Alpha5 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Wait why is there picture of my gf in the banter thread? is that you in the sombrero in the background? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Wait why is there picture of my gf in the banter thread? metfan went out with her last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 best post ever? my best post ever...for sure! lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 https://nwschat.weather.gov/lsr/#MEG/201111281800/201111300559/0100 decent snow reports out of the south, up to 8 inches in Our-kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Some of the GFS Ensembles are showing snow with the December 6th-7th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Some of the GFS Ensembles are showing snow with the December 6th-7th storm for areas outside of the NYC metro. fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 JB says feet of lake effect snow next week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Here is a blurb from Upton's afternoon AFD: .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... PERIOD BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTH AND ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A SHARP UPPER TROUGH SWEEPS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT. WITH DOWNSLOPING NORTHWEST WINDS AND LITTLE MOISTURE...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...JUST SOME MID LEVEL STRATO CU WITH THE FRONT. A BRIEF SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL FOLLOW THIS FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES SLIPPING A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RIDGING ALOFT. TEMPERATURES RISE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH CIRRUS SPILLING OVER THE RIDGE. NEXT POTENTIAL ISSUE WILL BE THE MON-WED TIME FRAME WITH GFS/ECMWF BOTH HINTING AT A DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE MIDWEST AND A SFC LOW DEVELOPING NEAR PA. BOTH SHOW PRECIPITATION IN THIS TIME FRAME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA BUT KEPT POPS AT CHANCE BECAUSE TIMING COULD CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ECMWF THEN SHOWS THE UPPER LOW CUTTING OFF OVER NORTHERN NY AND A SURFACE LOW DEEPENING OFF THE SOUTHERLY MAINE COAST WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING THIS LOW MUCH FARTHER NORTH. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...WINDS WILL PICK UP TUESDAY EVENING AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. TOO UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT TO PUT MORE THAN A CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THIS SYSTEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Here is a blurb from Upton's afternoon AFD: .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... PERIOD BEGINS WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTH AND ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A SHARP UPPER TROUGH SWEEPS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT. WITH DOWNSLOPING NORTHWEST WINDS AND LITTLE MOISTURE...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...JUST SOME MID LEVEL STRATO CU WITH THE FRONT. A BRIEF SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL FOLLOW THIS FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES SLIPPING A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RIDGING ALOFT. TEMPERATURES RISE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH CIRRUS SPILLING OVER THE RIDGE. NEXT POTENTIAL ISSUE WILL BE THE MON-WED TIME FRAME WITH GFS/ECMWF BOTH HINTING AT A DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE MIDWEST AND A SFC LOW DEVELOPING NEAR PA. BOTH SHOW PRECIPITATION IN THIS TIME FRAME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE AREA BUT KEPT POPS AT CHANCE BECAUSE TIMING COULD CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ECMWF THEN SHOWS THE UPPER LOW CUTTING OFF OVER NORTHERN NY AND A SURFACE LOW DEEPENING OFF THE SOUTHERLY MAINE COAST WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING THIS LOW MUCH FARTHER NORTH. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...WINDS WILL PICK UP TUESDAY EVENING AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. TOO UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT TO PUT MORE THAN A CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THIS SYSTEM. great. whenever Upton predicts snow they bust...we need them to say, little to no chance of snow at all, and mainly inland...then the coast will get walloped... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 great. whenever Upton predicts snow they bust...we need them to say, little to no chance of snow at all, and mainly inland...then the coast will get walloped... At least they said "Possible" then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Nov 29, 61 F dewpoint right now in Central Park. Not too shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Nov 29, 61 F dewpoint right now in Central Park. Not too shabby. I knew it had to be up there. It feels nasty out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 fixed. It shows snow for C NJ, NYC's NW Surburbs and NYC. I would definitely consider them to be part of the New York Metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 those nao maps are junk. Sure, heights are heigher in the NAO region, but that is not a good west based NAO and is probably just an expansion of the atlantic ridge which has been out there for months. you're a spoiled weenie. Always want the KU pattern or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 1322602813[/url]' post='1152350']JB says feet of lake effect snow next week.... great I live close to Lake Success....yippee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 1322602813[/url]' post='1152350']JB says feet of lake effect snow next week.... great I live close to Lake Success....yippee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 you're a spoiled weenie. Always want the KU pattern or bust. no, but unless you like two minutes of snow followed by a lot of rain, you need a block or everything is cutting or will at least be a SWFE we can do just fine if the pac and ao we great, which they arent I have been arguing this point for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 you know times are bad when even the DGEX can't spit out a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 great I live close to Lake Success....yippee downwind? Im east of the lake, so im in an ideal position, plus my elevation of 150 is bound to squeeze out some more flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 congrats Kansas and nebraska on the 18z gfs. Another midwest winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 1322604870[/url]' post='1152447']downwind? Im east of the lake, so im in an ideal position, plus my elevation of 150 is bound to squeeze out some more flakes. I am south...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I am south...lol yea and your proximity to the UHI and lower elevation will substantially reduce your totals...wow im bored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 18z GFS pretty close to last nights Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 congrats Cape Cod, 2 feet on the gfs with blizzard conditions. Coastal winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 That event at 180 or so has been popping up left and right on models, its a major timing type event and if everything went right it would be sort of a repeat of the March flash freeze and blizzard from a few years ago but 9 out of 10 of these types of setups never ultimately happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 That event at 180 or so has been popping up left and right on models, its a major timing type event and if everything went right it would be sort of a repeat of the March flash freeze and blizzard from a few years ago but 9 out of 10 of these types of setups never ultimately happen. Its junk. Euro totally tossed it today and the gfs at 180 hours is really no different than 384hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Noreasters27 favorite tv met lee goldburgh said changes next week.....30's for highs next wed, with chills in the 20's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 congrats Cape Cod, 2 feet on the gfs with blizzard conditions. Coastal winter. Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 You gotta love it, the GFS now still looks at 310 hours what it looked like at 310 hours 6 days ago, problem is the 180 hour depictions now look diddly poo like the 310 hour predictions did 6 days ago...got all that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 You gotta love it, the GFS now still looks at 310 hours what it looked like at 310 hours 6 days ago, problem is the 180 hour depictions now look diddly poo like the 310 hour predictions did 6 days ago...got all that? If it means the GFS sucks..yea I agree lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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