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December 16th event


RaleighWx

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Their morning forecast seemed like a sort of CYA thing; they included frozen precip just in case there was the odd report of sleet or ZR. Obviously temps got lower than expected and precip was more plentiful, so boom.

Well then I'd say they darned well covered their a##, didn't they? And anyone who says they "should have mentioned" the possibility of freezing rain IS NOT covering his.

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Glad you made it back safely Canton. I called my family this morning to tell them to get home early. Im so glad I left work at 4 today. My grandfather used to fuss at the weatherman and say if he wanted to know what the weather was going to be he would call Birmingham. That would have worked today.

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Feel bad for the people south of 40 but i'm not one of them, crossing my fingers for you.

There's nothing to stop the warm up your way. I'm not trying to be negative but the southwest winds will work their magic clear across the southern piedmont at some point after 3 to 6 am . Not that it ever looked like much down here and it gets incrementally more qpf as you get north of the CLT region, but not much really until youre near the VA border. This is one event where I think the cold at the surface holds LESS than what the models show, as opposed to usual damming where they warm us up too quickly . We'll see though, its an unusual setup.

It seems like we can never get it to work out here :thumbsdown:

bad timing in regards to that arctic high sliding off the coast, bad side of the mountains (the lee , southeast /Upstate section) . In a real damming scenario, we'd be iced in if a high was in New England. I still think we'll get a little bit of glaze here, but not much and it won't last very long. Just checked 2 spots in the Upstate, temps up to 37. No doubt the winds are going to warm us once we use the dry air up.

post-38-0-64715800-1292467070.gif

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Well then I'd say they darned well covered their a##, didn't they? And anyone who says they "should have mentioned" the possibility of freezing rain IS NOT covering his.

They obviously underestimated the magnitude of the freezing rain/sleet though. In the forecast you posted, it calls for a low in the mid 30s. They didn't issue the WWA for the metro until the event was already well underway. Complex situations like this are hard to forecast, of course, but there is no question that FFC missed the mark.

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FFC having freezing rain mentioned in there forecast was not enough in this case. Issuing a WWA grabs a lot more attention. What Itunis didnt say was that when they did mention it they kept saying no ice accumulation or problems anticipated. When BMX is going through traffic hell and it is obvious its heading your way it is inexcusable to issue a WWA after the roads are coated and the wrecks are hapening. It is easy to defend FFC when you dont have to deal with them in these type of situations.

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For anyone,

Do the models suggest GA will be holding the temperature below freezing all night or will the big warm up begin while we are all sleeping tonight?

I just can't tell which one is more powerful. The cold air at the surface or the warm air above.

There is nothing to sustain the cold air, so it will be scoured out by the warm front soon enough. Temp up to 31 here. The commute tomorrow should be fine.

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Finally have a few light sleet pellets falling here. Suprise, suprise... the front end snow everybody else got never reached the ground here...:thumbsdown: I absolutely hate where I live, you couldn't possibly find a worse weather place to live then this crud-hole.

That sleet you have is better than anything I've had this winter. And I'm not looking for anything from this system now. Ready for the 70's and thunderstorms to come back. Tired of cold and dry.

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