Tullioz Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Weird.... the NWS in Blacksburg seems very bullish on this event for the areas immediately bordering NC, probably 40 or 45 minutes north of me: Snow and sleet, becoming all sleet after noon. High near 34. South wind between 3 and 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Very odd. Both the GFS and the Euro are giving my area a little over .5" of precipitation for this event. The NAM being the driest at just under .4" so it may be a big deal up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 congrats to all those seeing snow - send it up here i will say its gotten very overcast now. After all you had last year I think we will just keep this down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATkeL Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 And we just had some light snow and sleet here, just a few miles northeast of Atlanta near Buckhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 is the precip moving faster than expected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Southern piedmont left out of advisory. Can't buy one yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Southern piedmont left out of advisory. Can't buy one yet Meck and Union are in the WWA. Must have meant as in SC Piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Southern piedmont left out of advisory. Can't buy one yet Yeah, I didn't get why your area was left out either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 New WWA from GSP [/url] http://forecast.weat...eather+Advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Southern piedmont left out of advisory. Can't buy one yet Except Stanly and Montgomery Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Quick to post. GSP must hve added. I thought they indicated they were gonna look at southern piedmont in later update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Southern piedmont left out of advisory. Can't buy one yet the way I see this for the southern piedmont is light snow to sleet beginng around midnight. Then to sleet by 6 am or so, with some light accumulation of both. The ground is frozen and our surface temps will still be below freezing until probably around 9 or 10 am, then we climb above 32. I don't see much ZR with this but a little glaze is possible, but the whole event happens so quickly that a sneaky 1/2 of snow and sleet is possible for the southern piedmont. Roads would be slick almost instantly if enough precip does come , which is still in question. If more precip does arrive than models show (and really we have to watch the trends now/radar/obs upstream) then someone in the southern piedmont could get over 1" of snow, and or sleet, but the snow shouldn't last past 7am or so around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Meck and Union are in the WWA. Must have meant as in SC Piedmont. Still not showing on the NOAA graphical map, although it's in the detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Both the GFS and the Euro are giving my area a little over .5" of precipitation for this event. The NAM being the driest at just under .4" so it may be a big deal up this way. Obviously a much longer period of snowfall expected to get to 3-7". That seems like such a drastic variation though given that Eden is so close to the border, or Kernersville / Walkertown / Winston / GSO for that matter. You are only talking about a 30 mile run into southern VA. If I end up on the south side of that cutoff I'll be quite grumpy! That said, I won't make it home from Nashville tomorrow night anyway so what do I care? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 NAM trying to sneak south on 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 im always left out and am always on the line UGH good ol richmond county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 18z NAM looks jucier and about 50 miles south of 12Z. Now looks in line with the 12z GFS. Might be a little more significant in the morning than what I've been thinking for the past 2 days. 12Z NAM 18z NAM 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 It looks like getting rid of my Bloo Q Kazoo avatar worked. I'm now under a WWA. Oh and cloudy here with a temp of 35. Light winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 yea 18z NAM is south with qpf by at least 30 to 40 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 It looks like getting rid of my Bloo Q Kazoo avatar worked. I'm now under a WWA. Oh and cloudy here with a temp of 35. Light winds. Do not get excited until it is falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 18z NAM looks jucier and about 50 miles south of 12Z. Now looks in line with the 12z GFS. Might be a little more significant in the morning than what I've been thinking for the past 2 days. Looking good. The house is in the dark green with the 18z NAM and 12z GFS. Maybe I will be far enough north in NC to get some good accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 well the 18z NAM keeps PGV below freezing until the precip is basically gone... hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 It looks like getting rid of my Bloo Q Kazoo avatar worked. I'm now under a WWA. Oh and cloudy here with a temp of 35. Light winds. If my avatar wasn't already so awesome, I would use a pic of the rapper Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Looking good. The house is in the dark green with the 18z NAM and 12z GFS. Maybe I will be far enough north in NC to get some good accumulation. I think we might do okay tomorrow morning, Brick. Fingers crossed for an inch or two before changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Do not get excited until it is falling from the sky. Oh, i'm definitely not. I'm honestly not expecting much tonight. I'm just suprised GSP put me under a WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Is the 18z further south, or just bringing on the precip faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Good sign with the 18z NAM. As others have stated I think this storm and the weekend storm are tied together in the fact that the closer the cold air (i.e 850 temps) can stay (NAM = S Vir) the quicker it can get pulled back down with the weekend storm (of course not looking at the euro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Is the 18z further south, or just bringing on the precip faster? Reading some other post and NWS discussions, it seems that the more precip the better chance the cold air will lock in longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Is the 18z further south, or just bringing on the precip faster? It's 40 miles or so further south with QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 It looks like getting rid of my Bloo Q Kazoo avatar worked. I'm now under a WWA. Oh and cloudy here with a temp of 35. Light winds. If only you had heeded my advice before the end of last winter, we might not have had to endure 13 hours of non-accumulating snow in early March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 NWS reacting pretty swiftly now in south central Va, upgrading from watch to warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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