POWERSTROKE Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well the GFS is colder at 60 then the 18z....this might be a fun run for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well the GFS is colder at 60 then the 18z....this might be a fun run for this weekend. I just hope it keeps the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well the GFS is colder at 60 then the 18z....this might be a fun run for this weekend. Hey burger what website do you subscribe to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 If I read it correct it gives me about .25 qpf all right at or below 32 degrees Now i'm not sure I looked at it right ? If you don't mind check it for me and see if i'm correct. TIA kmwk ? .30, a few flakes, some sleet, and mostly zr. Temps look cold enough for snow at 7am Saturday for whenever any precip might move in. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Hey burger what website do you subscribe to? SV...I know a lot of folks on here trash it because of board politics but for the price it can't be beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I just hope it keeps the storm. In about 15 minutes we'll know. It is certainly colder then 18z up to 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 This one might be the run for us in CLT, a more suppressed look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 The GFS seems to have more widespread QPF over at least northern NC, and at least the temps don't look any worse... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 850 temps at 90 hours is much further south then 18z but the sfc temps are about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well I was wrong at 99 less QPF and can't get the SFC temps we need....RDU and I-40 special this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Bring on the Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I guess the thing to take away is that the temps are little cooler but it seems like maybe our low is all strung out? A met can go into more detail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 The GFS seems to have more widespread QPF over at least northern NC, and at least the temps don't look any worse... Temps went down a bit this run, and QPF up, especially along the NC VA boarder. Soundings this run keep PGV freezing at the surface till around 1pm Thursday, and after that most of the moisture is gone. 0z GFS is OTS looking at H5 maps through 84hrs, trough is still positive as it crosses the mississippi; so your saying there is a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Must be a bad run if I'm the only one giving disco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well I was wrong at 99 less QPF and can't get the SFC temps we need....RDU and I-40 special this run. I-40 and North? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I liked this run. There doesn't appear to be a phase between the northern and southern jet so therefore it's OTS and does not move up the coast. It also appears to be a little slower allowing some colder temps to work its way in. Overall, if it worked out like the gfs showed tonight it could be a nice little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Bring on the Snow Don't rub it in. I will have to my fleet on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Swing and a miss for Frosty Central and eastern NC do ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Well I was wrong at 99 less QPF and can't get the SFC temps we need....RDU and I-40 special this run. I like this better than the other runs. For once you and I are in the cold air. With that heavy precip. coming down that would bring our surface temperatures down and this isn't nailed in stone yet anyways. This looks to me like an I-- 85 special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Swing and a miss for Frosty Central and eastern NC do ok you will be fine, not a big event for anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 00z is decent for north central nc and the ne part of state qpf amounts drop off quite a bit in wnc it looks like the western part of the state needs more of a phase and the eastern part doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Good run for central NC, have not checked soundings, but 850's look on par for a SN-event between 95 and 77, great track for NE NC and SE VA too, but not cold enough here, yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Although it is a much less amped solution i will take it. It's still there and so close to a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 For those in the piedmont and western carolinas, lp track and precip is EXACTLY where you want it 84 hours out. I'd be more concerned about temps, particularly due to a north trend than out to sea. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 you will be fine, not a big event for anyone I'm talking about Saturday. It is a big event in central/eastern NC NCSNOW is in the $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I think everybody is in the game at this point. What we really need is for that piece of energy dropping down through the plains to be farther south and stronger. If we can get that to happen, the storm should crank up faster; pulling in more cold air, and throwing more moisture back this way. The NAM at 84hrs has that piece of energy significantly farther west than the GFS. Also, the nogaps has been showing that energy much stronger as well as dropping it in farther south, hence the snowier southern solutions it has been spitting out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Painted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I like this better than the other runs. For once you and I are in the cold air. With that heavy precip. coming down that would bring our surface temperatures down and this isn't nailed in stone yet anyways. This looks to me like an I-- 85 special. We still have a problem with low level cold getting over the mountains I think, we usually do. The cold bends from the north, and around to the southwest, especiall at the 925 to 950 mb level. Its a little bit of downlsoping right over our area literally, but the 850 low track could offset that. However, theres no sign of 850 low when its near us on this run, unlike the other run, plus we'd want to see it formed much further to the southwest to get the benefit from it along the 74 corridor. For us, its still really a race of moisture against cold air. The Euro was colder, we'll see if it can squeeze it a bit colder before the bulk of the moisture gets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I'm talking about Saturday. It is a big event in central/eastern NC NCSNOW is in the $ we shall see Monkey Butt I win no matter what. i don't bank nothing on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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