NorEaster27 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 major major torch today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 major major torch today nothing like yesterday here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 euro may have some light snow after the front, it doesnt dig the H5 energy as south at 00z and the surface low is further north into Maine and thus there is no weenie storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 nothing like yesterday here higher dews here today, similar temps on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 euro may have some light snow after the front, it doesnt dig the H5 energy as south at 00z and the surface low is further north into Maine and thus there is no weenie storm. With nothing to slow down the flow, it seems like a reasonable solution. 12z ensembles didn't seem to be barking at anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 This weather pattern is garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 This weather pattern is garbage. tru... ....but why waste a great pattern in autumn? im looking forward to jan/feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 tru... ....but why waste a great pattern in autumn? im looking forward to jan/feb. I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I agree I actually would gladly welcome a classic turn to cold around Christmas and New Year's. It is time for the folks at Times Square to shiver their rear ends off as the ball drops for a change lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I agree. It seems like its always 57 degrees I actually would gladly welcome a classic turn to cold around Christmas and New Year's. It is time for the folks at Times Square to shiver their rear ends off as the ball drops for a change lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I agree. It seems like its always 57 degrees It has been awhile since December completely stunk or was above average temperature wise and below normal snow wise and January 1 - February 28/29 rocked and rolled with snow and cold. Last year was great as was 2009-10 but I am all for a dud December if we can get a solid January-February (and I mean the entire months of January and February). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Even the Euro today at 168 hours is considerably warmer at 850 than it was 3 days ago at 240 hours, that just goes to show every model has a climo/cold bias in winter regardless of how poor the AO/NAO may be. On another note, this pattern reminds me so much of early December 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Not a bad looking Euro day 10..NAO going negitive?..mmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Not a bad looking Euro day 10..NAO going negitive?..mmm It appears to just be a transient Mid-Atlantic ridge to me but someone with the weeklies access may be able to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Even the Euro today at 168 hours is considerably warmer at 850 than it was 3 days ago at 240 hours, that just goes to show every model has a climo/cold bias in winter regardless of how poor the AO/NAO may be. On another note, this pattern reminds me so much of early December 1993. Missing the El Nino aspect and that is a major sticking point on a 93-94 repeat or something similar unfortunately. I'd be fine with a 2008-09 type winter this year even if it doesn't get started until January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I know, but lately it seems to be mild around the time the ball drops It has been awhile since December completely stunk or was above average temperature wise and below normal snow wise and January 1 - February 28/29 rocked and rolled with snow and cold. Last year was great as was 2009-10 but I am all for a dud December if we can get a solid January-February (and I mean the entire months of January and February). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 It appears to just be a transient Mid-Atlantic ridge to me but someone with the weeklies access may be able to tell. Looks pretty good at day 10. Raleigh's site has a nao indicator, when the run finishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Its a transient block, looks like its feedback from the bombing sub-pv, its already lifting out at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I know, but lately it seems to be mild around the time the ball drops Yup, like I said time to freeze those Times Square folks solid lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 I know, but lately it seems to be mild around the time the ball drops There have been alot of mild NYEs the past 20 years or so, even in the bad winters the pattern has had a tendency to break during that period, I know it did in 2002-2003 and 1995-1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 also, that is an east block, if you want to call it that, it appears more of a western atlantic ridge anyway, but its in la la land, even on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 severe torch-up to 65 under p/c skies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Anyone else feel like all we're hearing anymore with regards to the Euro is "Day 10 looks good." Just seems like we're not making any progress to get that good "day 10" closer than ten days away. *Sigh* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 i guess we are "due" for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Even the Euro today at 168 hours is considerably warmer at 850 than it was 3 days ago at 240 hours, that just goes to show every model has a climo/cold bias in winter regardless of how poor the AO/NAO may be. On another note, this pattern reminds me so much of early December 1993. Me Likey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 i guess we are "due" for this winter. Cue Brian56713457687968478373 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 With nothing to slow down the flow, it seems like a reasonable solution. 12z ensembles didn't seem to be barking at anything. So what has caused the system that is providing the snow across the south land to cut off with the flow being so fast and progressive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Anyone else feel like all we're hearing anymore with regards to the Euro is "Day 10 looks good." Just seems like we're not making any progress to get that good "day 10" closer than ten days away. *Sigh* Its better than seeing a massive SE ridge or zonal pattern though, at least both models agree on general trofiness in the eastern portion of the country for about the next 2 weeks or so. I still anticipate there is going to be a massive blow torch and SE ridge at some point mid-late month similar to what we saw in 1984 or 1990, I know either HM or one of the other Mets also mentioned this a day or two ago in the main thread as well that the 15th-25th period is a strong candidate for at least a moderately mild pattern in the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Cue Brian56713457687968478373 LOL-you'll come to the dark side soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.