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December 16th event

RaleighWx

By RaleighWx,
in Southeastern States

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buckeyefan1

buckeyefan1

Posted
Posted

It's a comfortable 34/12 under cloudy skies here in the midlands of sc. Glad to see Tony and NEGA finally reporting +sn :thumbsup: even if it was only flurries for a minute or two :lol: Tony...I'm sorry to hear about your pvc issues this morning :( Hopefully it's all fixed so your kitties and pup will stop their snickering :hug:

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DaculaWeather

DaculaWeather

Posted
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I just came back in from outside, still light freezing drizzle/rain. That's about all I've had here. A few flakes around 4 pm followed by a little sleet and poof. I'm guessing I've had about .02 - .03" of rain, I won't know until my Davis thaws and I thaw my CoCoRaHS gauge. Temps have been very steady for several hours, it's actually dropped a few tenths lately, it's colder than I really thought it would be.

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Itunis

Itunis

Posted
Posted

drove home from downtown today... my first driving with black ice ( not fun, hope I don't have to do it again) I made it okay... saw a few wrecks...

Yeah, from what I've heard main roads are passable if you're sensible. But side streets are pretty rough. Has GAStorm posted recently? I remember telling him that there wouldn't be too many issues...oops :yikes:

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NavarreDon

NavarreDon

Posted
Posted

Part of the reason for all the carnage is people not being aware of the ice. The average person might check the weather before going to work, see that just rain is predicted, see rain falling as they get ready to leave, and assume there is no ice to worry about. If FFC had honked the ZR horn earlier there would have been far fewer people on the roads, and those who were on the roads would likely know of the danger.

Somebody messed up! AJC link with updates with what is going on in Metro Atlanta.....Sounds pretty ugly! http://www.ajc.com/news/atlanta-weather-ice-causes-775094.html

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downeastnc

downeastnc

Posted
Posted

18 out there right now, with a predicted low of 23. :thumbsup:

Yeah total freefall here down to 21 but thats 20 min old and its been dropping 2 degrees every 20 mins the last hr or so so I wouldnt be surprised to see 18-19 next update.

DP still holding around 10-12 so all we need now is the low track to shift 75-100 miles further south and it will go from :thumbsdown: to :thumbsup:

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strongwxnc

strongwxnc

Posted
Posted

Awesome :(

Been dropping here.

33.6 down to 33.2 in the last hour and 1/2.

Also please folks do not ask ___________________mby questions.. Just read!!

if you look at the obs map, clearly the southerly winds aim from central GA right to western SC and southern NC. My temp has gone from 29 to 30 to 31 just now in less than 2 hours. Wetbulb was 27 and dewpoints are coming up fast on the southwest wind. When you get closer to the mountains in GA they don'thave the great warming at the surface due to some upslope there, so my opinion is that western SC and southern NC is in a very, very bad spot for this event. Also, the RUC simulation shows a complete skip for a few hours in southern NC right over my area (surprise), then redevelopment points east. Western SC gets just a few token sleet to ZR but is very quick so its an extremely quick event to possibly nothing almost there. Really depends on radar but I don't have much faith in this setup now after given it more thought (for this area to CLT) . Points north and closer to the mountains things change quickly, more moisture, colder air and being in the steady moisture keeps the boundary layer cooler for much longer than southern /southwest NC. We'll see what the next few hours hold, but the southwest winds and nothing to block it here means this event is extremely limited here both duration and intensity (not that it ever looked like much, but I have serious doubts of staying subfreezing at the surface past 6 am).

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MillzPirate

MillzPirate

Posted
Posted

Yeah total freefall here down to 21 but thats 20 min old and its been dropping 2 degrees every 20 mins the last hr or so so I wouldnt be surprised to see 18-19 next update.

DP still holding around 10-12 so all we need now is the low track to shift 75-100 miles further south and it will go from :thumbsdown: to :thumbsup:

its actually 17.9 at my house in gville.. its gonna take a mighty good southerly wind to scour out this low level cold if we start from somewhere like 15

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NCSNOW

NCSNOW

Posted
Posted

whats up NCSNOW, im pretty close to your area right now at my girlfriend's mom's house. little subdivision off 49 near the airport. looks like the airport fixed their crappy thermometer finally. its been a lot more accurate this winter so far. amazing its so cold already.

Did you change your username from eastern? Good to see some more central NC posters. I'm not sensing anything more than what nws/local media have out for tonight. Moisture starved and no help maintaining our cold air. I can say anything that falls before lunchtime tomorrow would become and stay frozen, this includes roads espeacilly. Trying to get a decent winter weather event based on .10-.20 modeled qpf is a crap shoot. Throw in southerly winds and it's hard to get excited. My focus is on the weekend. Got a feeling the euro, based on its ensemble package will trend toward the Canadian tonight. Regardless if we luck out Thursday and this weekend, The Cold ain't letting up until 2011. And yes the airport is doing much better with it;s readings, but the jury is still out.

Big Frosty, if the models verify you'll end up with a season total of 5-6 inches to date. Not to shabby considering the first official day of winter is still several days away! I beleive you threw out 8 inches for the season back in the fall/summer when we where all discussing the doom and gloom winter pre-season LR forecast ideas being tossed about.

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eyewall

eyewall

Posted
Posted

A few things appear troublesome to me. For one temps have already steadied off in this area of the state and some have already begun to creep up a degree or two. Another thing is the lack of a solid shield of overrunning precip. There is some in Eastern TN but it is being eaten alive by the Mountains at the current time. I realize we have low dps and wet bulbs but not sure how long they will hold on and if they do not sure if we ever get enough QPF in this portion to where it would matter anyway. I don't know I am definitely getting a bit nervous about it and perhaps the weenie is trumping the met in that regard but I am going to watch a few things before I change my forecast.

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BIG FROSTY

BIG FROSTY

Posted
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if you look at the obs map, clearly the southerly winds aim from central GA right to western SC and southern NC. My temp has gone from 29 to 30 to 31 just now in less than 2 hours. Wetbulb was 27 and dewpoints are coming up fast on the southwest wind. When you get closer to the mountains in GA they don'thave the great warming at the surface due to some upslope there, so my opinion is that western SC and southern NC is in a very, very bad spot for this event. Also, the RUC simulation shows a complete skip for a few hours in southern NC right over my area (surprise), then redevelopment points east. Western SC gets just a few token sleet to ZR but is very quick so its an extremely quick event to possibly nothing almost there. Really depends on radar but I don't have much faith in this setup now after given it more thought (for this area to CLT) . Points north and closer to the mountains things change quickly, more moisture, colder air and being in the steady moisture keeps the boundary layer cooler for much longer than southern /southwest NC. We'll see what the next few hours hold, but the southwest winds and nothing to block it here means this event is extremely limited here both duration and intensity (not that it ever looked like much, but I have serious doubts of staying subfreezing at the surface past 6 am).

My temp has gone up 3 degrees in the last 30 minutes on a ssw wind :thumbsdown:

Currently 25 dp 8 wb 20.6

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DaculaWeather

DaculaWeather

Posted
Posted

The ice that glazed the roads to the north and west of Atlanta resulted from a rare weather phenomenon, and conditions probably won’t change until after daybreak Thursday morning. A relatively thin mass of arctic air, about 1,000 feet deep, has been hugging Atlanta and freezing the soil, while comparatively balmy air in the 40 degree range moved in overhead, Robert Beasley, a forecaster for the National Weather Service, told the AJC.

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