Jacob_ Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31.3 in Carrollton (west metro Atlanta). We had sleet/snow earlier in the afternoon as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm afraid the moisture might quit before we get anything meaningful. Then comes the warm air. My high was 34.7 at 3:09. The temp has been falling since my last post, now at .5 deg/hr. The cloud height estimate has gone from 6500 feet earlier (-2 deg) to about 4300 (10 deg). Lower and warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Been getting some pretty good sleet. Biggest pellets I've seen in years. Usually I get drizzle sleet, but this was the real thing. Wish I didn't have a warm nose coming. Oh, well, maybe this weekend. But my real hopes are on or about New Years. That is when climo says "yes". T hope it lasts a while. 33.8 here and looks like a little light precip breaking out over ne ga. still awfully dry and just seeing virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31.5 and the temp continues to fall in West GA. I think we could get some icing in the next 30 minutes with the moisture coming out of AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Very light snow here in Dahlonega. Temp is 34.2 with a DP of 11. Great to hear! Nothing here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 well the 18z NAM keeps PGV below freezing until the precip is basically gone... hmm This statement is incorrect based on soundings for the airport and bufkit data at RWI. We go above freezing at the surface around 1pm, prior to that a tenth has fallen on with the 18z NAM. Even at 10am, the warm nose shows up at 825, around 1.3 C, so that would be IP in lighter returns. Between 1pm and 7pm, close to two tenths falls, and it would be all RN verbatim this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Here's a loop I made by combining two of those NWS radar windows. I always hated how they're split especially when the interesting parts are cut between sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Something to keep in mind for the NC foothills folks tonight that I've been kinda wondering if it might happen. In-situ damming up to 850mb. This has happened in the past during overrunning situations before. You can see it on the latest ruc. I think the key is a decent burst of snow after midnight. We need some good returns to show up, saturate the column, and we could hold onto snow longer than anticipated. The ruc has the northern foothills holding onto a solid 4 to 5 hour period of snow. http://www.nco.ncep....uc_p01_014l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Been getting some pretty good sleet. Biggest pellets I've seen in years. Usually I get drizzle sleet, but this was the real thing. Wish I didn't have a warm nose coming. Oh, well, maybe this weekend. But my real hopes are on or about New Years. That is when climo says "yes". T If the -nao holds...It is when I will be expecting the best chance at white frozen goodness as well. Sleet won't cool the boundary layer as efficiently as snow or rain. Sleet is usually a good alternative if you want to drive home in control of your vehicle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 hope it lasts a while. 33.8 here and looks like a little light precip breaking out over ne ga. still awfully dry and just seeing virga 34 here on one unit. I just looked out and it was spitting drizzle. I have seen this play so many times..if the precip gets here strong enough to give me some good frozen stuff, the waa looks down and says, "sorry, none for you, this is headed for Carolina" Curse you SnoKing! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Just getting back to the puter. Been mending fences in the pasture, GSP seems to think we have p type issues until 2pm Thursday: Rain or freezing rain, becoming all rain after 2pm. High near 42. South wind between 9 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. That is a change from the morning package.. I will take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm afraid the moisture might quit before we get anything meaningful. Then comes the warm air. My high was 34.7 at 3:09. The temp has been falling since my last post, now at .5 deg/hr. The cloud height estimate has gone from 6500 feet earlier (-2 deg) to about 4300 (10 deg). Lower and warmer. Yep, radar is not impressive. So close... yet so far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Here's our current surface temp line (or close) purple line And here's our web bulb (purple line) The problem is we can't get enough moisture to fall, if we had it, a lot of people might be getting frozen precip. But there's just not enough moisture to saturate the air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31/18 here. It appears that once again lack of precip will prevent us from having a significant event...there is a dusting of sleet visible on the deck and the driveway is decidedly crunchy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31/18 here. It appears that once again lack of precip will prevent us from having a significant event...there is a dusting of sleet visible on the deck and the driveway is decidedly crunchy. Hopefully we have better luck this weekend. Eventually we have to get a decent storm with all of this cold air right ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 If the -nao holds...It is when I will be expecting the best chance at white frozen goodness as well. Sleet won't cool the boundary layer as efficiently as snow or rain. Sleet is usually a good alternative if you want to drive home in control of your vehicle. Did you get some of this when it came thru? Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Hopefully we have better luck this weekend. Eventually we have to get a decent storm with all of this cold air right ? I doubt we see much this weekend. I can't really complain at this point, I've seen at least a light dusting twice in the past week. We would be looking at some impressive icing though if we could keep up a steady drizzle with wetbulbs in the upper 20s... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 This statement is incorrect based on soundings for the airport and bufkit data at RWI. We go above freezing at the surface around 1pm, prior to that a tenth has fallen on with the 18z NAM. Even at 10am, the warm nose shows up at 825, around 1.3 C, so that would be IP in lighter returns. Between 1pm and 7pm, close to two tenths falls, and it would be all RN verbatim this run. Meh if this is how it is gonna go down then I almost rather it just be all rain. Nothing worse than getting a nice snow going and having it turn to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31/18 here. It appears that once again lack of precip will prevent us from having a significant event...there is a dusting of sleet visible on the deck and the driveway is decidedly crunchy. yep - sounds familiar doesnt it? the old catch 22. cold enough but not enough moisture. tons of moisture and temp goes above freezing. we just cant seem to win lol a few stray flakes here, but i am not even sure its enough to qualify as a 'flurry' at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I doubt we see much this weekend. I can't really complain at this point, I've seen at least a light dusting twice in the past week. We would be looking at some impressive icing though if we could keep up a steady drizzle with wetbulbs in the upper 20s... Shoot, I'm just happy to be staying close. We actually have moisture and cold trying occupy the same space for a moment, and doing it over and over. I've seen flurries and or sleet twice now and endured some hellacious virga showers already this Dec. Sooner or late we'll pop one. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well, I'm off to my Calculus exam. Hope things look better when I get back just in time for the 0z model runs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I doubt we see much this weekend. I can't really complain at this point, I've seen at least a light dusting twice in the past week. We would be looking at some impressive icing though if we could keep up a steady drizzle with wetbulbs in the upper 20s... I'm kinda surprised! I've got some ice forming on our back deck and rails... The light drizzle is doing the the trick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 438 PM EST WED DEC 15 2010 ...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT CHARLOTTE NC... A RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 10 DEGREES WAS SET AT CHARLOTTE NC TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 14 SET IN 1962. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 the 18z gfs is def coming in wet... dont know about thermals going off just the maps as they can evidentally be deceiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm counting on enough moisture to at least make it drizzle. And freeze of course. All I can do is sit, wait, and watch. Just not seeing anything coming after this initial batch http://www.daculawea...outh_master.php It's all just falling apart as it gets closer to me http://www.daculawea...rgia_master.php Down to 32.5 and falling 1.2 deg/hr now. Wet bulb is 28 even. Whatever falls is going to stick or evaporate. Clouds @ 3000 ft, 16 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm kinda surprised! I've got some ice forming on our back deck and rails... The light drizzle is doing the the trick! Well, sometimes it's easier to get icing when it's light rain than when the rain is heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm kinda surprised! I've got some ice forming on our back deck and rails... The light drizzle is doing the the trick! Yeah, as soon as I complained about the lack of moisture another sleet shower came through. Down to 30 and sleet is sticking to the pavement now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well, I'm off to my Calculus exam. Hope things look better when I get back just in time for the 0z model runs! Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 31/18 here. It appears that once again lack of precip will prevent us from having a significant event...there is a dusting of sleet visible on the deck and the driveway is decidedly crunchy. Any ice on the road in the Alpharetta area? Had some light snow earlier in Dunwoody and I will be driving that way in an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 well the GFS gives me an inch of snow, the next counter over 2 inches, and the next county over 3-4 inches.... again going off raleighwx's site for maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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