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 You do, however, prefer to be in Chapel Hill and not in South Carolina, am I right?! At least for the girls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 6z NAM and GFS don't look good for snow chances. The storm thereafter drills points north of I-40 and west of I-85 good before heading up the coast and smashing the Mid-Altantic/Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 At least for the girls. [insert typical DBm-style smartass coment here] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GSP call for MBY mid-week. Tuesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 21. West wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. Wednesday: A slight chance of snow after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night: A chance of snow and sleet before midnight, then a chance of rain between midnight and 3am, then a chance of rain or freezing rain after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Thursday: Rain or freezing rain likely, becoming all rain after 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 6z NAM and GFS don't look good for snow chances. The storm thereafter drills points north of I-40 and west of I-85 good before heading up the coast and smashing the Mid-Altantic/Northeast. Actually it doesn't look that bad to me. Still a few days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 GSP call for MBY mid-week. Tuesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 21. West wind between 4 and 7 mph becoming calm. Wednesday: A slight chance of snow after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Night: A chance of snow and sleet before midnight, then a chance of rain between midnight and 3am, then a chance of rain or freezing rain after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. Thursday: Rain or freezing rain likely, becoming all rain after 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 47 That's about the same one I have. Wednesday Night: Rain and snow likely before 1am, then freezing rain and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Thursday: Rain and snow likely, becoming all rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NegativeTilt Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Wednesday Night: A slight chance of snow after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Thursday: A chance of snow before noon, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well I'll be, Went to bed last night thinking we had a good event coming wed night/thursday and a chance of bomb over the weekend. Only to get up this morning to slight chance wed/thursday and the weekend bomb going ots just Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Why do some people feel the need to mention storms and post maps of storms a week away in a thread about a storm a few days away? These threads are long enough without having to sift through stuff a week away. Btw, nothing but rain in Columbia this week. Moving on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 i'm not worried. Thats typical around here. Ge all excited and then depressed and within 48-72 hours excited again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Man, looks like things aren't so good now for Thursday, and we're just three days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 For my area this is the GFS model sounding. Prior to this it keeps the lowest levels too dry for much to reach the ground but this would be a classic IP/ZR sounding. If the GFS taken verbatim the Southern Pines area and points south of Raleigh would likely see a few flakes at the start going to cold rain by the late morning on Thursday. I am hoping the low levels can moisten up quicker than the model indicates. That will be key to getting any SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Man, looks like things aren't so good now for Thursday, and we're just three days out. FML seriously...dude you never learn. Models don't handle these systems well, we have some "ducks on the pond" as the saying goes so let's wait till we're much closer to decide if it's looking bad. Right now it's looking good for the threat. Watch Matthew East's weather package or read Roberts thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 FML seriously...dude you never learn. Models don't handle these systems well, we have some "ducks on the pond" as the saying goes so let's wait till we're much closer to decide if it's looking bad. Right now it's looking good for the threat. Watch Matthew East's weather package or read Roberts thoughts. I didn't say it was a total lost. I just said things don't look as good right now as they did yesterday. I know there is time for change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 12z NAM is looking a little bit north of it's solution at 00z. Let's see where this one goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 HR 66 is showing a N move on the 12Z...... 12z NAM is looking a little bit north of it's solution at 00z. Let's see where this one goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 I-85 N and W is freezing or below at SFC until between hour 72 and 75..... 12z NAM is looking a little bit north of it's solution at 00z. Let's see where this one goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 HR 66 is showing a N move on the 12Z...... Yep this run has all of NC out of the game past 75hrs. We get a small clip of some SN/ZR before that and that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 And everything is shifted N.....very little precip at all falls in southern Piedmont. I-85 N and W is freezing or below at SFC until between hour 72 and 75..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Man, looks like things aren't so good now for Thursday, and we're just three days out. doesnt look horrible, and still have frozen precip in the forecast. i will take it pre-christmas in the se. i would like to see some kind of system mid week, esp as cold as its been and as cold as the ground is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Darn. Definitely a more Northward track on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Yep this run has all of NC out of the game at 75hrs. We get a small clip of some SN/ZR and that's about it. Looks impressive for the mountains though, from at least 60-66 hours, as we go from a solid snow sounding to this classic freezing rain sounding: This could catch folks by surprise. Snow then ice = not good for driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 at 63 825 warms to .2. Surface looks to be below freezing. I-85 N and W is freezing or below at SFC until between hour 72 and 75..... 60-63 is a SN sounding for this area as warm nose comes in at 63-66 Looks impressive for the mountains though, from at least 60-66 hours, as we go from a solid snow sounding to this classic freezing rain sounding: This could catch folks by surprise. Snow then ice = not good for driving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 And everything is shifted N.....very little precip at all falls in southern Piedmont. Yep, here comes the NAM to bring in the NO. Let's hope the GFS has something better to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Darn. Definitely a more Northward track on this run. ok well maybe scratch my last comment. i havent had a chance to check the latest model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 And everything is shifted N.....very little precip at all falls in southern Piedmont. I wouldn't expect anything less LOL. It is frustrating living here when it comes to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Darn. Definitely a more Northward track on this run. Well at least it won't be a cold rain. Looks like it is going north of us. If it isn't cold enough to snow, then don't rain. Fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well, I think we can see the writing on the wall with this one. Might be worth watching another couple of model cycles, but this is the time where you want to start to see things trending more favorably....not the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 It gives the area (S. foothills) a little window of hope..... Just need a good clipper to pin my hopes on Love the sig!! Well, I think we can see the writing on the wall with this one. Might be worth watching another couple of model cycles, but this is the time where you want to start to see things trending more favorably....not the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Well at least it won't be a cold rain. Looks like it is going north of us. If it isn't cold enough to snow, then don't rain. Fine with me. True, although the NAM could just be an outlier at this point. We don't have other 12z data to go by yet. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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